WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-18

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7/14 (50.0%)
7W - 7L
✓ WIN (3-6)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Astros
Astros
@
7:40 PM ET
Twins
Twins
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199) POTD
Twins moneyline
Astros Twins
Away SP: Tatsuya Imai (xFIP 6.39)
Home SP: Kendry Rojas (xFIP 4.26)
Astros Key Injuries: Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Walker
Twins Dark Horse HR: Ryan Jeffers
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (0-12)
Braves
Braves
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Marlins
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Braves +1.5
Braves Marlins
Away SP: JR Ritchie (xFIP 5.69)
Home SP: Max Meyer (xFIP 3.25)
Braves Key Injuries: Dylan Dodd
Marlins Key Injuries: Griffin Conine
Braves Dark Horse HR: Drake Baldwin
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Esteury Ruiz
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (8-2)
Guardians
Guardians
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Tigers
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Guardians +1.5
Guardians Tigers
Away SP: Slade Cecconi (xFIP 4.65)
Home SP: Framber Valdez (xFIP 4.11)
Guardians Key Injuries: Gabriel Arias
Tigers Key Injuries: Ty Madden, Tarik Skubal, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres
Guardians Dark Horse HR: Chase DeLauter
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Gage Workman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (6-16)
Orioles
Orioles
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Rays
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Rays moneyline
Orioles Rays
Away SP: Trevor Rogers (xFIP 4.29)
Home SP: Shane McClanahan (xFIP 2.56)
Orioles Key Injuries: Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer, Dylan Beavers
Rays Key Injuries: Steven Matz, Cole Sulser, Jake Fraley
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Rays Dark Horse HR: Jonathan Aranda
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-5)
Reds
Reds
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Phillies
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Phillies moneyline
Reds Phillies
Away SP: Nick Lodolo (xFIP 6.05)
Home SP: Andrew Painter (xFIP 4.36)
Reds Key Injuries: None
Phillies Key Injuries: Zach Pop
Reds Dark Horse HR: JJ Bleday
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (16-7)
Mets
Mets
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Nationals
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Nationals +1.5
Mets Nationals
Away SP: Christian Scott (xFIP 3.74)
Home SP: Jake Irvin (xFIP 4.50)
Mets Key Injuries: Clay Holmes, Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Nationals Key Injuries: Clayton Beeter
Mets Dark Horse HR: A.J. Ewing
Nationals Dark Horse HR: CJ Abrams
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✓ WIN (6-7)
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Yankees
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Yankees moneyline
Blue Jays Yankees
Away SP: Patrick Corbin (xFIP 4.25)
Home SP: Ryan Weathers (xFIP 3.21)
Blue Jays Key Injuries: Tommy Nance
Yankees Key Injuries: Angel Chivilli, Max Fried, Jose Caballero, Giancarlo Stanton
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Brandon Valenzuela
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Ben Rice
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-1)
Red Sox
Red Sox
@
7:10 PM ET
Royals
Royals
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Royals +1.5
Red Sox Royals
Away SP: Sonny Gray (xFIP 4.21)
Home SP: Seth Lugo (xFIP 2.75)
Red Sox Key Injuries: Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Royals Key Injuries: Kris Bubic, Matt Strahm
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Wilyer Abreu
Royals Dark Horse HR: Elias Díaz
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (9-3)
Brewers
Brewers
@
7:40 PM ET
Cubs
Cubs
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Cubs moneyline
Brewers Cubs
Away SP: Brandon Sproat (xFIP 5.01)
Home SP: Shota Imanaga (xFIP 2.91)
Brewers Key Injuries: Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge
Cubs Key Injuries: Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Gary Sánchez
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Michael Conforto
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (6-7)
Rangers
Rangers
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Rockies
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Rangers moneyline
Rangers Rockies
Away SP: MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.92)
Home SP: Jose Quintana (xFIP 5.38)
Rangers Key Injuries: Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Rockies Key Injuries: Chase Dollander
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Corey Seager
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Hunter Goodman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (1-2)
Athletics
Athletics
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Angels
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Angels +1.5
Athletics Angels
Away SP: J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.25)
Home SP: Walbert Ureña (xFIP 4.08)
Athletics Key Injuries: Jacob Wilson, Max Muncy
Angels Key Injuries: None
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Zack Gelof
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (0-1)
Dodgers
Dodgers
@
9:40 PM ET
Padres
Padres
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers Padres
Away SP: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.64)
Home SP: Michael King (xFIP 3.75)
Dodgers Key Injuries: Jack Dreyer, Tyler Glasnow
Padres Key Injuries: Luis Campusano
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Dalton Rushing
Padres Dark Horse HR: Ty France
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-12)
Giants
Giants
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Giants Diamondbacks
Away SP: Robbie Ray (xFIP 4.37)
Home SP: Zac Gallen (xFIP 4.55)
Giants Key Injuries: Heliot Ramos
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: None
Giants Dark Horse HR: Eric Haase
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Ildemaro Vargas
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-6)
White Sox
White Sox
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Mariners
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox Mariners
Away SP: Noah Schultz (xFIP 4.43)
Home SP: Bryan Woo (xFIP 3.53)
White Sox Key Injuries: Everson Pereira
Mariners Key Injuries: Gabe Speier, Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Colson Montgomery
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Dominic Canzone
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
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