WP Auto Picks — 2026-09-23
5/16 (31.2%)
5W - 11L
✓ WIN
(4-1)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Brewers
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
POTD
Brewers moneyline
Brewers
Phillies
Away SP: 
Logan Henderson (xFIP 3.09)
Logan Henderson (xFIP 3.09)Home SP: 
Aaron Nola (xFIP 4.20)
Aaron Nola (xFIP 4.20)Brewers Key Injuries:
Grant Anderson, Bryse Wilson
Phillies Key Injuries:
Jesus Luzardo
Brewers Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Phillies Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezPhillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-2)
Nationals
@
1:10 PM ET
Tigers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Nationals +1.5
Nationals
Tigers
Away SP: 
Richard Lovelady (xFIP 5.05)
Richard Lovelady (xFIP 5.05)Home SP: 
Framber Valdez (xFIP 4.26)
Framber Valdez (xFIP 4.26)Nationals Key Injuries:
Orlando Ribalta
Tigers Key Injuries:
Kyle Finnegan, Troy Melton, Kerry Carpenter, Colt Keith
Nationals Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Tigers Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Yohandy Morales
Yohandy MoralesTigers Dark Horse HR:
Eduardo Valencia
Eduardo ValenciaOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 12:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-4)
Blue Jays
@
1:35 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Orioles
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Blue Jays +1.5
Blue Jays
Orioles
Away SP: 
Max Scherzer (xFIP 4.96)
Max Scherzer (xFIP 4.96)Home SP: 
Chris Bassitt (xFIP 4.45)
Chris Bassitt (xFIP 4.45)Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Shane Bieber, Luis Urias
Orioles Key Injuries:
Kyle Bradish, Samuel Basallo, Blaze Alexander, Luis Robert
Blue Jays Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Orioles Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Sean Keys
Sean KeysOrioles Dark Horse HR:
Coby Mayo
Coby MayoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted at 11:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 1:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-2)
Twins
@
3:45 PM ET
Giants
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Giants +1.5
Twins
Giants
Away SP: 
Connor Prielipp (xFIP 3.79)
Connor Prielipp (xFIP 3.79)Home SP: 
Cesar Perdomo (xFIP 4.71)
Cesar Perdomo (xFIP 4.71)Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda, Kaelen Culpepper, Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach
Giants Key Injuries:
JT Brubaker, Landen Roupp, Reiver Sanmartin, Blade Tidwell, Logan Webb, +3 more
Twins Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Giants Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Emmanuel Rodriguez
Emmanuel RodriguezGiants Dark Horse HR:
Victor Bericoto
Victor BericotoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 3:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-4)
Blue Jays
@
6:35 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Orioles
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Blue Jays +1.5
Blue Jays
Orioles
Away SP: 
CJ Van Eyk (xFIP 5.89)
CJ Van Eyk (xFIP 5.89)Home SP: 
Trey Gibson (xFIP 5.75)
Trey Gibson (xFIP 5.75)Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Shane Bieber, Dylan Cease, Luis Urias
Orioles Key Injuries:
Kyle Bradish, Samuel Basallo, Blaze Alexander, Luis Robert
Blue Jays Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Orioles Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Sean Keys
Sean KeysOrioles Dark Horse HR:
Coby Mayo
Coby MayoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted at 5:55 PM ET
Locked for grading: 6:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-1)
Cardinals
@
6:40 PM ET
Pirates
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Pirates moneyline
Cardinals
Pirates
Away SP: 
Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.24)
Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.24)Home SP: 
Lake Bachar (xFIP 4.23)
Lake Bachar (xFIP 4.23)Cardinals Key Injuries:
Hunter Dobbins, Joshua Baez, Blaze Jordan, Everson Pereira
Pirates Key Injuries:
Braxton Ashcraft, Esmerlyn Valdez
Cardinals Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Pirates Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Leo Bernal
Leo BernalPirates Dark Horse HR:
Rafael Flores Jr.
Rafael Flores Jr.Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-9)
Rays
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Rays +1.5
Rays
Yankees
Away SP: Mason Englert (xFIP 4.40)
Home SP: 
Gerrit Cole (xFIP 3.54)
Gerrit Cole (xFIP 3.54)Rays Key Injuries:
Shane McClanahan, Manuel Rodriguez, Tyler Wells
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Fernando Cruz, Ryan Weathers, Trent Grisham, Aaron Judge
Rays Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Yankees Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.Over/Under (Game Total): Over 6.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-1)
Guardians
@
7:10 PM ET
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Guardians +1.5
Guardians
Red Sox
Away SP: 
Foster Griffin (xFIP 3.95)
Foster Griffin (xFIP 3.95)Home SP: 
Sonny Gray (xFIP 3.57)
Sonny Gray (xFIP 3.57)Guardians Key Injuries:
Colin Holderman, Rhys Hoskins
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Curtis Mead, Anthony Seigler, Eli White, Masataka Yoshida
Guardians Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Red Sox Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Angel Martínez
Angel MartínezRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Gasper
Mickey GasperOver/Under (Game Total): Over 6.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-3)
Reds
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Lock
Career: 65.3%
(32-17)
Braves -1.5
Reds
Braves
Away SP: 
Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.69)
Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.69)Home SP: 
Chris Sale (xFIP 2.35)
Chris Sale (xFIP 2.35)Reds Key Injuries:
Chase Burns, Julian Garcia
Braves Key Injuries:
Bryce Elder, Lane Thomas
Reds Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Braves Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzBraves Dark Horse HR:
Ronald Acuña Jr.
Ronald Acuña Jr.Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-2)
Marlins
@
7:40 PM ET
Cubs
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Cubs moneyline
Marlins
Cubs
Away SP: 
Ryan Gusto (xFIP 4.20)
Ryan Gusto (xFIP 4.20)Home SP: 
Kevin Gausman (xFIP 3.57)
Kevin Gausman (xFIP 3.57)Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, Max Meyer, Owen Caissie
Cubs Key Injuries:
Gavin Hollowell, Trent Thornton
Marlins Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Cubs Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineCubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 6.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-5)
White Sox
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
White Sox moneyline
White Sox
Royals
Away SP: 
Bryan Hudson (xFIP 3.32)
Bryan Hudson (xFIP 3.32)Home SP: 
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.29)
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.29)White Sox Key Injuries:
Joey Bart
Royals Key Injuries:
Beck Way
White Sox Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Royals Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Randal Grichuk
Randal GrichukRoyals Dark Horse HR:
Jac Caglianone
Jac CaglianoneOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(7-2)
Mets
@
8:05 PM ET
Rangers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Rangers +1.5
Mets
Rangers
Away SP: 
Nolan McLean (xFIP 3.72)
Nolan McLean (xFIP 3.72)Home SP: 
Cody Bradford (xFIP 4.33)
Cody Bradford (xFIP 4.33)Mets Key Injuries:
Daniel Duarte, Christian Scott, Jared Young
Rangers Key Injuries:
Kyle Higashioka, Joc Pederson
Mets Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Rangers Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Francisco Lindor
Francisco LindorRangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Justin FoscueOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted at 11:30 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-3)
Diamondbacks
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Diamondbacks moneyline
Diamondbacks
Rockies
Away SP: 
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 4.99)
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 4.99)Home SP: 
Mason Adams (xFIP 5.18)
Mason Adams (xFIP 5.18)Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Rockies Key Injuries:
Willi Castro
Diamondbacks Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Rockies Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollRockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakOver/Under (Game Total): Under 11.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 8:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-7)
Angels
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Angels moneyline
Angels
Athletics
Away SP: 
Walbert Ureña (xFIP 3.60)
Walbert Ureña (xFIP 3.60)Home SP: 
Jeffrey Springs (xFIP 5.08)
Jeffrey Springs (xFIP 5.08)Angels Key Injuries:
George Klassen, Samy Natera, Gustavo Campero, Nolan Schanuel
Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Angels Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Athletics Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutAthletics Dark Horse HR:
Brian Serven
Brian ServenOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-6)
Astros
@
10:10 PM ET
Mariners
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Astros +1.5
Astros
Mariners
Away SP: 
Ethan Pecko (xFIP 5.12)
Ethan Pecko (xFIP 5.12)Home SP: 
George Kirby (xFIP 3.83)
George Kirby (xFIP 3.83)Astros Key Injuries:
Steven Okert
Mariners Key Injuries:
Emerson Hancock, Cole Wilcox, Brendan Donovan
Astros Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Mariners Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Nelson VelázquezMariners Dark Horse HR:
Lazaro Montes
Lazaro MontesOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 9:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-1)
Padres
@
10:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Strong
Career: 64.7%
(161-88)
Dodgers moneyline
Padres
Dodgers
Away SP: 
Robbie Ray (xFIP 4.63)
Robbie Ray (xFIP 4.63)Home SP: 
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.35)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.35)Padres Key Injuries:
Jeremiah Estrada, Miguel Andujar, Gavin Sheets
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Edgardo Henriquez, Dalton Rushing
Padres Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Dodgers Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ethan Salas
Ethan SalasDodgers Dark Horse HR:
Mookie Betts
Mookie BettsOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 9:55 PM ET