WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-09
8/13 (61.5%)
8W - 5L
✓ WIN
(8-4)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Brewers
@
7:45 PM ET
Cardinals
Confident
Career: 54.5%
(348-291)
POTD
Brewers moneyline
Brewers
Cardinals
Away SP: 
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.47)
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.47)Home SP: Andre Pallante (xFIP 3.97)
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Carlos Rodriguez, Brandon Woodruff, David Hamilton
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezCardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 7:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(10-5)
Braves
@
12:35 PM ET
Pirates
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(531-355)
Pirates +1.5
Braves
Pirates
Away SP: 
Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.97)
Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.97)Home SP: Mitch Keller (xFIP 4.38)
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Konnor Griffin, Oneil Cruz, Spencer Horwitz
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris IIPirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezOver/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 12:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-7)
Royals
@
1:10 PM ET
Mets
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(531-355)
Royals +1.5
Royals
Mets
Away SP: 
Michael Wacha (xFIP 3.96)
Michael Wacha (xFIP 3.96)Home SP: 
Sean Manaea (xFIP 4.02)
Sean Manaea (xFIP 4.02)Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel, Vinnie Pasquantino
Mets Key Injuries:
None
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenMets Dark Horse HR:
Eric Wagaman
Eric WagamanOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(12-4)
Yankees
@
1:10 PM ET
Rays
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(531-355)
Yankees +1.5
Yankees
Rays
Away SP: 
Paul Blackburn (xFIP 3.68)
Paul Blackburn (xFIP 3.68)Home SP: 
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.33)
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.33)Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtRays Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Vilade
Ryan ViladeOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-3)
Cubs
@
1:35 PM ET
Orioles
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(531-355)
Cubs +1.5
Cubs
Orioles
Away SP: 
David Peterson (xFIP 4.15)
David Peterson (xFIP 4.15)Home SP: 
Trevor Rogers (xFIP 4.08)
Trevor Rogers (xFIP 4.08)Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoOrioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloOver/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-2)
Guardians
@
1:40 PM ET
Twins
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(531-355)
Twins +1.5
Guardians
Twins
Away SP: 
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.60)
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.60)Home SP: 
Bailey Ober (xFIP 4.53)
Bailey Ober (xFIP 4.53)Guardians Key Injuries:
Tim Herrin
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Anthony Banda, Marco Raya, Ryan Jeffers, Byron Buxton
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Brooks Lee
Brooks LeeOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-1)
Red Sox
@
2:10 PM ET
White Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(531-355)
White Sox +1.5
Red Sox
White Sox
Away SP: 
Patrick Sandoval (xFIP 5.00)
Patrick Sandoval (xFIP 5.00)Home SP: 
Anthony Kay (xFIP 4.85)
Anthony Kay (xFIP 4.85)Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Zack Kelly, Ranger Suarez, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Nick Sogard
White Sox Key Injuries:
Munetaka Murakami, Everson Pereira
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Romy Gonzalez
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Randal Grichuk
Randal GrichukOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-4)
Athletics
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Confident
Career: 54.5%
(348-291)
Tigers moneyline
Athletics
Tigers
Away SP: José Suarez (xFIP 3.38)
Home SP: 
Framber Valdez (xFIP 4.35)
Framber Valdez (xFIP 4.35)Athletics Key Injuries:
Brent Rooker
Tigers Key Injuries:
Gleyber Torres
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Jonah Heim
Jonah HeimTigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-8)
Mariners
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Confident
Career: 54.5%
(348-291)
Mariners moneyline
Mariners
Marlins
Away SP: 
Bryce Miller (xFIP 2.67)
Bryce Miller (xFIP 2.67)Home SP: 
Janson Junk (xFIP 4.01)
Janson Junk (xFIP 4.01)Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender, John King, Owen Caissie
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Heriberto Hernández
Heriberto HernándezOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-0)
Phillies
@
7:10 PM ET
Reds
Confident
Career: 54.5%
(348-291)
Phillies moneyline
Phillies
Reds
Away SP: 
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 3.02)
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 3.02)Home SP: 
Brady Singer (xFIP 4.97)
Brady Singer (xFIP 4.97)Phillies Key Injuries:
None
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn, Dane Myers
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperReds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-7)
Angels
@
8:05 PM ET
Rangers
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(531-355)
Angels +1.5
Angels
Rangers
Away SP: 
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.14)
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.14)Home SP: Nathan Eovaldi (xFIP 3.78)
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Rangers Key Injuries:
Jalen Beeks, Jakob Junis, Corey Seager
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Mike Trout
Mike TroutRangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Justin FoscueOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-1)
Diamondbacks
@
9:40 PM ET
Padres
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(531-355)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Diamondbacks
Padres
Away SP: 
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.30)
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.30)Home SP: 
Griffin Canning (xFIP 4.80)
Griffin Canning (xFIP 4.80)Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar
Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada, Samad Taylor
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollPadres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Luis CampusanoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-8)
Rockies
@
9:45 PM ET
Giants
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(531-355)
Rockies +1.5
Rockies
Giants
Away SP: 
Ryan Feltner (xFIP 4.43)
Ryan Feltner (xFIP 4.43)Home SP: 
Carson Whisenhunt (xFIP 3.57)
Carson Whisenhunt (xFIP 3.57)Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Giants Key Injuries:
Keaton Winn, Matt Chapman, Jonah Cox
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakGiants Dark Horse HR:
Victor Bericoto
Victor BericotoOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:30 PM ET