WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-17
12/15 (80.0%)
12W - 3L
✓ WIN
(4-1)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Blue Jays
@
1:40 PM ET
Tigers
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
POTD
Blue Jays moneyline
Blue Jays
Tigers
Away SP: Kevin Gausman (xFIP 3.30)
Home SP: Jack Flaherty (xFIP 5.11)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Tommy Nance
Tigers Key Injuries:
Ty Madden, Tarik Skubal, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon ValenzuelaTigers Dark Horse HR:
Gage Workman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-6)
Marlins
@
12:15 PM ET
Rays
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Rays moneyline
Marlins
Rays
Away SP: 
Eury Pérez (xFIP 4.49)
Eury Pérez (xFIP 4.49)Home SP: 
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.40)
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.40)Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Rays Key Injuries:
Steven Matz, Jake Fraley
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury RuizRays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan ArandaOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 12:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(7-3)
Orioles
@
1:35 PM ET
Nationals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Nationals +1.5
Orioles
Nationals
Away SP: 
Brandon Young (xFIP 4.67)
Brandon Young (xFIP 4.67)Home SP: Richard Lovelady (xFIP 4.37)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer, Dylan Beavers
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsOver/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-0)
Phillies
@
1:35 PM ET
Pirates
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Phillies +1.5
Phillies
Pirates
Away SP: 
Zack Wheeler (xFIP 2.76)
Zack Wheeler (xFIP 2.76)Home SP: 
Paul Skenes (xFIP 2.57)
Paul Skenes (xFIP 2.57)Phillies Key Injuries:
Zach Pop
Pirates Key Injuries:
Joey Bart, Ryan OHearn
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperPirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Oneil CruzOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-8)
Red Sox
@
1:35 PM ET
Braves
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Braves moneyline
Red Sox
Braves
Away SP: 
Brayan Bello (xFIP 4.98)
Brayan Bello (xFIP 4.98)Home SP: 
Grant Holmes (xFIP 4.83)
Grant Holmes (xFIP 4.83)Red Sox Key Injuries:
Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuBraves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-10)
Reds
@
1:40 PM ET
Guardians
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Guardians moneyline
Reds
Guardians
Away SP: 
Brady Singer (xFIP 5.16)
Brady Singer (xFIP 5.16)Home SP: 
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.67)
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.67)Reds Key Injuries:
None
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayGuardians Dark Horse HR:
David Fry
David FryOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-7)
Yankees
@
1:40 PM ET
Mets
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Yankees +1.5
Yankees
Mets
Away SP: 
Elmer Rodríguez (xFIP 5.48)
Elmer Rodríguez (xFIP 5.48)Home SP: Freddy Peralta (xFIP 3.74)
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Max Fried, Jose Caballero, Giancarlo Stanton
Mets Key Injuries:
Clay Holmes, Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceMets Dark Horse HR:
A.J. Ewing
A.J. EwingOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-5)
Brewers
@
2:10 PM ET
Twins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Twins +1.5
Brewers
Twins
Away SP: 
Robert Gasser (xFIP 5.00)
Robert Gasser (xFIP 5.00)Home SP: 
Bailey Ober (xFIP 3.90)
Bailey Ober (xFIP 3.90)Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezTwins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan KreidlerOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-9)
Cubs
@
2:10 PM ET
White Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
Cubs
White Sox
Away SP: 
Colin Rea (xFIP 4.08)
Colin Rea (xFIP 4.08)Home SP: 
Erick Fedde (xFIP 5.23)
Erick Fedde (xFIP 5.23)Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Michael ConfortoWhite Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Colson MontgomeryOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(8-0)
Rangers
@
2:10 PM ET
Astros
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Astros +1.5
Rangers
Astros
Away SP: Nathan Eovaldi (xFIP 4.03)
Home SP: 
Peter Lambert (xFIP 3.07)
Peter Lambert (xFIP 3.07)Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Astros Key Injuries:
Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Jake Burger
Jake BurgerAstros Dark Horse HR:
Zach Cole
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-0)
Royals
@
2:15 PM ET
Cardinals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Royals +1.5
Royals
Cardinals
Away SP: Stephen Kolek (xFIP 4.76)
Home SP: Andre Pallante (xFIP 4.66)
Royals Key Injuries:
Matt Strahm
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Elias Díaz
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 2:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-6)
Diamondbacks
@
3:10 PM ET
Rockies
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Diamondbacks moneyline
Diamondbacks
Rockies
Away SP: Michael Soroka (xFIP 3.24)
Home SP: Michael Lorenzen (xFIP 4.64)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Rockies Key Injuries:
Chase Dollander
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollRockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanOver/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(10-1)
Giants
@
4:05 PM ET
Athletics
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Giants +1.5
Giants
Athletics
Away SP: Adrian Houser (xFIP 5.12)
Home SP: 
Jeffrey Springs (xFIP 4.04)
Jeffrey Springs (xFIP 4.04)Giants Key Injuries:
Heliot Ramos
Athletics Key Injuries:
Jacob Wilson, Max Muncy
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Eric Haase
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Zack Gelof
Zack GelofOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(10-1)
Dodgers
@
4:07 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Angels +1.5
Dodgers
Angels
Away SP: Roki Sasaki (xFIP 5.46)
Home SP: 
Grayson Rodriguez (xFIP 5.00)
Grayson Rodriguez (xFIP 5.00)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Jack Dreyer, Tyler Glasnow
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-3)
Padres
@
7:20 PM ET
Mariners
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Padres +1.5
Padres
Mariners
Away SP: Lucas Giolito (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: 
George Kirby (xFIP 3.31)
George Kirby (xFIP 3.31)Padres Key Injuries:
Luis Campusano
Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceMariners Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Canzone
Dominic CanzoneOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:05 PM ET