WP Auto Picks — 2026-06-23

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11/15 (73.3%)
11W - 4L
✓ WIN (2-0)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
Brewers
Brewers
@
7:10 PM ET
Reds
Reds
Confident Career: 54.9% (300-246) POTD
Brewers moneyline
Brewers Reds
Away SP: Brandon Sproat (xFIP 4.92)
Home SP: Nick Lodolo (xFIP 5.32)
Brewers Key Injuries: DL Hall, Logan Henderson, Carlos Rodriguez, Brandon Lockridge
Reds Key Injuries: None
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Jackson Chourio
Reds Dark Horse HR: JJ Bleday
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-5)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Orioles
Orioles
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Angels
Confident Career: 54.9% (300-246) POTD
Orioles moneyline
Orioles Angels
Away SP: Shane Baz (xFIP 3.88)
Home SP: Ryan Johnson (xFIP 6.89)
Orioles Key Injuries: Adley Rutschman, Dylan Beavers
Angels Key Injuries: Mike Trout
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Gunnar Henderson
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jose Siri
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (9-7)
Astros
Astros
@
4:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
Slight Lean Career: 59.6% (465-315)
Astros +1.5
Astros Blue Jays
Away SP: Peter Lambert (xFIP 3.98)
Home SP: Shane Bieber (xFIP 5.00)
Astros Key Injuries: Braden Shewmake
Blue Jays Key Injuries: None
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Walker
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Brandon Valenzuela
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-2)
Mariners
Mariners
@
6:40 PM ET
Pirates
Pirates
Slight Lean Career: 59.6% (465-315)
Pirates +1.5
Mariners Pirates
Away SP: George Kirby (xFIP 3.48)
Home SP: Mitch Keller (xFIP 4.04)
Mariners Key Injuries: Matt Brash, Cooper Criswell, Brendan Donovan
Pirates Key Injuries: Konnor Griffin, Oneil Cruz
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Dominic Canzone
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Tyler Callihan
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-6)
Rangers
Rangers
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Marlins
Confident Career: 54.9% (300-246)
Marlins moneyline
Rangers Marlins
Away SP: Cal Quantrill (xFIP 4.64)
Home SP: Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 4.02)
Rangers Key Injuries: Jalen Beeks, Corey Seager
Marlins Key Injuries: Liam Hicks
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Justin Foscue
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Esteury Ruiz
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (12-5)
Royals
Royals
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Rays
Confident Career: 54.9% (300-246)
Rays moneyline
Royals Rays
Away SP: Luinder Avila (xFIP 4.63)
Home SP: Shane McClanahan (xFIP 2.99)
Royals Key Injuries: Kris Bubic, Maikel Garcia, Kyle Isbel, Vinnie Pasquantino
Rays Key Injuries: Jesse Scholtens, Jake Fraley
Royals Dark Horse HR: Carter Jensen
Rays Dark Horse HR: Yandy Díaz
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-3)
Yankees
Yankees
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Tigers
Slight Lean Career: 59.6% (465-315)
Tigers +1.5
Yankees Tigers
Away SP: Carlos Rodón (xFIP 3.73)
Home SP: Casey Mize (xFIP 2.73)
Yankees Key Injuries: Max Fried, Trent Grisham, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton
Tigers Key Injuries: Gleyber Torres
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Paul Goldschmidt
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Kerry Carpenter
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (14-9)
Phillies
Phillies
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Nationals
Slight Lean Career: 59.6% (465-315)
Nationals +1.5
Phillies Nationals
Away SP: Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 3.39)
Home SP: PJ Poulin (xFIP 5.41)
Phillies Key Injuries: Brad Keller
Nationals Key Injuries: None
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Nationals Dark Horse HR: CJ Abrams
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✓ WIN (9-6)
Cubs
Cubs
@
7:10 PM ET
Mets
Mets
Confident Career: 54.9% (300-246)
Cubs moneyline
Cubs Mets
Away SP: Edward Cabrera (xFIP 4.52)
Home SP: Kodai Senga (xFIP 5.58)
Cubs Key Injuries: Riley Martin, Daniel Palencia
Mets Key Injuries: Christian Scott, Francisco Lindor
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Pete Crow-Armstrong
Mets Dark Horse HR: Jared Young
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (12-3)
Dodgers
Dodgers
@
7:40 PM ET
Twins
Twins
Confident Career: 54.9% (300-246)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers Twins
Away SP: Justin Wrobleski (xFIP 3.57)
Home SP: Kendry Rojas (xFIP 3.52)
Dodgers Key Injuries: Blake Treinen, Will Smith
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Ryan Jeffers
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Ryan Ward
Twins Dark Horse HR: Ryan Kreidler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (1-2)
Guardians
Guardians
@
7:40 PM ET
White Sox
White Sox
Slight Lean Career: 59.6% (465-315)
White Sox +1.5
Guardians White Sox
Away SP: Parker Messick (xFIP 3.27)
Home SP: Sean Burke (xFIP 3.95)
Guardians Key Injuries: Chase DeLauter
White Sox Key Injuries: Munetaka Murakami, Everson Pereira
Guardians Dark Horse HR: Travis Bazzana
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Randal Grichuk
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-3)
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
@
7:45 PM ET
Cardinals
Cardinals
Slight Lean Career: 59.6% (465-315)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Diamondbacks Cardinals
Away SP: Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.21)
Home SP: Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.32)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: Michael Soroka, Jordan Lawlar
Cardinals Key Injuries: Ryan Fernandez
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Ketel Marte
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: Nelson Velázquez
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:30 PM ET
✓ WIN (5-2)
Red Sox
Red Sox
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Rockies
Strong Career: 65.3% (113-60)
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox Rockies
Away SP: Sonny Gray (xFIP 3.92)
Home SP: Sean Sullivan (xFIP 5.77)
Red Sox Key Injuries: Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Roman Anthony, Nick Sogard
Rockies Key Injuries: None
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Jarren Duran
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Mickey Moniak
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.5
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (6-7)
Braves
Braves
@
9:40 PM ET
Padres
Padres
Slight Lean Career: 59.6% (465-315)
Padres +1.5
Braves Padres
Away SP: JR Ritchie (xFIP 5.44)
Home SP: Wandy Peralta (xFIP 4.52)
Braves Key Injuries: Tyler Kinley
Padres Key Injuries: Jeremiah Estrada, Luis Campusano
Braves Dark Horse HR: Drake Baldwin
Padres Dark Horse HR: Gavin Sheets
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-3)
Athletics
Athletics
@
9:45 PM ET
Giants
Giants
Slight Lean Career: 59.6% (465-315)
Athletics +1.5
Athletics Giants
Away SP: Aaron Civale (xFIP 4.78)
Home SP: Robbie Ray (xFIP 4.56)
Athletics Key Injuries: Brent Rooker
Giants Key Injuries: Gregory Santos, Keaton Winn, Heliot Ramos
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Shea Langeliers
Giants Dark Horse HR: Eric Haase
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:30 PM ET
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