Preview for Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres visit the Los Angeles Dodgers with a pitching matchup that favors the home side on paper. Yoshinobu Yamamoto brings an ERA of 2.51 and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.35 across approximately 179.0 innings pitched, while Robbie Ray carries an ERA of 3.60 and a WP-calculated FIP of 4.80 over approximately 162.3 innings pitched. Both marks suggest Yamamoto has been the more effective run preventer this season, with a notably lower ERA and FIP than Ray.
Looking at the broader team numbers, the Dodgers hold an edge across the board. Los Angeles shows a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.332 compared to San Diego's 0.312, indicating more team offensive production on the Dodgers' side. On the run-prevention side, the Dodgers' team ERA of 3.59 and FIP of 3.83 are both lower than the Padres' team ERA of 3.96 and FIP of 4.26, pointing to stronger overall pitching results for Los Angeles this season.
Both clubs have reported injuries of note. Jason Adam is listed on the 60-Day IL and Miguel Andujar is listed on the 10-Day IL for the Padres, while Humberto Cruz is listed as Out. For the Dodgers, Yency Almonte, Ben Casparius, and Jake Cousins are each listed on the 60-Day IL. Taken together, the statistical picture, from the starting pitcher marks to the team-wide wOBA, ERA, and FIP figures, points toward the Dodgers as the side favored by the available numbers.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Dodgers moneyline. Confidence: Strong.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Dodgers: Mookie Betts. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Padres: Ethan Salas. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.