WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-19
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Strong
Career: 65.2%
(133-71)
POTD
Nationals moneyline
Away SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 3.79)
Home SP: 
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.41)
Nationals Key Injuries:
Brad Lord, Richard Lovelady
Athletics Key Injuries:
Zack Gelof, Nick Kurtz
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Tyler Soderstrom
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(373-308)
White Sox moneyline
Away SP: 
Sean Burke (xFIP 3.64)
Home SP: Trey Yesavage (xFIP 4.18)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Jonatan Clase
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 12:00 PM ET
@
12:35 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Yankees +1.5
Away SP: 
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.42)
Home SP: 
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 2.88)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Giancarlo Stanton
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 12:20 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Phillies +1.5
Away SP: 
Nolan McLean (xFIP 3.51)
Home SP: Alan Rangel (xFIP 4.15)
Mets Key Injuries:
None
Phillies Key Injuries:
Brad Keller
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Braves +1.5
Away SP: Nathan Eovaldi (xFIP 3.67)
Home SP: 
Grant Holmes (xFIP 4.67)
Rangers Key Injuries:
Jalen Beeks, Corey Seager
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez, Mike Yastrzemski
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Rays +1.5
Away SP: 
Shane McClanahan (xFIP 3.22)
Home SP: 
Sonny Gray (xFIP 3.60)
Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Zack Kelly, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(373-308)
Pirates moneyline
Away SP: 
Paul Skenes (xFIP 2.95)
Home SP: 
Joey Cantillo (xFIP 4.09)
Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Guardians Key Injuries:
Tim Herrin
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Marlins +1.5
Away SP: 
Eury Pérez (xFIP 4.03)
Home SP: 
Robert Gasser (xFIP 4.60)
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, John King, Owen Caissie
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison, David Hamilton
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Orioles +1.5
Away SP: 
Brandon Young (xFIP 4.11)
Home SP: 
Hunter Brown (xFIP 4.62)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Blaze Alexander
Astros Key Injuries:
None
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 1:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Padres +1.5
Away SP: Germán Márquez (xFIP 5.53)
Home SP: 
Noah Cameron (xFIP 3.92)
Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada, Samad Taylor
Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 1:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Twins +1.5
Away SP: 
Zebby Matthews (xFIP 4.47)
Home SP: 
Shota Imanaga (xFIP 4.04)
Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda, Marco Raya, Byron Buxton
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 2:05 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Rockies +1.5
Away SP: Hunter Greene (xFIP 2.20)
Home SP: 
Ryan Feltner (xFIP 4.68)
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 11.0
Posted 2:55 PM ET
Strong
Career: 65.2%
(133-71)
Tigers moneyline
Away SP: Casey Mize (xFIP 2.76)
Home SP: 
Ryan Johnson (xFIP 5.30)
Tigers Key Injuries:
Gleyber Torres
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Cardinals +1.5
Away SP: Andre Pallante (xFIP 4.08)
Home SP: 
Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.18)
Cardinals Key Injuries:
JoJo Romero
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(373-308)
Mariners moneyline
Away SP: Robbie Ray (xFIP 4.56)
Home SP: 
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.36)
Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox
Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Casey Schmitt
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
@
7:20 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Slight Lean
Career: 59.8%
(569-382)
Yankees +1.5
Away SP: TBD (not yet announced)
Home SP: TBD (not yet announced)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Giancarlo Stanton
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 12:20 PM ET
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