WP Auto Picks — 2026-07-01
5/14 (35.7%)
5W - 9L
✓ WIN
(2-4)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Reds
@
8:10 PM ET
Brewers
Strong
Career: 64.3%
(117-65)
POTD
Brewers moneyline
Reds
Brewers
Away SP: Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.71)
Home SP: Shane Drohan (xFIP 3.21)
Reds Key Injuries:
Blake Dunn, Dane Myers
Brewers Key Injuries:
DL Hall, Logan Henderson, Carlos Rodriguez, Brandon Lockridge
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Jackson Chourio
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-6)
White Sox
@
12:35 PM ET
Orioles
Confident
Career: 54.1%
(321-272)
Orioles moneyline
White Sox
Orioles
Away SP: Noah Schultz (xFIP 4.83)
Home SP: Dean Kremer (xFIP 3.72)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Munetaka Murakami, Everson Pereira
Orioles Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Randal Grichuk
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Samuel Basallo
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 12:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-9)
Rangers
@
1:10 PM ET
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(494-333)
Rangers +1.5
Rangers
Guardians
Away SP: MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.50)
Home SP: Joey Cantillo (xFIP 4.20)
Rangers Key Injuries:
Jalen Beeks, Corey Seager, Wyatt Langford
Guardians Key Injuries:
None
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Gabriel Arias
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(10-2)
Nationals
@
1:35 PM ET
Red Sox
Confident
Career: 54.1%
(321-272)
Red Sox moneyline
Nationals
Red Sox
Away SP: Brad Lord (xFIP 4.00)
Home SP: Payton Tolle (xFIP 3.25)
Nationals Key Injuries:
Richard Lovelady
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Connelly Early, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Nick Sogard
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Luis García Jr.
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Nate Eaton
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-2)
Tigers
@
1:35 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(494-333)
Tigers +1.5
Tigers
Yankees
Away SP: Troy Melton (xFIP 4.60)
Home SP: Will Warren (xFIP 3.67)
Tigers Key Injuries:
Gleyber Torres
Yankees Key Injuries:
Max Fried, Trent Grisham, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Paul Goldschmidt
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-23)
Padres
@
2:20 PM ET
Cubs
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(494-333)
Padres +1.5
Padres
Cubs
Away SP: Walker Buehler (xFIP 3.49)
Home SP: Colin Rea (xFIP 4.58)
Padres Key Injuries:
Jeremiah Estrada, Luis Campusano
Cubs Key Injuries:
Ben Brown, Riley Martin, Hoby Milner, Daniel Palencia, Ethan Roberts, +1 more
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Ian Happ
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 12.0
Posted 2:05 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-9)
Mets
@
3:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(494-333)
Mets +1.5
Mets
Blue Jays
Away SP: Freddy Peralta (xFIP 4.09)
Home SP: Braydon Fisher (xFIP 4.35)
Mets Key Injuries:
None
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Jared Young
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Luis Urías
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-10)
Pirates
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(494-333)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates
Phillies
Away SP: Paul Skenes (xFIP 2.82)
Home SP: Zack Wheeler (xFIP 3.42)
Pirates Key Injuries:
Oneil Cruz, Spencer Horwitz
Phillies Key Injuries:
Brad Keller
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Esmerlyn Valdez
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-5)
Cardinals
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(494-333)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals
Braves
Away SP: Michael McGreevy (xFIP 4.18)
Home SP: Reynaldo López (xFIP 4.42)
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Braves Key Injuries:
Robert Suarez
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nelson Velázquez
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-0)
Rays
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Confident
Career: 54.1%
(321-272)
Rays moneyline
Rays
Royals
Away SP: Shane McClanahan (xFIP 3.47)
Home SP: Seth Lugo (xFIP 4.11)
Rays Key Injuries:
Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Royals Key Injuries:
Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel, Vinnie Pasquantino
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Vilade
Royals Dark Horse HR:
John Rave
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-3)
Twins
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(494-333)
Twins +1.5
Twins
Astros
Away SP: Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.95)
Home SP: Tatsuya Imai (xFIP 4.09)
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Anthony Banda, Ryan Jeffers
Astros Key Injuries:
Kai-Wei Teng, Braden Shewmake
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Kreidler
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-6)
Marlins
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Strong
Career: 64.3%
(117-65)
Marlins moneyline
Marlins
Rockies
Away SP: Max Meyer (xFIP 3.37)
Home SP: Kyle Freeland (xFIP 4.48)
Marlins Key Injuries:
Anthony Bender
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Griffin Conine
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 11.0
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-7)
Dodgers
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Lock
Career: 62.2%
(23-14)
Dodgers -1.5
Dodgers
Athletics
Away SP: TBD (not yet announced)
Home SP: J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.08)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Athletics Key Injuries:
Jacob Wilson, Zack Gelof, Brent Rooker, Tyler Soderstrom
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Shea Langeliers
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 10:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-4)
Giants
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 59.7%
(494-333)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Giants
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Trevor McDonald (xFIP 4.07)
Home SP: Zac Gallen (xFIP 4.85)
Giants Key Injuries:
Keaton Winn, Matt Chapman
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Victor Bericoto
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET