WP Auto Picks — 2026-10-07
3/4 (75.0%)
3W - 1L
✓ WIN
(4-1)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Dodgers
@
6:00 PM ET
Braves
Strong
Career: 64.7%
(161-88)
POTD
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Braves
Away SP: 
Tyler Glasnow (xFIP 2.81)
Tyler Glasnow (xFIP 2.81)Home SP: 
Tyler Mahle (xFIP 3.90)
Tyler Mahle (xFIP 3.90)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen
Braves Key Injuries:
Bryce Elder, Martin Perez
Dodgers Anytime HR:
Shohei Ohtani
✗ MISS
Shohei Ohtani
✗ MISS
Braves Anytime HR:
Matt Olson
✗ MISS
Matt Olson
✗ MISS
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyBraves Dark Horse HR:
Ronald Acuña Jr.
Ronald Acuña Jr.Over/Under (Game Total): Lean Under 7.5
Lean: the model total is within a run of the market line, so this is not a play. Leans are tracked separately and never count in the O/U record. What is a lean?
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 5:45 PM ET
✓ WIN
(9-3)
Guardians
@
4:00 PM ET
White Sox
Small sample
Guardians +1.5
Daniel Espino: Small current-season MLB sample (under 20 innings).
Guardians
White Sox
Away SP: 
Daniel Espino (xFIP 3.21)
Daniel Espino (xFIP 3.21)Home SP: 
Sean Newcomb (xFIP 3.28)
Sean Newcomb (xFIP 3.28)Guardians Key Injuries:
Colin Holderman, Rhys Hoskins
White Sox Key Injuries:
Joey Bart
Guardians Anytime HR:
Jo Adell
✗ MISS
Jo Adell
✗ MISS
White Sox Anytime HR:
Munetaka Murakami
✗ MISS
Munetaka Murakami
✗ MISS
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
José Ramírez
José RamírezWhite Sox Dark Horse HR:
Miguel Vargas
Miguel VargasOver/Under (Game Total): Lean Over 8
Lean: the model total is within a run of the market line, so this is not a play. Leans are tracked separately and never count in the O/U record. What is a lean?
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 3:45 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-3)
Rays
@
8:00 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Rays +1.5
Rays
Yankees
Away SP: 
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.95)
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.95)Home SP: 
Max Fried (xFIP 2.72)
Max Fried (xFIP 2.72)Rays Key Injuries:
Shane McClanahan
Yankees Key Injuries:
Aaron Judge
Rays Anytime HR:
Junior Caminero
✗ MISS
Junior Caminero
✗ MISS
Yankees Anytime HR:
Ben Rice
✗ MISS
Ben Rice
✗ MISS
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.Over/Under (Game Total): Lean Over 7
Lean: the model total is within a run of the market line, so this is not a play. Leans are tracked separately and never count in the O/U record. What is a lean?
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:45 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-1)
Brewers
@
10:00 PM ET
Padres
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Padres +1.5
Brewers
Padres
Away SP: 
Robert Gasser (xFIP 4.12)
Robert Gasser (xFIP 4.12)Home SP: 
Walker Buehler (xFIP 4.34)
Walker Buehler (xFIP 4.34)Brewers Key Injuries:
Grant Anderson
Padres Key Injuries:
Jeremiah Estrada, Casey Mize, Miguel Andujar
Brewers Anytime HR:
Jake Bauers
✗ MISS
Jake Bauers
✗ MISS
Padres Anytime HR:
Fernando Tatis Jr.
✓ HIT
Fernando Tatis Jr.
✓ HIT
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Jackson Chourio
Jackson ChourioPadres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted at 5:45 PM ET
Locked for grading: 9:45 PM ET