WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-17
11/14 (78.6%)
11W - 3L
✓ WIN
(2-1)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Strong Favourite badge
Tigers
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Confident
Career: 54.6%
(371-308)
POTD
Tigers moneyline
Tigers
Angels
Away SP: 
Troy Melton (xFIP 3.92)
Troy Melton (xFIP 3.92)Home SP: 
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.42)
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.42)Tigers Key Injuries:
Gleyber Torres
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-5)
Rays
@
1:35 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.0%
(568-378)
Rays +1.5
Rays
Red Sox
Away SP: Griffin Jax (xFIP 4.05)
Home SP: 
Jake Bennett (xFIP 3.09)
Jake Bennett (xFIP 3.09)Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Zack Kelly, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Vilade
Ryan ViladeRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Andruw Monasterio
Andruw MonasterioOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-1)
Dodgers
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 60.0%
(568-378)
Yankees +1.5
Dodgers
Yankees
Away SP: Roki Sasaki (xFIP 4.76)
Home SP: 
Gerrit Cole (xFIP 3.73)
Gerrit Cole (xFIP 3.73)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyYankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
Pirates
@
7:10 PM ET
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 60.0%
(568-378)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates
Guardians
Away SP: 
Jared Jones (xFIP 3.51)
Jared Jones (xFIP 3.51)Home SP: 
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.53)
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.53)Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Oneil Cruz, Spencer Horwitz
Guardians Key Injuries:
Tim Herrin
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezGuardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 4:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-5)
Rays
@
7:10 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.0%
(568-378)
Rays +1.5
Rays
Red Sox
Away SP: TBD (not yet announced)
Home SP: TBD (not yet announced)
Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Zack Kelly, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Vilade
Ryan ViladeRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Andruw Monasterio
Andruw MonasterioOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-15)
Rangers
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Confident
Career: 54.6%
(371-308)
Braves moneyline
Rangers
Braves
Away SP: 
Cal Quantrill (xFIP 4.68)
Cal Quantrill (xFIP 4.68)Home SP: 
Chris Sale (xFIP 2.88)
Chris Sale (xFIP 2.88)Rangers Key Injuries:
Jalen Beeks, Jakob Junis, Corey Seager
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez, Mike Yastrzemski
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Justin FoscueBraves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(12-4)
White Sox
@
7:15 PM ET
Blue Jays
Slight Lean
Career: 60.0%
(568-378)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Blue Jays
Away SP: 
Anthony Kay (xFIP 4.87)
Anthony Kay (xFIP 4.87)Home SP: 
Spencer Miles (xFIP 3.09)
Spencer Miles (xFIP 3.09)White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiBlue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Jonatan Clase
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-2)
Marlins
@
7:40 PM ET
Brewers
Confident
Career: 54.6%
(371-308)
Brewers moneyline
Marlins
Brewers
Away SP: 
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.85)
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.85)Home SP: 
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.53)
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.53)Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, John King, Owen Caissie
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison, Carlos Rodriguez, David Hamilton
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineBrewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-2)
Twins
@
8:05 PM ET
Cubs
Slight Lean
Career: 60.0%
(568-378)
Twins +1.5
Twins
Cubs
Away SP: 
Bailey Ober (xFIP 4.48)
Bailey Ober (xFIP 4.48)Home SP: 
Colin Rea (xFIP 4.71)
Colin Rea (xFIP 4.71)Twins Key Injuries:
Anthony Banda, Marco Raya, Byron Buxton
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan JeffersCubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoOver/Under (Game Total): Under 11.0
Posted 7:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-2)
Orioles
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Slight Lean
Career: 60.0%
(568-378)
Orioles +1.5
Orioles
Astros
Away SP: Dean Kremer (xFIP 4.71)
Home SP: 
Peter Lambert (xFIP 4.19)
Peter Lambert (xFIP 4.19)Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Blaze Alexander
Astros Key Injuries:
None
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloAstros Dark Horse HR:
LaMonte Wade Jr.
LaMonte Wade Jr.Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-7)
Padres
@
8:10 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.0%
(568-378)
Royals +1.5
Padres
Royals
Away SP: 
Michael King (xFIP 4.08)
Michael King (xFIP 4.08)Home SP: 
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.22)
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.22)Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada, Samad Taylor
Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Luis CampusanoRoyals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenOver/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-2)
Reds
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.0%
(568-378)
Reds +1.5
Reds
Rockies
Away SP: 
Brady Singer (xFIP 4.87)
Brady Singer (xFIP 4.87)Home SP: 
Gabriel Hughes (xFIP 2.39)
Gabriel Hughes (xFIP 2.39)Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayRockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakOver/Under (Game Total): Under 12.0
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-4)
Cardinals
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Confident
Career: 54.6%
(371-308)
Cardinals moneyline
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
Away SP: 
Michael McGreevy (xFIP 4.09)
Michael McGreevy (xFIP 4.09)Home SP: 
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.23)
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.23)Cardinals Key Injuries:
JoJo Romero
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(23-4)
Nationals
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Confident
Career: 54.6%
(371-308)
Nationals moneyline
Nationals
Athletics
Away SP: 
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.33)
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.33)Home SP: 
Gage Jump (xFIP 3.38)
Gage Jump (xFIP 3.38)Nationals Key Injuries:
Brad Lord, Richard Lovelady
Athletics Key Injuries:
Zack Gelof, Nick Kurtz
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Jonah Heim
Jonah HeimOver/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(7-0)
Giants
@
10:10 PM ET
Mariners
Confident
Career: 54.6%
(371-308)
Mariners moneyline
Giants
Mariners
Away SP: 
Landen Roupp (xFIP 3.36)
Landen Roupp (xFIP 3.36)Home SP: 
Bryce Miller (xFIP 2.99)
Bryce Miller (xFIP 2.99)Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox
Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Rafael Devers
Rafael DeversMariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 9:55 PM ET