WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-18
8/15 (53.3%)
8W - 7L
✗ LOSS
(0-1)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
White Sox
@
3:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
POTD
White Sox moneyline
White Sox
Blue Jays
Away SP: Davis Martin (xFIP 3.16)
Home SP: Shane Bieber (xFIP 6.49)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiBlue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Jonatan Clase
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-1)
Pirates
@
1:10 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates
Guardians
Away SP: 
Jared Jones (xFIP 3.51)
Jared Jones (xFIP 3.51)Home SP: 
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.53)
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.53)Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Guardians Key Injuries:
Tim Herrin
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezGuardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-6)
Twins
@
2:20 PM ET
Cubs
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Twins +1.5
Twins
Cubs
Away SP: 
Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.75)
Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.75)Home SP: 
Matthew Boyd (xFIP 3.65)
Matthew Boyd (xFIP 3.65)Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda, Marco Raya, Byron Buxton
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan JeffersCubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 2:05 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-6)
Mets
@
3:05 PM ET
Phillies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Mets +1.5
Mets
Phillies
Away SP: 
Sean Manaea (xFIP 4.05)
Sean Manaea (xFIP 4.05)Home SP: 
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.91)
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.91)Mets Key Injuries:
None
Phillies Key Injuries:
Brad Keller
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco AlvarezPhillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 2:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-10)
Reds
@
3:10 PM ET
Rockies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rockies +1.5
Reds
Rockies
Away SP: 
Rhett Lowder (xFIP 4.66)
Rhett Lowder (xFIP 4.66)Home SP: 
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.82)
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.82)Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayRockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakOver/Under (Game Total): Under 12.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-5)
Cardinals
@
4:10 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Dustin May (xFIP 3.33)
Home SP: 
Brandon Pfaadt (xFIP 4.48)
Brandon Pfaadt (xFIP 4.48)Cardinals Key Injuries:
JoJo Romero
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-8)
Marlins
@
4:10 PM ET
Brewers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Marlins +1.5
Marlins
Brewers
Away SP: Max Meyer (xFIP 3.60)
Home SP: 
Shane Drohan (xFIP 3.31)
Shane Drohan (xFIP 3.31)Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, John King, Owen Caissie
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison, Carlos Rodriguez, David Hamilton
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineBrewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-2)
Orioles
@
4:10 PM ET
Astros
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Orioles moneyline
Orioles
Astros
Away SP: 
Trevor Rogers (xFIP 4.14)
Trevor Rogers (xFIP 4.14)Home SP: Spencer Arrighetti (xFIP 4.86)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Blaze Alexander
Astros Key Injuries:
None
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloAstros Dark Horse HR:
LaMonte Wade Jr.
LaMonte Wade Jr.Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-6)
Padres
@
4:10 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Royals +1.5
Padres
Royals
Away SP: 
Griffin Canning (xFIP 4.55)
Griffin Canning (xFIP 4.55)Home SP: 
Randy Dobnak (xFIP 4.93)
Randy Dobnak (xFIP 4.93)Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada, Samad Taylor
Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Luis CampusanoRoyals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenOver/Under (Game Total): Under 11.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(7-6)
Rangers
@
4:10 PM ET
Braves
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Braves moneyline
Rangers
Braves
Away SP: 
MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.67)
MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.67)Home SP: Owen Murphy (xFIP 1.92)
Rangers Key Injuries:
Jalen Beeks, Corey Seager
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez, Mike Yastrzemski
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Justin FoscueBraves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-7)
Rays
@
4:10 PM ET
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rays +1.5
Rays
Red Sox
Away SP: 
Ian Seymour (xFIP 3.85)
Ian Seymour (xFIP 3.85)Home SP: 
Patrick Sandoval (xFIP 1.55)
Patrick Sandoval (xFIP 1.55)Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Zack Kelly, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-5)
Pirates
@
7:10 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates
Guardians
Away SP: TBD (not yet announced)
Home SP: 
Logan Allen (xFIP 3.53)
Logan Allen (xFIP 3.53)Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Spencer Horwitz
Guardians Key Injuries:
Tim Herrin
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezGuardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 12:55 PM ET
Dodgers
@
8:08 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Dodgers +1.5
Dodgers
Yankees
Away SP: Emmet Sheehan (xFIP 3.90)
Home SP: Ryan Weathers (xFIP 3.56)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Giancarlo Stanton
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyYankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 4:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-4)
Giants
@
8:08 PM ET
Mariners
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Giants +1.5
Giants
Mariners
Away SP: 
Logan Webb (xFIP 3.51)
Logan Webb (xFIP 3.51)Home SP: 
Bryan Woo (xFIP 3.12)
Bryan Woo (xFIP 3.12)Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox
Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Rafael Devers
Rafael DeversMariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-15)
Nationals
@
10:05 PM ET
Athletics
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Nationals moneyline
Nationals
Athletics
Away SP: Zack Littell (xFIP 5.12)
Home SP: 
J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.41)
J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.41)Nationals Key Injuries:
Brad Lord, Richard Lovelady
Athletics Key Injuries:
Zack Gelof, Nick Kurtz
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Jonah Heim
Jonah HeimOver/Under (Game Total): Under 11.5
Posted 9:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-0)
Tigers
@
10:07 PM ET
Angels
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Tigers moneyline
Tigers
Angels
Away SP: Tarik Skubal (xFIP 2.98)
Home SP: 
Grayson Rodriguez (xFIP 4.91)
Grayson Rodriguez (xFIP 4.91)Tigers Key Injuries:
Gleyber Torres
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:55 PM ET