WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-03

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8/13 (61.5%)
8W - 5L
✓ WIN (7-4)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Brewers
Brewers
@
9:45 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
Strong Career: 63.9% (117-66) POTD
Brewers moneyline
Brewers Diamondbacks
Away SP: Kyle Harrison (xFIP 3.05)
Home SP: Jose Cabrera (xFIP 4.63)
Brewers Key Injuries: DL Hall, Logan Henderson, Carlos Rodriguez, Brandon Lockridge
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Jackson Chourio
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 9:30 PM ET
✓ WIN (17-1)
Cardinals
Cardinals
@
4:05 PM ET
Cubs
Cubs
Slight Lean Career: 60.0% (506-338)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals Cubs
Away SP: Andre Pallante (xFIP 4.03)
Home SP: David Peterson (xFIP 3.98)
Cardinals Key Injuries: None
Cubs Key Injuries: Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: Nelson Velázquez
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Michael Conforto
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS (5-9)
Pirates
Pirates
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Nationals
Slight Lean Career: 60.0% (506-338)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates Nationals
Away SP: Mitch Keller (xFIP 4.13)
Home SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 3.90)
Pirates Key Injuries: Oneil Cruz, Spencer Horwitz
Nationals Key Injuries: Richard Lovelady
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Esmerlyn Valdez
Nationals Dark Horse HR: Luis García Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-5)
Twins
Twins
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Yankees
Confident Career: 54.0% (327-278)
Yankees moneyline
Twins Yankees
Away SP: Mike Paredes (xFIP 5.16)
Home SP: Gerrit Cole (xFIP 4.12)
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Anthony Banda, Ryan Jeffers
Yankees Key Injuries: Max Fried, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
Twins Dark Horse HR: Kody Clemens
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Paul Goldschmidt
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-0)
Orioles
Orioles
@
7:10 PM ET
Reds
Reds
Confident Career: 54.0% (327-278)
Orioles moneyline
Orioles Reds
Away SP: Trevor Rogers (xFIP 4.04)
Home SP: Brady Singer (xFIP 4.92)
Orioles Key Injuries: Ryan Helsley
Reds Key Injuries: Blake Dunn, Dane Myers
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Samuel Basallo
Reds Dark Horse HR: JJ Bleday
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-4)
White Sox
White Sox
@
7:10 PM ET
Guardians
Guardians
Slight Lean Career: 60.0% (506-338)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox Guardians
Away SP: Anthony Kay (xFIP 4.87)
Home SP: Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.59)
White Sox Key Injuries: Munetaka Murakami, Everson Pereira
Guardians Key Injuries: None
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Randal Grichuk
Guardians Dark Horse HR: David Fry
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-5)
Mets
Mets
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Braves
Slight Lean Career: 60.0% (506-338)
Mets +1.5
Mets Braves
Away SP: Christian Scott (xFIP 3.99)
Home SP: Grant Holmes (xFIP 4.75)
Mets Key Injuries: None
Braves Key Injuries: Robert Suarez
Mets Dark Horse HR: Eric Wagaman
Braves Dark Horse HR: Drake Baldwin
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-15)
Giants
Giants
@
8:10 PM ET
Rockies
Rockies
Confident Career: 54.0% (327-278)
Giants moneyline
Giants Rockies
Away SP: Logan Webb (xFIP 3.07)
Home SP: Ryan Feltner (xFIP 4.71)
Giants Key Injuries: Keaton Winn, Matt Chapman
Rockies Key Injuries: None
Giants Dark Horse HR: Victor Bericoto
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Mickey Moniak
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 11.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-1)
Rays
Rays
@
8:15 PM ET
Astros
Astros
Confident Career: 54.0% (327-278)
Rays moneyline
Rays Astros
Away SP: Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.78)
Home SP: Spencer Arrighetti (xFIP 4.61)
Rays Key Injuries: Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Astros Key Injuries: Kai-Wei Teng, Braden Shewmake
Rays Dark Horse HR: Ryan Vilade
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Walker
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 8:00 PM ET
✓ WIN (5-2)
Red Sox
Red Sox
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Angels
Slight Lean Career: 60.0% (506-338)
Red Sox +1.5
Red Sox Angels
Away SP: Jake Bennett (xFIP 3.17)
Home SP: Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.02)
Red Sox Key Injuries: Connelly Early, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Nick Sogard
Angels Key Injuries: Mike Trout
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Nate Eaton
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jose Siri
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (12-5)
Marlins
Marlins
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Athletics
Slight Lean Career: 60.0% (506-338)
Marlins +1.5
Marlins Athletics
Away SP: Tyler Phillips (xFIP 4.45)
Home SP: Jack Perkins (xFIP 3.63)
Marlins Key Injuries: Anthony Bender
Athletics Key Injuries: Jacob Wilson, Zack Gelof, Brent Rooker, Tyler Soderstrom
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Griffin Conine
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Jonah Heim
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-0)
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
@
10:10 PM ET
Mariners
Mariners
Slight Lean Career: 60.0% (506-338)
Mariners +1.5
Blue Jays Mariners
Away SP: Dylan Cease (xFIP 2.43)
Home SP: Luis Castillo (xFIP 3.96)
Blue Jays Key Injuries: None
Mariners Key Injuries: Matt Brash, Cooper Criswell, Brendan Donovan
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Luis Urías
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Dominic Canzone
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 9:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-4)
Padres
Padres
@
10:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Dodgers
Lock Career: 62.2% (23-14)
Dodgers -1.5
Padres Dodgers
Away SP: Michael King (xFIP 4.26)
Home SP: Shohei Ohtani (xFIP 2.63)
Padres Key Injuries: Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada
Dodgers Key Injuries: Jake Eder, Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Padres Dark Horse HR: Ty France
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Max Muncy
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 9:55 PM ET
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