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Mets vs. Rangers Prediction — September 23, 2026

2026-09-23 · Posted at 9:42 AM ET · Mets @ Rangers

Preview for Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.

New York Mets at Texas Rangers

The Mets head to Texas for an 8:05 PM ET start with Nolan McLean on the mound, and his numbers stand out as the best individual marks in this preview. McLean has worked approximately 172.7 innings with a 3.18 ERA and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.72, both of which are stronger than either team's overall pitching figures. Starting-pitcher information for the Rangers is unavailable in this preview, so no direct comparison can be made on that side.

Looking at the team-level numbers, New York carries a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.306, an ERA of 4.15 and a WP-estimated FIP of 4.14, while Texas shows a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.311, an ERA of 4.28 and a WP-estimated FIP of 4.21. Texas holds a slightly better offensive figure with its higher wOBA, but New York's team ERA and FIP both come in lower than Texas's, suggesting a modest edge in run prevention at the team level for the Mets, reinforced further by McLean's own strong individual marks.

On the injury front, Boston Baro of the Mets is listed on the 60-Day IL, while Carter Baumler, Jalen Beeks and Paul Bonzagni of the Rangers are also listed on the 60-Day IL. Danis Correa is listed on the 7-Day IL and Daniel Duarte is listed on the 15-Day IL, both with the Mets. These are simply the reported statuses from Rotowire and are not indications of how the game itself will play out. Taken together, the numbers lean toward New York given McLean's strong individual pitching marks and the Mets' team ERA and FIP edges, even though Texas shows a slightly higher team wOBA.

Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.

No rated WP selection is available in this article snapshot.

WP home-run candidate for Mets: Francisco Lindor. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

WP home-run candidate for Rangers: Justin Foscue. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.

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