WP Auto Picks — 2026-09-02
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(373-308)
POTD
Brewers moneyline
Away SP: 
Jacob Misiorowski (xFIP 2.22)
Home SP: 
David Peterson (xFIP 4.13)
Brewers Key Injuries:
Bryse Wilson
Cubs Key Injuries:
Gavin Hollowell, Dansby Swanson
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Strong
Career: 65.2%
(133-71)
Padres moneyline
Away SP: 
Casey Mize (xFIP 3.52)
Home SP: Brandon Williamson (xFIP 5.91)
Padres Key Injuries:
Jeremiah Estrada, Miguel Andujar, Gavin Sheets
Reds Key Injuries:
Jose Franco, Spencer Steer
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Héctor Rodríguez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 12:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Nationals +1.5
Away SP: 
Grant Holmes (xFIP 4.58)
Home SP: 
Brad Lord (xFIP 4.31)
Braves Key Injuries:
Reynaldo Lopez
Nationals Key Injuries:
None
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Andrés Chaparro
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 12:50 PM ET
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(373-308)
Rangers moneyline
Away SP: 
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 4.55)
Home SP: 
Cody Bradford (xFIP 3.47)
Athletics Key Injuries:
Shea Langeliers
Rangers Key Injuries:
Nathan Eovaldi, Peyton Gray, Kyle Higashioka, Josh Jung
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Brian Serven
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 2:20 PM ET
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(373-308)
Orioles moneyline
Away SP: 
Trevor Rogers (xFIP 3.76)
Home SP: 
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.79)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Tyler ONeill
Rockies Key Injuries:
Kyle Karros
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 11.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Away SP: 
Andrew Painter (xFIP 4.53)
Home SP: 
Taylor Clarke (xFIP 3.91)
Phillies Key Injuries:
None
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Tommy Troy
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Jordan Lawlar
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Mariners +1.5
Away SP: 
Bryce Miller (xFIP 3.89)
Home SP: 
Patrick Sandoval (xFIP 4.14)
Mariners Key Injuries:
Emerson Hancock, Cole Wilcox, Brendan Donovan
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Tyron Guerrero, Willson Contreras, Curtis Mead, Masataka Yoshida
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Canzone
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Gasper
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Guardians +1.5
Away SP: 
Dylan Cease (xFIP 2.50)
Home SP: 
Joey Cantillo (xFIP 4.08)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Shane Bieber, Trey Yesavage, Luis Urias
Guardians Key Injuries:
Rhys Hoskins
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
George Springer
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Giants +1.5
Away SP: 
Landen Roupp (xFIP 3.81)
Home SP: 
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 4.17)
Giants Key Injuries:
JT Brubaker, Sam Hentges, Keaton Winn, Willy Adames, Jesus Rodriguez, +1 more
Pirates Key Injuries:
Ryan OHearn
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Jonah Cox
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Rafael Flores Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(373-308)
Rays moneyline
Away SP: Justin Hagenman (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: Griffin Jax (xFIP 3.72)
Mets Key Injuries:
None
Rays Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Francisco Lindor
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Royals +1.5
Away SP: 
Eury Pérez (xFIP 3.86)
Home SP: 
Noah Cameron (xFIP 3.75)
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, Max Meyer, Xavier Edwards
Royals Key Injuries:
Beck Way, Maikel Garcia
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Twins +1.5
Away SP: 
Drew Anderson (xFIP 3.97)
Home SP: 
Dean Kremer (xFIP 4.46)
Tigers Key Injuries:
Kerry Carpenter
Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda, Kendry Rojas, Joe Ryan, Byron Buxton, Austin Martin
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Eduardo Valencia
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
White Sox +1.5
Away SP: Davis Martin (xFIP 3.79)
Home SP: 
Hayden Wesneski (xFIP 3.45)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Huascar Brazoban, Chris Murphy, Joey Bart
Astros Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Randal Grichuk
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
Strong
Career: 65.2%
(133-71)
Yankees moneyline
Away SP: 
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 2.71)
Home SP: 
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.28)
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Fernando Cruz, Ryan Weathers
Angels Key Injuries:
Sam Bachman, George Klassen, Gustavo Campero, Nolan Schanuel
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 6.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
Strong
Career: 65.2%
(133-71)
Dodgers moneyline
Away SP: 
Brycen Mautz (xFIP 3.10)
Home SP: 
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.35)
Cardinals Key Injuries:
Hunter Dobbins, Andre Pallante, JJ Wetherholt, Blaze Jordan, Everson Pereira
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Andy Pages
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Joshua Báez
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:55 PM ET
Share Pick
Copied!