WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-19
8/15 (53.3%)
8W - 7L
✗ LOSS
(2-1)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Astros
@
7:40 PM ET
Twins
Lock
Career: 62.2%
(23-14)
POTD
Twins -1.5
Astros
Twins
Away SP: Jason Alexander (xFIP 6.28)
Home SP: 
Zebby Matthews (xFIP 2.17)
Zebby Matthews (xFIP 2.17)Astros Key Injuries:
Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Taylor Trammell
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson, Ryan Jeffers
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerTwins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan KreidlerOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-4)
Braves
@
4:10 PM ET
Marlins
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Braves moneyline
Braves
Marlins
Away SP: 
Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.14)
Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.14)Home SP: Braxton Garrett (xFIP 9.92)
Braves Key Injuries:
Drake Baldwin
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury RuizOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-3)
Guardians
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Guardians moneyline
Guardians
Tigers
Away SP: 
Parker Messick (xFIP 3.06)
Parker Messick (xFIP 3.06)Home SP: 
Keider Montero (xFIP 3.90)
Keider Montero (xFIP 3.90)Guardians Key Injuries:
Gabriel Arias
Tigers Key Injuries:
Ty Madden, Tarik Skubal, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauterTigers Dark Horse HR:
Gage Workman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-4)
Orioles
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Orioles +1.5
Orioles
Rays
Away SP: 
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.00)
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.00)Home SP: Griffin Jax (xFIP 4.99)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer, Dylan Beavers
Rays Key Injuries:
Steven Matz, Cole Sulser, Jake Fraley
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan ArandaOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-1)
Reds
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Reds +1.5
Reds
Phillies
Away SP: 
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.57)
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.57)Home SP: 
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.99)
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.99)Reds Key Injuries:
None
Phillies Key Injuries:
Zach Pop
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayPhillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-9)
Mets
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Mets moneyline
Mets
Nationals
Away SP: 
Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.75)
Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.75)Home SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 4.19)
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Mets Dark Horse HR:
A.J. Ewing
A.J. EwingNationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-5)
Blue Jays
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Blue Jays +1.5
Blue Jays
Yankees
Away SP: 
Dylan Cease (xFIP 1.93)
Dylan Cease (xFIP 1.93)Home SP: 
Will Warren (xFIP 3.04)
Will Warren (xFIP 3.04)Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Joe Mantiply, Tommy Nance
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Max Fried, Jose Caballero, Giancarlo Stanton
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon ValenzuelaYankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-2)
Brewers
@
7:40 PM ET
Cubs
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Cubs +1.5
Brewers
Cubs
Away SP: 
Jacob Misiorowski (xFIP 2.35)
Jacob Misiorowski (xFIP 2.35)Home SP: Ben Brown (xFIP 2.52)
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezCubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-1)
Red Sox
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox
Royals
Away SP: 
Ranger Suarez (xFIP 2.99)
Ranger Suarez (xFIP 2.99)Home SP: Bailey Falter (xFIP 5.25)
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Royals Key Injuries:
Kris Bubic, Matt Strahm
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuRoyals Dark Horse HR:
Elias Díaz
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-9)
Pirates
@
7:45 PM ET
Cardinals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates
Cardinals
Away SP: Mitch Keller (xFIP 3.38)
Home SP: 
Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.78)
Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.78)Pirates Key Injuries:
Joey Bart, Ryan OHearn
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Oneil CruzCardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:30 PM ET
✓ WIN
(10-0)
Rangers
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Rangers moneyline
Rangers
Rockies
Away SP: 
Tyler Alexander (xFIP 3.27)
Tyler Alexander (xFIP 3.27)Home SP: Sammy Peralta (xFIP 5.00)
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Rockies Key Injuries:
Chase Dollander
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Justin Foscue
Justin FoscueRockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanOver/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(14-6)
Athletics
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Angels moneyline
Athletics
Angels
Away SP: 
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.93)
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.93)Home SP: 
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.35)
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.35)Athletics Key Injuries:
Jacob Wilson, Max Muncy
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Zack Gelof
Zack GelofAngels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-4)
Dodgers
@
9:40 PM ET
Padres
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Padres
Away SP: Emmet Sheehan (xFIP 3.60)
Home SP: 
Griffin Canning (xFIP 4.26)
Griffin Canning (xFIP 4.26)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Jack Dreyer, Tyler Glasnow
Padres Key Injuries:
Luis Campusano
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-5)
Giants
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Giants +1.5
Giants
Diamondbacks
Away SP: 
Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.74)
Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.74)Home SP: Ryne Nelson (xFIP 4.22)
Giants Key Injuries:
Heliot Ramos
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Eric Haase
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro VargasOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-1)
White Sox
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Mariners
Away SP: 
Anthony Kay (xFIP 5.31)
Anthony Kay (xFIP 5.31)Home SP: 
Bryce Miller (xFIP 4.50)
Bryce Miller (xFIP 4.50)White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Drew Romo
Drew RomoMariners Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Canzone
Dominic CanzoneOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET