WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-05
8/15 (53.3%)
8W - 7L
✗ LOSS
(5-2)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Padres
@
7:20 PM ET
Dodgers
Lock
Career: 62.2%
(23-14)
POTD
Dodgers -1.5
Padres
Dodgers
Away SP: JP Sears (xFIP 5.92)
Home SP: Emmet Sheehan (xFIP 4.05)
Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Jake Eder, Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 7:05 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(10-9)
Mets
@
12:30 PM ET
Braves
Confident
Career: 54.1%
(333-282)
Braves moneyline
Mets
Braves
Away SP: Nolan McLean (xFIP 3.64)
Home SP: Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.31)
Mets Key Injuries:
None
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Eric Wagaman
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 12:15 PM ET
✓ WIN
(11-5)
Pirates
@
1:00 PM ET
Nationals
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(515-345)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates
Nationals
Away SP: Bubba Chandler (xFIP 4.55)
Home SP: Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.28)
Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Oneil Cruz, Spencer Horwitz
Nationals Key Injuries:
Richard Lovelady
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 12:45 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-3)
Orioles
@
1:05 PM ET
Reds
Confident
Career: 54.1%
(333-282)
Orioles moneyline
Orioles
Reds
Away SP: Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.14)
Home SP: Nick Lodolo (xFIP 5.04)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn, Dane Myers
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 12:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-1)
Twins
@
1:35 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(515-345)
Twins +1.5
Twins
Yankees
Away SP: Joe Ryan (xFIP 3.02)
Home SP: Ryan Weathers (xFIP 3.68)
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Anthony Banda, Ryan Jeffers
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Kody Clemens
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-6)
White Sox
@
2:00 PM ET
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(515-345)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Guardians
Away SP: Chris Murphy (xFIP 3.70)
Home SP: Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.22)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Munetaka Murakami, Everson Pereira
Guardians Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Randal Grichuk
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
David Fry
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:45 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-6)
Cardinals
@
2:30 PM ET
Cubs
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(515-345)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals
Cubs
Away SP: Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.49)
Home SP: Javier Assad (xFIP 4.71)
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Bryan Torres
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 2:15 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-5)
Phillies
@
3:00 PM ET
Royals
Confident
Career: 54.1%
(333-282)
Phillies moneyline
Phillies
Royals
Away SP: Aaron Nola (xFIP 4.28)
Home SP: Luinder Avila (xFIP 4.71)
Phillies Key Injuries:
Brad Keller
Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel, Vinnie Pasquantino
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Josh Rojas
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 2:45 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(0-2)
Rays
@
3:30 PM ET
Astros
Confident
Career: 54.1%
(333-282)
Rays moneyline
Rays
Astros
Away SP: Mason Englert (xFIP 4.22)
Home SP: Peter Lambert (xFIP 4.37)
Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Astros Key Injuries:
Kai-Wei Teng, Braden Shewmake
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Vilade
Astros Dark Horse HR:
LaMonte Wade Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:15 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-3)
Tigers
@
3:30 PM ET
Rangers
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(515-345)
Rangers +1.5
Tigers
Rangers
Away SP: Casey Mize (xFIP 2.57)
Home SP: Kumar Rocker (xFIP 3.96)
Tigers Key Injuries:
Gleyber Torres
Rangers Key Injuries:
Jalen Beeks, Jakob Junis, Corey Seager, Wyatt Langford
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Elias Díaz
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 3:15 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-2)
Brewers
@
4:00 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(515-345)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Brewers
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Brandon Sproat (xFIP 4.52)
Home SP: Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.04)
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Logan Henderson, Carlos Rodriguez, Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Jackson Chourio
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:45 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-7)
Giants
@
4:00 PM ET
Rockies
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(515-345)
Rockies +1.5
Giants
Rockies
Away SP: Tyler Mahle (xFIP 4.40)
Home SP: Tanner Gordon (xFIP 3.79)
Giants Key Injuries:
Keaton Winn, Matt Chapman
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Victor Bericoto
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 13.0
Posted 3:45 PM ET
✓ WIN
(9-8)
Marlins
@
4:30 PM ET
Athletics
Slight Lean
Career: 59.9%
(515-345)
Marlins +1.5
Marlins
Athletics
Away SP: Eury Pérez (xFIP 4.35)
Home SP: Gage Jump (xFIP 2.72)
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender
Athletics Key Injuries:
Jacob Wilson, Brent Rooker, Tyler Soderstrom
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Shea Langeliers
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 4:15 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-4)
Blue Jays
@
5:00 PM ET
Mariners
Confident
Career: 54.1%
(333-282)
Mariners moneyline
Blue Jays
Mariners
Away SP: Trey Yesavage (xFIP 3.94)
Home SP: Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.68)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Brendan Donovan
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Luis Urías
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 4:45 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-5)
Red Sox
@
9:30 PM ET
Angels
Strong
Career: 64.3%
(119-66)
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox
Angels
Away SP: Ranger Suarez (xFIP 2.78)
Home SP: Ryan Johnson (xFIP 5.15)
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Nick Sogard
Angels Key Injuries:
Mike Trout
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Romy Gonzalez
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jose Siri
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:15 PM ET