WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-21
7/13 (53.8%)
7W - 6L
✗ LOSS
(7-8)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Nationals
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(374-310)
POTD
Nationals moneyline
Nationals
Rockies
Away SP: Carson Palmquist (xFIP 3.27)
Home SP: Michael Lorenzen (xFIP 4.63)
Nationals Key Injuries:
Brad Lord, PJ Poulin
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakOver/Under (Game Total): Over 13.0
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-1)
Dodgers
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(572-384)
Dodgers +1.5
Dodgers
Phillies
Away SP: 
Justin Wrobleski (xFIP 3.44)
Justin Wrobleski (xFIP 3.44)Home SP: 
Zack Wheeler (xFIP 3.02)
Zack Wheeler (xFIP 3.02)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen
Phillies Key Injuries:
Brad Keller
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyPhillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-5)
Twins
@
6:40 PM ET
Guardians
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(374-310)
Guardians moneyline
Twins
Guardians
Away SP: Kendry Rojas (xFIP 4.20)
Home SP: 
Parker Messick (xFIP 3.36)
Parker Messick (xFIP 3.36)Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda, Marco Raya
Guardians Key Injuries:
Tim Herrin
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan JeffersGuardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
Pirates
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(374-310)
Yankees moneyline
Pirates
Yankees
Away SP: 
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 4.65)
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 4.65)Home SP: 
Will Warren (xFIP 3.94)
Will Warren (xFIP 3.94)Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Giancarlo Stanton
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezYankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(12-2)
Rays
@
7:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(374-310)
Rays moneyline
Rays
Blue Jays
Away SP: 
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.36)
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.36)Home SP: Kevin Gausman (xFIP 3.56)
Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Jonatan Clase
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Orioles
@
7:10 PM ET
Red Sox
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(374-310)
Red Sox moneyline
Orioles
Red Sox
Away SP: 
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.07)
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.07)Home SP: Eduardo Rivera (xFIP 3.92)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Adley Rutschman, Blaze Alexander
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 5:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(8-3)
Padres
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(374-310)
Braves moneyline
Padres
Braves
Away SP: 
Walker Buehler (xFIP 4.25)
Walker Buehler (xFIP 4.25)Home SP: Reynaldo López (xFIP 4.24)
Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada, Miguel Andujar, Samad Taylor
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceBraves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-3)
Giants
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(572-384)
Giants +1.5
Giants
Royals
Away SP: Tyler Mahle (xFIP 4.22)
Home SP: Luinder Avila (xFIP 4.63)
Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox
Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Casey Schmitt
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-0)
Mets
@
7:40 PM ET
Brewers
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(572-384)
Mets +1.5
Mets
Brewers
Away SP: 
Zac Thornton (xFIP 3.05)
Zac Thornton (xFIP 3.05)Home SP: Brandon Sproat (xFIP 4.67)
Mets Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison, David Hamilton
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-11)
Tigers
@
8:05 PM ET
Cubs
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(572-384)
Tigers +1.5
Tigers
Cubs
Away SP: 
Framber Valdez (xFIP 4.16)
Framber Valdez (xFIP 4.16)Home SP: 
David Peterson (xFIP 4.35)
David Peterson (xFIP 4.35)Tigers Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(0-10)
White Sox
@
8:05 PM ET
Rangers
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(572-384)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Rangers
Away SP: Noah Schultz (xFIP 5.05)
Home SP: 
Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.20)
Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.20)White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Rangers Key Injuries:
Kyle Higashioka, Corey Seager
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiRangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Justin FoscueOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-5)
Marlins
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(572-384)
Marlins +1.5
Marlins
Astros
Away SP: 
Tyler Phillips (xFIP 4.54)
Tyler Phillips (xFIP 4.54)Home SP: 
Tatsuya Imai (xFIP 4.69)
Tatsuya Imai (xFIP 4.69)Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, John King, Max Meyer, Owen Caissie
Astros Key Injuries:
None
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineAstros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-5)
Cardinals
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(572-384)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals
Angels
Away SP: 
Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.42)
Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.42)Home SP: 
Walbert Ureña (xFIP 4.01)
Walbert Ureña (xFIP 4.01)Cardinals Key Injuries:
JoJo Romero
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-6)
Athletics
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Confident
Career: 54.7%
(374-310)
Diamondbacks moneyline
Athletics
Diamondbacks
Away SP: 
Jack Perkins (xFIP 4.04)
Jack Perkins (xFIP 4.04)Home SP: Kohl Drake (xFIP 5.00)
Athletics Key Injuries:
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer, Zack Gelof, Nick Kurtz
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Tyler Soderstrom
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-2)
Reds
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(572-384)
Reds +1.5
Reds
Mariners
Away SP: 
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.43)
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.43)Home SP: Luis Castillo (xFIP 4.05)
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn
Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayMariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET