WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-29
5/16 (31.2%)
5W - 11L
✓ WIN
(4-2)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Red Sox
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Strong
Career: 64.5%
(140-77)
POTD
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox
Athletics
Away SP: 
Patrick Sandoval (xFIP 3.10)
Patrick Sandoval (xFIP 3.10)Home SP: 
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.31)
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.31)Red Sox Key Injuries:
Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Curtis Mead
Athletics Key Injuries:
J.T. Ginn, Joshua Kuroda-Grauer, Shea Langeliers, Zack Gelof
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Curtis Mead
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Tyler Soderstrom
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 11.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-8)
Phillies
@
12:10 PM ET
Marlins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(611-406)
Marlins +1.5
Phillies
Marlins
Away SP: 
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.98)
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.98)Home SP: 
Ryan Gusto (xFIP 3.64)
Ryan Gusto (xFIP 3.64)Phillies Key Injuries:
None
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, Max Meyer, Owen Caissie
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 12:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-0)
Diamondbacks
@
12:35 PM ET
Pirates
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(394-321)
Pirates moneyline
Diamondbacks
Pirates
Away SP: 
Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.22)
Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.22)Home SP: 
Jared Jones (xFIP 3.27)
Jared Jones (xFIP 3.27)Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollPirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 12:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-2)
Blue Jays
@
1:05 PM ET
Nationals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(611-406)
Nationals +1.5
Blue Jays
Nationals
Away SP: Trey Yesavage (xFIP 4.16)
Home SP: Zack Littell (xFIP 5.11)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Jonatan Clase
Nationals Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Brad Lord, PJ Poulin
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Luis Urías
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 12:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-3)
Braves
@
1:10 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Mets
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(394-321)
Braves moneyline
Braves
Mets
Away SP: 
AJ Smith-Shawver (xFIP 5.00)
AJ Smith-Shawver (xFIP 5.00)Home SP: 
Sean Manaea (xFIP 4.12)
Sean Manaea (xFIP 4.12)Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Mets Key Injuries:
Juan Soto
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinMets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(10-9)
Orioles
@
1:10 PM ET
Tigers
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(394-321)
Tigers moneyline
Orioles
Tigers
Away SP: 
Trevor Rogers (xFIP 3.78)
Trevor Rogers (xFIP 3.78)Home SP: Tarik Skubal (xFIP 2.74)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Samuel Basallo, Adley Rutschman, Blaze Alexander
Tigers Key Injuries:
Kerry Carpenter
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-StrandTigers Dark Horse HR:
Eduardo Valencia
Eduardo ValenciaOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-16)
Brewers
@
3:45 PM ET
Giants
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(394-321)
Brewers moneyline
Brewers
Giants
Away SP: Thomas Pannone (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: 
Logan Webb (xFIP 3.56)
Logan Webb (xFIP 3.56)Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison
Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox, Casey Schmitt
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezGiants Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce EldridgeOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 3:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-3)
Rockies
@
4:10 PM ET
Padres
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(611-406)
Rockies +1.5
Rockies
Padres
Away SP: 
Gabriel Hughes (xFIP 2.14)
Gabriel Hughes (xFIP 2.14)Home SP: 
Kyle Hart (xFIP 3.99)
Kyle Hart (xFIP 3.99)Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Miguel Andujar, Samad Taylor
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakPadres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(0-3)
Rangers
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(611-406)
Rangers +1.5
Rangers
Rays
Away SP: 
MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.75)
MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.75)Home SP: 
Casey Legumina (xFIP 4.25)
Casey Legumina (xFIP 4.25)Rangers Key Injuries:
Kyle Higashioka, Corey Seager, Josh Jung
Rays Key Injuries:
Jake Fraley
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Justin FoscueRays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-0)
Braves
@
7:10 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Mets
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(394-321)
Braves moneyline
Braves
Mets
Away SP: 
Chris Sale (xFIP 5.00)
Chris Sale (xFIP 5.00)Home SP: 
Christian Scott (xFIP 4.12)
Christian Scott (xFIP 4.12)Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Mets Key Injuries:
Juan Soto
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinMets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-1)
Guardians
@
7:10 PM ET
Reds
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(611-406)
Reds +1.5
Guardians
Reds
Away SP: 
Joey Cantillo (xFIP 4.05)
Joey Cantillo (xFIP 4.05)Home SP: 
Brady Singer (xFIP 4.61)
Brady Singer (xFIP 4.61)Guardians Key Injuries:
None
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn, Spencer Steer
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Angel Martínez
Angel MartínezReds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-0)
Royals
@
7:40 PM ET
Twins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(611-406)
Royals +1.5
Royals
Twins
Away SP: 
Randy Dobnak (xFIP 4.91)
Randy Dobnak (xFIP 4.91)Home SP: 
Joe Ryan (xFIP 3.28)
Joe Ryan (xFIP 3.28)Royals Key Injuries:
Beck Way, Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel, Vinnie Pasquantino
Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda, Byron Buxton
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenTwins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan JeffersOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-6)
Yankees
@
7:40 PM ET
White Sox
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(394-321)
Yankees moneyline
Yankees
White Sox
Away SP: 
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 2.65)
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 2.65)Home SP: 
Davis Martin (xFIP 3.12)
Davis Martin (xFIP 3.12)Yankees Key Injuries:
Cody Bellinger, Giancarlo Stanton
White Sox Key Injuries:
None
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtWhite Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-3)
Cubs
@
7:45 PM ET
Cardinals
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(394-321)
Cubs moneyline
Cubs
Cardinals
Away SP: 
Matthew Boyd (xFIP 3.70)
Matthew Boyd (xFIP 3.70)Home SP: Dustin May (xFIP 3.22)
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Cardinals Key Injuries:
JoJo Romero
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoCardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:30 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-4)
Astros
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(394-321)
Astros moneyline
Astros
Angels
Away SP: 
Hayden Wesneski (xFIP 5.00)
Hayden Wesneski (xFIP 5.00)Home SP: 
Grayson Rodriguez (xFIP 5.24)
Grayson Rodriguez (xFIP 5.24)Astros Key Injuries:
None
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerAngels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-4)
Mariners
@
10:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(611-406)
Mariners +1.5
Mariners
Dodgers
Away SP: Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.70)
Home SP: Eric Lauer (xFIP 5.21)
Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 9:55 PM ET