WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-22
10/17 (58.8%)
10W - 7L
✓ WIN
(3-4)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Mets
@
2:10 PM ET
Brewers
Strong
Career: 65.6%
(137-72)
POTD
Brewers moneyline
Mets
Brewers
Away SP: 
Christian Scott (xFIP 3.80)
Christian Scott (xFIP 3.80)Home SP: 
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.78)
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.78)Mets Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison, David Hamilton
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-3)
Pirates
@
1:05 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Yankees
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(377-312)
Yankees moneyline
Pirates
Yankees
Away SP: Mitch Keller (xFIP 4.43)
Home SP: 
Gerrit Cole (xFIP 3.63)
Gerrit Cole (xFIP 3.63)Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Giancarlo Stanton
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezYankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 12:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-6)
Orioles
@
1:35 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Red Sox
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(377-312)
Red Sox moneyline
Orioles
Red Sox
Away SP: Dean Kremer (xFIP 4.55)
Home SP: 
Jake Bennett (xFIP 3.10)
Jake Bennett (xFIP 3.10)Orioles Key Injuries:
Adley Rutschman, Blaze Alexander
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-5)
Giants
@
2:10 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(575-388)
Royals +1.5
Giants
Royals
Away SP: 
Landen Roupp (xFIP 3.39)
Landen Roupp (xFIP 3.39)Home SP: 
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.23)
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.23)Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox
Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Casey Schmitt
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(8-0)
Nationals
@
3:10 PM ET
Rockies
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(575-388)
Rockies +1.5
Nationals
Rockies
Away SP: 
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.28)
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.28)Home SP: 
Gabriel Hughes (xFIP 2.26)
Gabriel Hughes (xFIP 2.26)Nationals Key Injuries:
Brad Lord, PJ Poulin
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakOver/Under (Game Total): Under 11.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-15)
Athletics
@
3:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(575-388)
Athletics +1.5
Athletics
Diamondbacks
Away SP: 
Gage Jump (xFIP 3.17)
Gage Jump (xFIP 3.17)Home SP: 
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.22)
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.22)Athletics Key Injuries:
J.T. Ginn, Joshua Kuroda-Grauer, Zack Gelof, Nick Kurtz
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Tyler Soderstrom
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-3)
Reds
@
3:40 PM ET
Mariners
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(377-312)
Mariners moneyline
Reds
Mariners
Away SP: 
Brady Singer (xFIP 4.74)
Brady Singer (xFIP 4.74)Home SP: Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.65)
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn
Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayMariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 3:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-0)
Cardinals
@
4:07 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(575-388)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals
Angels
Away SP: Hunter Dobbins (xFIP 4.03)
Home SP: 
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.28)
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.28)Cardinals Key Injuries:
JoJo Romero
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(9-5)
Dodgers
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(377-312)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Phillies
Away SP: Eric Lauer (xFIP 5.24)
Home SP: 
Aaron Nola (xFIP 4.22)
Aaron Nola (xFIP 4.22)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen
Phillies Key Injuries:
Brad Keller
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyPhillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(10-6)
Twins
@
6:40 PM ET
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(575-388)
Twins +1.5
Twins
Guardians
Away SP: 
Bailey Ober (xFIP 4.34)
Bailey Ober (xFIP 4.34)Home SP: 
Slade Cecconi (xFIP 4.21)
Slade Cecconi (xFIP 4.21)Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda, Marco Raya
Guardians Key Injuries:
Tim Herrin
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan JeffersGuardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-2)
Pirates
@
7:05 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Yankees
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(377-312)
Yankees moneyline
Pirates
Yankees
Away SP: 
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 4.43)
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 4.43)Home SP: 
Max Fried (xFIP 3.63)
Max Fried (xFIP 3.63)Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Giancarlo Stanton
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezYankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 12:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-2)
Rays
@
7:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(377-312)
Rays moneyline
Rays
Blue Jays
Away SP: 
Griffin Jax (xFIP 4.04)
Griffin Jax (xFIP 4.04)Home SP: 
Braydon Fisher (xFIP 4.11)
Braydon Fisher (xFIP 4.11)Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Jonatan Clase
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Jonatan Clase
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-1)
Orioles
@
7:10 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Red Sox
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(377-312)
Red Sox moneyline
Orioles
Red Sox
Away SP: 
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.55)
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.55)Home SP: TBD (not yet announced)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Adley Rutschman, Blaze Alexander
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-7)
Padres
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(575-388)
Padres +1.5
Padres
Braves
Away SP: 
Michael King (xFIP 4.17)
Michael King (xFIP 4.17)Home SP: 
Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.41)
Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.41)Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada, Miguel Andujar, Samad Taylor
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceBraves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-2)
White Sox
@
8:05 PM ET
Rangers
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(575-388)
Rangers +1.5
White Sox
Rangers
Away SP: 
Anthony Kay (xFIP 4.95)
Anthony Kay (xFIP 4.95)Home SP: 
Tyler Alexander (xFIP 2.91)
Tyler Alexander (xFIP 2.91)White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Rangers Key Injuries:
Kyle Higashioka, Corey Seager
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiRangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Justin FoscueOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-5)
Marlins
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(575-388)
Marlins +1.5
Marlins
Astros
Away SP: 
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.90)
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.90)Home SP: 
Peter Lambert (xFIP 4.09)
Peter Lambert (xFIP 4.09)Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, John King, Max Meyer, Owen Caissie
Astros Key Injuries:
None
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineAstros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-1)
Tigers
@
8:10 PM ET
Cubs
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(575-388)
Tigers +1.5
Tigers
Cubs
Away SP: 
Keider Montero (xFIP 3.69)
Keider Montero (xFIP 3.69)Home SP: 
Colin Rea (xFIP 4.64)
Colin Rea (xFIP 4.64)Tigers Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:55 PM ET