WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-20
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Mets
@
7:40 PM ET
Brewers
Strong
Career: 66.2%
(98-50)
POTD
Brewers moneyline
Mets
Brewers
Away SP: Freddy Peralta (xFIP 4.22)
Home SP: Jacob Misiorowski (xFIP 2.16)
Mets Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison, David Hamilton
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Twins
@
6:40 PM ET
Guardians
Confident
Career: 54.9%
(246-202)
Twins moneyline
Twins
Guardians
Away SP: Joe Ryan (xFIP 2.84)
Home SP: Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.41)
Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda, Marco Raya
Guardians Key Injuries:
Tim Herrin
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
Pirates
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(392-264)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates
Yankees
Away SP: Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 3.30)
Home SP: Ryan Weathers (xFIP 3.56)
Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Giancarlo Stanton
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
Rays
@
7:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(392-264)
Rays +1.5
Rays
Blue Jays
Away SP: Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.98)
Home SP: Dylan Cease (xFIP 2.25)
Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Jonatan Clase
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Dodgers
@
7:10 PM ET
Phillies
Confident
Career: 54.9%
(246-202)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Phillies
Away SP: Emmet Sheehan (xFIP 3.90)
Home SP: Cristopher Sánchez (xFIP 2.77)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Phillies Key Injuries:
Brad Keller
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Orioles
@
7:10 PM ET
Red Sox
Confident
Career: 54.9%
(246-202)
Red Sox moneyline
Orioles
Red Sox
Away SP: Shane Baz (xFIP 3.65)
Home SP: Payton Tolle (xFIP 3.30)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Adley Rutschman, Blaze Alexander
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Zack Kelly, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Padres
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Confident
Career: 54.9%
(246-202)
Braves moneyline
Padres
Braves
Away SP: JP Sears (xFIP 4.64)
Home SP: Bryce Elder (xFIP 4.14)
Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada, Miguel Andujar, Samad Taylor
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez, Mike Yastrzemski
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
Giants
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(392-264)
Giants +1.5
Giants
Royals
Away SP: Trevor McDonald (xFIP 4.12)
Home SP: Michael Wacha (xFIP 4.02)
Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox
Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Casey Schmitt
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Tigers
@
8:05 PM ET
Cubs
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(392-264)
Tigers +1.5
Tigers
Cubs
Away SP: Jack Flaherty (xFIP 3.92)
Home SP: Jameson Taillon (xFIP 5.05)
Tigers Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 11.5
Posted 7:50 PM ET
White Sox
@
8:05 PM ET
Rangers
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(392-264)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Rangers
Away SP: Erick Fedde (xFIP 4.88)
Home SP: Jacob deGrom (xFIP 3.12)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Rangers Key Injuries:
Jalen Beeks, Corey Seager
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:50 PM ET
Marlins
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(392-264)
Marlins +1.5
Marlins
Astros
Away SP: Janson Junk (xFIP 4.13)
Home SP: Ronel Blanco (xFIP 5.00)
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, John King, Max Meyer, Owen Caissie
Astros Key Injuries:
None
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 7:55 PM ET
Nationals
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Confident
Career: 54.9%
(246-202)
Nationals moneyline
Nationals
Rockies
Away SP: Andrew Alvarez (xFIP 3.01)
Home SP: Kyle Freeland (xFIP 4.14)
Nationals Key Injuries:
Brad Lord, PJ Poulin
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 12.0
Posted 8:25 PM ET
Athletics
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Confident
Career: 54.9%
(246-202)
Diamondbacks moneyline
Athletics
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Jeffrey Springs (xFIP 4.99)
Home SP: Mitch Bratt (xFIP 6.44)
Athletics Key Injuries:
Zack Gelof, Nick Kurtz
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Tyler Soderstrom
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
Reds
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Confident
Career: 54.9%
(246-202)
Mariners moneyline
Reds
Mariners
Away SP: Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.63)
Home SP: George Kirby (xFIP 3.40)
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn
Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
Cardinals
@
10:10 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(392-264)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals
Angels
Away SP: Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.08)
Home SP: José Soriano (xFIP 4.04)
Cardinals Key Injuries:
JoJo Romero
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:55 PM ET