WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-23

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5/13 (38.5%)
5W - 8L
✗ LOSS (3-10)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
White Sox
White Sox
@
4:05 PM ET
Giants
Giants
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199) POTD
White Sox moneyline
White Sox Giants
Away SP: Bryan Hudson (xFIP 2.87)
Home SP: Adrian Houser (xFIP 5.17)
White Sox Key Injuries: Everson Pereira
Giants Key Injuries: Jung Hoo Lee, Heliot Ramos
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Randal Grichuk
Giants Dark Horse HR: Eric Haase
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-0)
Astros
Astros
@
2:20 PM ET
Cubs
Cubs
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Astros +1.5
Astros Cubs
Away SP: Kai-Wei Teng (xFIP 3.85)
Home SP: Colin Rea (xFIP 4.03)
Astros Key Injuries: Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Taylor Trammell
Cubs Key Injuries: Riley Martin, Matt Shaw
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Walker
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Michael Conforto
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 2:05 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-5)
Pirates
Pirates
@
3:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Pirates moneyline
Pirates Blue Jays
Away SP: Paul Skenes (xFIP 2.72)
Home SP: Patrick Corbin (xFIP 4.55)
Pirates Key Injuries: Joey Bart, Ryan OHearn
Blue Jays Key Injuries: Joe Mantiply, Tommy Nance
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Oneil Cruz
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Brandon Valenzuela
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (0-3)
Guardians
Guardians
@
4:05 PM ET
Phillies
Phillies
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Guardians +1.5
Guardians Phillies
Away SP: Slade Cecconi (xFIP 4.62)
Home SP: Zack Wheeler (xFIP 2.44)
Guardians Key Injuries: Gabriel Arias
Phillies Key Injuries: Zach Pop
Guardians Dark Horse HR: Chase DeLauter
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 3:50 PM ET
Tigers
Tigers
@
4:05 PM ET
Orioles
Orioles
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Tigers +1.5
Tigers Orioles
Away SP: Framber Valdez (xFIP 4.13)
Home SP: Brandon Young (xFIP 4.88)
Tigers Key Injuries: Ty Madden, Tarik Skubal, Burch Smith, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres
Orioles Key Injuries: Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer, Dylan Beavers
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Gage Workman
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (0-5)
Mariners
Mariners
@
4:10 PM ET
Royals
Royals
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Mariners moneyline
Mariners Royals
Away SP: George Kirby (xFIP 3.62)
Home SP: Stephen Kolek (xFIP 4.46)
Mariners Key Injuries: Gabe Speier, Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
Royals Key Injuries: Kris Bubic, Matt Strahm
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Dominic Canzone
Royals Dark Horse HR: Bobby Witt Jr.
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-4)
Mets
Mets
@
4:10 PM ET
Marlins
Marlins
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Mets +1.5
Mets Marlins
Away SP: Freddy Peralta (xFIP 4.11)
Home SP: Max Meyer (xFIP 3.13)
Mets Key Injuries: Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Marlins Key Injuries: Griffin Conine
Mets Dark Horse HR: Mark Vientos
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Esteury Ruiz
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-0)
Nationals
Nationals
@
4:10 PM ET
Braves
Braves
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Braves moneyline
Nationals Braves
Away SP: Jake Irvin (xFIP 4.39)
Home SP: Grant Holmes (xFIP 4.62)
Nationals Key Injuries: None
Braves Key Injuries: Drake Baldwin
Nationals Dark Horse HR: CJ Abrams
Braves Dark Horse HR: Michael Harris II
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-2)
Twins
Twins
@
4:10 PM ET
Red Sox
Red Sox
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Twins +1.5
Twins Red Sox
Away SP: Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.55)
Home SP: Jovani Morán (xFIP 4.37)
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Cody Laweryson, Ryan Jeffers
Red Sox Key Injuries: Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Twins Dark Horse HR: Ryan Kreidler
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (8-1)
Cardinals
Cardinals
@
7:15 PM ET
Reds
Reds
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Cardinals moneyline
Cardinals Reds
Away SP: Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.40)
Home SP: Chase Petty (xFIP 4.28)
Cardinals Key Injuries: Nathan Church
Reds Key Injuries: None
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: JJ Wetherholt
Reds Dark Horse HR: JJ Bleday
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (11-3)
Dodgers
Dodgers
@
7:15 PM ET
Brewers
Brewers
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Brewers +1.5
Dodgers Brewers
Away SP: Roki Sasaki (xFIP 4.81)
Home SP: Robert Gasser (xFIP 5.42)
Dodgers Key Injuries: Jack Dreyer, Tyler Glasnow
Brewers Key Injuries: Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Dalton Rushing
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Gary Sánchez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN (0-2)
Athletics
Athletics
@
9:40 PM ET
Padres
Padres
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Padres +1.5
Athletics Padres
Away SP: J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.04)
Home SP: Lucas Giolito (xFIP 4.37)
Athletics Key Injuries: Jacob Wilson, Max Muncy
Padres Key Injuries: Luis Campusano
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Zack Gelof
Padres Dark Horse HR: Ty France
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-5)
Rangers
Rangers
@
10:05 PM ET
Angels
Angels
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Rangers moneyline
Rangers Angels
Away SP: Nathan Eovaldi (xFIP 3.90)
Home SP: Walbert Ureña (xFIP 3.95)
Rangers Key Injuries: Robert Garcia
Angels Key Injuries: None
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Justin Foscue
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 9:50 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-5)
Rockies
Rockies
@
10:10 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Diamondbacks moneyline
Rockies Diamondbacks
Away SP: Michael Lorenzen (xFIP 4.80)
Home SP: Zac Gallen (xFIP 4.45)
Rockies Key Injuries: Chase Dollander, Mickey Moniak
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: None
Rockies Dark Horse HR: TJ Rumfield
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Nolan Arenado
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 9:55 PM ET
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