WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-12
8/15 (53.3%)
8W - 7L
✓ WIN
(8-4)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Cubs
@
1:40 PM ET
Reds
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(362-298)
POTD
Cubs moneyline
Cubs
Reds
Away SP: 
Matthew Boyd (xFIP 3.32)
Matthew Boyd (xFIP 3.32)Home SP: 
Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.62)
Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.62)Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn, Dane Myers
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoReds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-14)
Brewers
@
12:15 PM ET
Pirates
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(543-361)
Brewers +1.5
Brewers
Pirates
Away SP: 
Robert Gasser (xFIP 4.44)
Robert Gasser (xFIP 4.44)Home SP: 
Paul Skenes (xFIP 3.04)
Paul Skenes (xFIP 3.04)Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Kyle Harrison, Carlos Rodriguez, David Hamilton
Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Oneil Cruz, Spencer Horwitz
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezPirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 12:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-8)
Royals
@
1:35 PM ET
Orioles
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(362-298)
Orioles moneyline
Royals
Orioles
Away SP: 
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.20)
Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.20)Home SP: 
Shane Baz (xFIP 3.84)
Shane Baz (xFIP 3.84)Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenOrioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-3)
Yankees
@
1:35 PM ET
Nationals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(543-361)
Yankees +1.5
Yankees
Nationals
Away SP: 
Will Warren (xFIP 3.82)
Will Warren (xFIP 3.82)Home SP: 
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.42)
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.42)Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
Nationals Key Injuries:
Brad Lord, Richard Lovelady
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtNationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-2)
Guardians
@
1:40 PM ET
Marlins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(543-361)
Marlins +1.5
Guardians
Marlins
Away SP: 
Joey Cantillo (xFIP 4.23)
Joey Cantillo (xFIP 4.23)Home SP: 
Tyler Phillips (xFIP 4.55)
Tyler Phillips (xFIP 4.55)Guardians Key Injuries:
Tim Herrin
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, William Kempner, John King, Owen Caissie
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Griffin ConineOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-2)
Mariners
@
1:40 PM ET
Rays
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(543-361)
Mariners +1.5
Mariners
Rays
Away SP: 
Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.66)
Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.66)Home SP: 
Ian Seymour (xFIP 3.65)
Ian Seymour (xFIP 3.65)Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Victor Mesa Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-0)
Phillies
@
1:40 PM ET
Tigers
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(362-298)
Tigers moneyline
Phillies
Tigers
Away SP: 
Zack Wheeler (xFIP 3.14)
Zack Wheeler (xFIP 3.14)Home SP: Tarik Skubal (xFIP 2.97)
Phillies Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Key Injuries:
Gleyber Torres
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperTigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-2)
Red Sox
@
1:40 PM ET
Mets
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(362-298)
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox
Mets
Away SP: 
Payton Tolle (xFIP 3.44)
Payton Tolle (xFIP 3.44)Home SP: Zach Thornton (xFIP 3.36)
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Zack Kelly, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Mets Key Injuries:
None
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Andruw Monasterio
Andruw MonasterioMets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-4)
Angels
@
2:10 PM ET
Twins
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(362-298)
Twins moneyline
Angels
Twins
Away SP: José Soriano (xFIP 4.01)
Home SP: 
Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.67)
Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.67)Angels Key Injuries:
None
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Anthony Banda, Marco Raya, Byron Buxton
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutTwins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan JeffersOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-9)
Athletics
@
2:10 PM ET
White Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(543-361)
Athletics +1.5
Athletics
White Sox
Away SP: 
J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.33)
J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.33)Home SP: Noah Schultz (xFIP 5.15)
Athletics Key Injuries:
Zack Gelof, Nick Kurtz, Brent Rooker
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Jonah Heim
Jonah HeimWhite Sox Dark Horse HR:
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-3)
Braves
@
2:15 PM ET
Cardinals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(543-361)
Braves +1.5
Braves
Cardinals
Away SP: Danny Young (xFIP 4.81)
Home SP: Dustin May (xFIP 3.26)
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez, Mike Yastrzemski
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris IICardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 2:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-6)
Astros
@
2:35 PM ET
Rangers
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(362-298)
Rangers moneyline
Astros
Rangers
Away SP: 
Cristian Javier (xFIP 7.49)
Cristian Javier (xFIP 7.49)Home SP: 
MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.64)
MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.64)Astros Key Injuries:
Kai-Wei Teng
Rangers Key Injuries:
Jalen Beeks, Jakob Junis, Corey Seager
Astros Dark Horse HR:
LaMonte Wade Jr.
LaMonte Wade Jr.Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Justin FoscueOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 2:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-3)
Rockies
@
4:05 PM ET
Giants
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(543-361)
Rockies +1.5
Rockies
Giants
Away SP: Michael Lorenzen (xFIP 4.59)
Home SP: Trevor McDonald (xFIP 4.05)
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Giants Key Injuries:
Victor Bericoto, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakGiants Dark Horse HR:
Rafael Devers
Rafael DeversOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-5)
Blue Jays
@
4:10 PM ET
Padres
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(362-298)
Blue Jays moneyline
Blue Jays
Padres
Away SP: Kevin Gausman (xFIP 3.60)
Home SP: Germán Márquez (xFIP 5.44)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada, Samad Taylor
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon ValenzuelaPadres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Luis CampusanoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-3)
Diamondbacks
@
4:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Confident
Career: 54.8%
(362-298)
Dodgers moneyline
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
Away SP: Mitch Bratt (xFIP 3.17)
Home SP: Emmet Sheehan (xFIP 4.03)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollDodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET