Our model combines six advanced sabermetric metrics (wOBA, FIP, Pythagorean Win%, DER, OPS, BABIP) with starting pitcher matchups, bullpen strength, recent team performance, and injury data. These components are weighted and converted to win probabilities using a sigmoid function.
Picks are generated once starting pitchers are confirmed, typically by early afternoon ET. Final picks lock in 15 minutes before each game's first pitch with the latest data refresh.
Moneyline: Pick the team to win outright.
+1.5 Run Line: The team wins or loses by only 1 run.
-1.5 Run Line: The team wins by 2 or more runs.
Our highest-conviction pick, selected using a composite score factoring model edge, market value gap, pitcher advantage, injury edge, and badge bonuses.
A full-slate parlay covering every game of the day. Generated 30 minutes before the first pitch using the latest confirmed data.
The calculator offers 3 free predictions per day. Full pick access: Day Pass $2.99 (24h), Monthly $9.99 (30 days), Picks Day $4.99 (24h with email alerts), Picks Monthly $14.99 (30 days with email alerts). Payments processed securely via Stripe.
Team and player stats from the official MLB Stats API. Odds from The Odds API. Injury data from Rotowire. All data refreshes automatically throughout the day.