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MLB Predictions for October 7, 2026: Every Game Previewed

2026-10-07 · Posted at 9:40 AM ET

Preview for Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.

Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox is listed for a 4:00 PM ET start, and the pitching matchup looks lopsided on paper. The schedule feed lists Daniel Espino for Cleveland and Sean Newcomb for Chicago. Espino's matched record shows approximately 15.3 innings pitched with an ERA of 4.11 and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.82, a small sample that should be read cautiously. Newcomb's record covers approximately 90.3 innings with an ERA of 3.09 and a FIP of 3.28, so he owns the lower mark on both measures and a much larger body of work.

The team figures point in different directions. Chicago has the stronger offence by the WP-estimated wOBA, at 0.316 against 0.305 for Cleveland. On run prevention, though, Cleveland is better, with a team ERA of 3.77 and a FIP of 3.88 compared with 4.12 and 4.32 for the White Sox. Those team marks suggest the Guardians' overall pitching has been the sturdier of the two, even if the individual starter comparison favours Newcomb.

On the injury front, Rotowire lists Robert Arias and Jose Devers of Cleveland on the 60-Day IL and Emmanuel Clase with a status of 'Out'. For Chicago, Brooks Baldwin and Aldrin Batista are listed on the 60-Day IL and Joey Bart on the 10-Day IL. Weighing it all, the starting-pitcher gap and the better White Sox wOBA lean toward Chicago, while Cleveland's team-level ERA and FIP keep this from being one-sided.

Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.

WP selection: Guardians +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.

The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.

WP home-run candidate for Guardians: Nathaniel Lowe. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

WP home-run candidate for White Sox: Miguel Vargas. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves

This matchup has the Los Angeles Dodgers visiting the Atlanta Braves. The listed start is 6:00 PM ET.

Tyler Glasnow, the listed starter for the Los Angeles Dodgers, has an ERA of 3.53 and a WP-calculated FIP of 2.81 in the available pitching data, covering approximately 74.0 innings. Reporting scope for Tyler Glasnow: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied. Tyler Mahle, the listed starter for the Atlanta Braves, has an ERA of 3.99 and a WP-calculated FIP of 4.06 in the available pitching data, covering approximately 149.0 innings. Reporting scope for Tyler Mahle: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied. These are schedule listings, not independent confirmation of the final starters.

Team statistics for the Los Angeles Dodgers show a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.331, a WP-estimated FIP of 3.75 and an ERA of 3.55. Reporting scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied. Team statistics for the Atlanta Braves show a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.288, a WP-estimated FIP of 4.32 and an ERA of 3.17. Reporting scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 postseason season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.

WP selection: Dodgers moneyline. Confidence: Strong.

The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.

WP home-run candidate for Braves: Ronald Acuña Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

WP home-run candidate for Dodgers: Mookie Betts. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees is listed for an 8:00 PM ET start, featuring Nick Martinez for Tampa Bay and Max Fried for New York per the schedule feed. Martinez brings approximately 180.0 innings, an ERA of 3.10 and a WP-calculated FIP of 4.03, a gap between ERA and FIP that hints his results have run a little ahead of the underlying numbers. Fried has approximately 112.7 innings with an ERA of 2.80 and a FIP of 2.72, and the two figures are closely aligned. Fried has the lower mark on both ERA and FIP.

The teams are close at the plate. Tampa Bay has a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.317 against 0.312 for New York, a slim edge to the Rays. On the run-prevention side the Yankees are better, with a team ERA of 3.23 and a FIP of 3.78 versus 3.70 and 4.11 for Tampa Bay.

Rotowire lists Angel Benitez, Kervin Castro and Fernando Cruz of the Yankees on the 60-Day IL. For the Rays, Anderson Brito and Jonathan Heasley are listed on the 60-Day IL and Wander Franco has a status of 'Out'. The pitching figures, both for the starters and for the teams overall, favour New York, and the Rays' small wOBA advantage is unlikely to offset that on the available numbers.

Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.

WP selection: Rays +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.

The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.

WP home-run candidate for Rays: Victor Mesa Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

WP home-run candidate for Yankees: Luis García Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres

This matchup has the Milwaukee Brewers visiting the San Diego Padres. The listed start is 10:00 PM ET.

The listed starter for the Milwaukee Brewers is not available in this preview. Walker Buehler, the listed starter for the San Diego Padres, has an ERA of 4.63 and a WP-calculated FIP of 4.58 in the available pitching data, covering approximately 153.7 innings. Reporting scope for Walker Buehler: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied. These are schedule listings, not independent confirmation of the final starters.

Team statistics for the Milwaukee Brewers show a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.325, a WP-estimated FIP of 3.79 and an ERA of 3.51. Reporting scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied. Team statistics for the San Diego Padres show a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.307, a WP-estimated FIP of 3.65 and an ERA of 2.06. Reporting scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 postseason season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.

No rated WP selection is available in this article snapshot.

WP home-run candidate for Brewers: Gary Sánchez. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

WP home-run candidate for Padres: Ethan Salas. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.

Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.

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