WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-04
11/15 (73.3%)
11W - 4L
✗ LOSS
(3-4)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Brewers
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Lock
Career: 65.3%
(32-17)
POTD
Brewers -1.5
Brewers
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Brandon Woodruff (xFIP 3.17)
Home SP: 
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.38)
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.38)Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Logan Henderson, Carlos Rodriguez, Brandon Lockridge
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar
Brewers Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Diamondbacks Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezDiamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-1)
Pirates
@
11:05 AM ET
Nationals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates
Nationals
Away SP: 
Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 3.22)
Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 3.22)Home SP: 
Carson Palmquist (xFIP 1.67)
Carson Palmquist (xFIP 1.67)Pirates Key Injuries:
Evan Sisk, Oneil Cruz, Spencer Horwitz
Nationals Key Injuries:
Richard Lovelady
Pirates Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Nationals Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn ValdezNationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
✓ WIN
(11-4)
Twins
@
1:35 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Twins +1.5
Twins
Yankees
Away SP: 
Zebby Matthews (xFIP 4.21)
Zebby Matthews (xFIP 4.21)Home SP: 
Brendan Beck (xFIP 8.24)
Brendan Beck (xFIP 8.24)Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Anthony Banda, Ryan Jeffers
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
Twins Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Yankees Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Kody Clemens
Kody ClemensYankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtOver/Under (Game Total): Over 10.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 1:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-0)
Tigers
@
4:05 PM ET
Rangers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
Rangers +1.5
Tigers
Rangers
Away SP: 
Jack Flaherty (xFIP 3.95)
Jack Flaherty (xFIP 3.95)Home SP: Cal Quantrill (xFIP 4.49)
Tigers Key Injuries:
Gleyber Torres
Rangers Key Injuries:
Jalen Beeks, Jakob Junis, Corey Seager, Wyatt Langford
Tigers Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Rangers Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Elias Díaz
Elias DíazOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 3:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-11)
Blue Jays
@
4:10 PM ET
Mariners
Strong
Career: 64.7%
(161-88)
Mariners moneyline
Blue Jays
Mariners
Away SP: 
Shane Bieber (xFIP 6.55)
Shane Bieber (xFIP 6.55)Home SP: 
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.45)
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.45)Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Mariners Key Injuries:
Matt Brash, Cooper Criswell, Brendan Donovan
Blue Jays Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Mariners Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Luis Urías
Luis UríasMariners Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Canzone
Dominic CanzoneOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-5)
Orioles
@
7:10 PM ET
Reds
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Orioles moneyline
Orioles
Reds
Away SP: 
Brandon Young (xFIP 4.01)
Brandon Young (xFIP 4.01)Home SP: Hunter Greene (xFIP 5.00)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn, Dane Myers
Orioles Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Reds Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloReds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(8-10)
Rays
@
7:10 PM ET
Astros
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Rays moneyline
Rays
Astros
Away SP: 
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.05)
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.05)Home SP: 
Hunter Brown (xFIP 3.45)
Hunter Brown (xFIP 3.45)Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Astros Key Injuries:
Kai-Wei Teng, Braden Shewmake
Rays Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Astros Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Vilade
Ryan ViladeAstros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-1)
White Sox
@
7:10 PM ET
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(685-454)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Guardians
Away SP: 
Sean Burke (xFIP 3.87)
Sean Burke (xFIP 3.87)Home SP: 
Parker Messick (xFIP 3.12)
Parker Messick (xFIP 3.12)White Sox Key Injuries:
Munetaka Murakami, Everson Pereira
Guardians Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Guardians Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Randal Grichuk
Randal GrichukGuardians Dark Horse HR:
David Fry
David FryOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-0)
Cardinals
@
8:08 PM ET
Cubs
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Cubs moneyline
Cardinals
Cubs
Away SP: 
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.25)
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.25)Home SP: 
Shota Imanaga (xFIP 4.07)
Shota Imanaga (xFIP 4.07)Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Cardinals Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Cubs Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Bryan Torres
Bryan TorresCubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-14)
Mets
@
8:08 PM ET
Braves
Strong
Career: 64.7%
(161-88)
Braves moneyline
Mets
Braves
Away SP: 
Sean Manaea (xFIP 3.71)
Sean Manaea (xFIP 3.71)Home SP: 
Chris Sale (xFIP 2.61)
Chris Sale (xFIP 2.61)Mets Key Injuries:
None
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Mets Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Braves Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Eric Wagaman
Eric WagamanBraves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-4)
Giants
@
8:10 PM ET
Rockies
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Giants moneyline
Giants
Rockies
Away SP: Robbie Ray (xFIP 4.45)
Home SP: 
Sean Sullivan (xFIP 5.90)
Sean Sullivan (xFIP 5.90)Giants Key Injuries:
Keaton Winn, Matt Chapman
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Giants Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Rockies Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Victor Bericoto
Victor BericotoRockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Mickey MoniakOver/Under (Game Total): Under 12.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-1)
Phillies
@
8:10 PM ET
Royals
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Phillies moneyline
Phillies
Royals
Away SP: 
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 3.16)
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 3.16)Home SP: 
Michael Wacha (xFIP 3.76)
Michael Wacha (xFIP 3.76)Phillies Key Injuries:
Brad Keller
Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel, Vinnie Pasquantino
Phillies Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Royals Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperRoyals Dark Horse HR:
Josh Rojas
Josh RojasOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-1)
Red Sox
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Strong
Career: 64.7%
(161-88)
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox
Angels
Away SP: 
Sonny Gray (xFIP 3.64)
Sonny Gray (xFIP 3.64)Home SP: 
Sam Aldegheri (xFIP 4.82)
Sam Aldegheri (xFIP 4.82)Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Nick Sogard
Angels Key Injuries:
Mike Trout
Red Sox Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Angels Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Jarren Duran
Jarren DuranAngels Dark Horse HR:
Jose Siri
Jose SiriOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-2)
Marlins
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Confident
Career: 55.9%
(448-354)
Marlins moneyline
Marlins
Athletics
Away SP: 
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 4.05)
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 4.05)Home SP: Aaron Civale (xFIP 4.73)
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender
Athletics Key Injuries:
Jacob Wilson, Brent Rooker, Tyler Soderstrom
Marlins Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Athletics Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury RuizAthletics Dark Horse HR:
Jonah Heim
Jonah HeimOver/Under (Game Total): Under 11.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-3)
Padres
@
10:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Lock
Career: 65.3%
(32-17)
Dodgers -1.5
Padres
Dodgers
Away SP: 
Wandy Peralta (xFIP 4.03)
Wandy Peralta (xFIP 4.03)Home SP: 
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.46)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.46)Padres Key Injuries:
Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Jake Eder, Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Padres Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Dodgers Anytime HR:
No pick recorded
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Luis CampusanoDodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted at 9:00 AM ET
Locked for grading: 9:55 PM ET