WP Auto Picks — 2026-08-14

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5/14 (35.7%)
5W - 9L
✗ LOSS (1-4)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
Nationals
Nationals
@
7:10 PM ET
Mets
Mets
Confident Career: 55.9% (448-354) POTD
Nationals moneyline
Nationals Mets
Away SP: Andrew Alvarez (xFIP 3.18)
Home SP: Robert Stock (xFIP 4.95)
Nationals Key Injuries: Connelly Early, James Wood
Mets Key Injuries: Juan Soto
Nationals Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Mets Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Nationals Dark Horse HR: Abimelec Ortiz
Mets Dark Horse HR: Francisco Alvarez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (0-3)
Cardinals
Cardinals
@
2:20 PM ET
Cubs
Cubs
Confident Career: 55.9% (448-354)
Cubs moneyline
Cardinals Cubs
Away SP: Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.32)
Home SP: Clay Holmes (xFIP 3.58)
Cardinals Key Injuries: None
Cubs Key Injuries: Gavin Hollowell, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Matt Shaw
Cardinals Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Cubs Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: Everson Pereira
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Tyrone Taylor
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 2:05 PM ET
✓ WIN (0-1)
Marlins
Marlins
@
6:10 PM ET
Reds
Reds
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (685-454)
Marlins +1.5
Marlins Reds
Away SP: Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.85)
Home SP: Chase Burns (xFIP 3.36)
Marlins Key Injuries: Anthony Bender, William Kempner, Max Meyer, Kyle Stowers
Reds Key Injuries: Jose Franco, Spencer Steer
Marlins Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Reds Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Griffin Conine
Reds Dark Horse HR: JJ Bleday
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 5:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (4-8)
Red Sox
Red Sox
@
6:40 PM ET
Pirates
Pirates
Confident Career: 55.9% (448-354)
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox Pirates
Away SP: Jake Bennett (xFIP 3.33)
Home SP: Bubba Chandler (xFIP 4.24)
Red Sox Key Injuries: Garrett Whitlock, Curtis Mead
Pirates Key Injuries: Ryan OHearn
Red Sox Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Pirates Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Wilyer Abreu
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Esmerlyn Valdez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (9-5)
White Sox
White Sox
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Tigers
Confident Career: 55.9% (448-354)
Tigers moneyline
White Sox Tigers
Away SP: Sean Newcomb (xFIP 3.06)
Home SP: Jackson Jobe (xFIP 2.17)
White Sox Key Injuries: Davis Martin, Chris Murphy, Joey Bart
Tigers Key Injuries: Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene
White Sox Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Tigers Anytime HR: No pick recorded
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Randal Grichuk
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Eduardo Valencia
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (6-5)
Orioles
Orioles
@
7:10 PM ET
Rays
Rays
Confident Career: 55.9% (448-354)
Rays moneyline
Orioles Rays
Away SP: Chris Bassitt (xFIP 4.84)
Home SP: Steven Matz (xFIP 4.60)
Orioles Key Injuries: Samuel Basallo, Blaze Alexander
Rays Key Injuries: Griffin Jax, Shane McClanahan
Orioles Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Rays Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Rays Dark Horse HR: Victor Mesa Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted at 2:05 PM ET
Locked for grading: 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (7-5)
Padres
Padres
@
7:10 PM ET
Guardians
Guardians
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (685-454)
Padres +1.5
Padres Guardians
Away SP: Michael King (xFIP 4.25)
Home SP: Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.21)
Padres Key Injuries: Miguel Andujar, Samad Taylor
Guardians Key Injuries: None
Padres Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Guardians Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Padres Dark Horse HR: Ty France
Guardians Dark Horse HR: Nathaniel Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-0)
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Braves
Confident Career: 55.9% (448-354)
Braves moneyline
Diamondbacks Braves
Away SP: Brandon Pfaadt (xFIP 4.10)
Home SP: Chris Sale (xFIP 2.49)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: Ryan Thompson, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Braves Key Injuries: Robert Suarez
Diamondbacks Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Braves Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Corbin Carroll
Braves Dark Horse HR: Michael Harris II
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted at 12:45 PM ET
Locked for grading: 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-3)
Yankees
Yankees
@
7:15 PM ET
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
Strong Career: 64.7% (161-88)
Yankees moneyline
Yankees Blue Jays
Away SP: Gerrit Cole (xFIP 3.27)
Home SP: Shane Bieber (xFIP 5.31)
Yankees Key Injuries: Kervin Castro, Angel Chivilli, Cody Bellinger, Giancarlo Stanton
Blue Jays Key Injuries: Trey Yesavage, Jonatan Clase
Yankees Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Blue Jays Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Luis García Jr.
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Charles McAdoo
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (7-10)
Mariners
Mariners
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Astros
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (685-454)
Mariners +1.5
Mariners Astros
Away SP: George Kirby (xFIP 3.68)
Home SP: Peter Lambert (xFIP 3.96)
Mariners Key Injuries: Matt Brash, Cole Wilcox, J.P. Crawford, Luke Raley
Astros Key Injuries: None
Mariners Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Astros Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Julio Rodríguez
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Walker
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (7-6)
Royals
Royals
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Angels
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (685-454)
Angels +1.5
Royals Angels
Away SP: Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.27)
Home SP: Grayson Rodriguez (xFIP 4.79)
Royals Key Injuries: Beck Way, Maikel Garcia, Vinnie Pasquantino
Angels Key Injuries: Sam Bachman
Royals Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Angels Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Royals Dark Horse HR: John Rave
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jose Siri
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-8)
Rangers
Rangers
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Athletics
Confident Career: 55.9% (448-354)
Rangers moneyline
Rangers Athletics
Away SP: Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.17)
Home SP: Gage Jump (xFIP 3.60)
Rangers Key Injuries: Nathan Eovaldi, Jakob Junis, Kyle Higashioka, Josh Jung
Athletics Key Injuries: Joshua Kuroda-Grauer, Shea Langeliers, Nick Kurtz
Rangers Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Athletics Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Wyatt Langford
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Zack Gelof
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted at 7:45 PM ET
Locked for grading: 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-3)
Brewers
Brewers
@
10:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Dodgers
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (685-454)
Brewers +1.5
Brewers Dodgers
Away SP: Robert Gasser (xFIP 4.22)
Home SP: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.52)
Brewers Key Injuries: JoJo Romero, Abner Uribe, Cooper Pratt
Dodgers Key Injuries: Will Klein, Brock Stewart, Dalton Rushing
Brewers Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Dodgers Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Gary Sánchez
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Max Muncy
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 9:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (5-2)
Rockies
Rockies
@
10:15 PM ET
Giants
Giants
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (685-454)
Rockies +1.5
Rockies Giants
Away SP: Kyle Freeland (xFIP 4.20)
Home SP: Landen Roupp (xFIP 3.61)
Rockies Key Injuries: Kyle Karros
Giants Key Injuries: Jesus Rodriguez, Daniel Susac, Casey Schmitt
Rockies Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Giants Anytime HR: No pick recorded
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Mickey Moniak
Giants Dark Horse HR: Victor Bericoto
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 10:00 PM ET
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