WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-17

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12/15 (80.0%)
12W - 3L
✓ WIN (4-1)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
@
1:40 PM ET
Tigers
Tigers
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199) POTD
Blue Jays moneyline
Blue Jays Tigers
Away SP: Kevin Gausman (xFIP 3.30)
Home SP: Jack Flaherty (xFIP 5.11)
Blue Jays Key Injuries: Tommy Nance
Tigers Key Injuries: Ty Madden, Tarik Skubal, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Brandon Valenzuela
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Gage Workman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-6)
Marlins
Marlins
@
12:15 PM ET
Rays
Rays
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Rays moneyline
Marlins Rays
Away SP: Eury Pérez (xFIP 4.49)
Home SP: Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.40)
Marlins Key Injuries: Griffin Conine
Rays Key Injuries: Steven Matz, Jake Fraley
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Esteury Ruiz
Rays Dark Horse HR: Jonathan Aranda
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 12:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (7-3)
Orioles
Orioles
@
1:35 PM ET
Nationals
Nationals
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Nationals +1.5
Orioles Nationals
Away SP: Brandon Young (xFIP 4.67)
Home SP: Richard Lovelady (xFIP 4.37)
Orioles Key Injuries: Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer, Dylan Beavers
Nationals Key Injuries: Clayton Beeter
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Nationals Dark Horse HR: CJ Abrams
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN (6-0)
Phillies
Phillies
@
1:35 PM ET
Pirates
Pirates
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Phillies +1.5
Phillies Pirates
Away SP: Zack Wheeler (xFIP 2.76)
Home SP: Paul Skenes (xFIP 2.57)
Phillies Key Injuries: Zach Pop
Pirates Key Injuries: Joey Bart, Ryan OHearn
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Oneil Cruz
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN (1-8)
Red Sox
Red Sox
@
1:35 PM ET
Braves
Braves
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Braves moneyline
Red Sox Braves
Away SP: Brayan Bello (xFIP 4.98)
Home SP: Grant Holmes (xFIP 4.83)
Red Sox Key Injuries: Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Braves Key Injuries: Dylan Dodd
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Wilyer Abreu
Braves Dark Horse HR: Drake Baldwin
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-10)
Reds
Reds
@
1:40 PM ET
Guardians
Guardians
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Guardians moneyline
Reds Guardians
Away SP: Brady Singer (xFIP 5.16)
Home SP: Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.67)
Reds Key Injuries: None
Guardians Key Injuries: Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Reds Dark Horse HR: JJ Bleday
Guardians Dark Horse HR: David Fry
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (6-7)
Yankees
Yankees
@
1:40 PM ET
Mets
Mets
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Yankees +1.5
Yankees Mets
Away SP: Elmer Rodríguez (xFIP 5.48)
Home SP: Freddy Peralta (xFIP 3.74)
Yankees Key Injuries: Angel Chivilli, Max Fried, Jose Caballero, Giancarlo Stanton
Mets Key Injuries: Clay Holmes, Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Ben Rice
Mets Dark Horse HR: A.J. Ewing
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-5)
Brewers
Brewers
@
2:10 PM ET
Twins
Twins
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Twins +1.5
Brewers Twins
Away SP: Robert Gasser (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: Bailey Ober (xFIP 3.90)
Brewers Key Injuries: Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Gary Sánchez
Twins Dark Horse HR: Ryan Kreidler
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (8-9)
Cubs
Cubs
@
2:10 PM ET
White Sox
White Sox
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
White Sox +1.5
Cubs White Sox
Away SP: Colin Rea (xFIP 4.08)
Home SP: Erick Fedde (xFIP 5.23)
Cubs Key Injuries: Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
White Sox Key Injuries: Everson Pereira
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Michael Conforto
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Colson Montgomery
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (8-0)
Rangers
Rangers
@
2:10 PM ET
Astros
Astros
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Astros +1.5
Rangers Astros
Away SP: Nathan Eovaldi (xFIP 4.03)
Home SP: Peter Lambert (xFIP 3.07)
Rangers Key Injuries: Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Astros Key Injuries: Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Jake Burger
Astros Dark Horse HR: Zach Cole
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-0)
Royals
Royals
@
2:15 PM ET
Cardinals
Cardinals
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Royals +1.5
Royals Cardinals
Away SP: Stephen Kolek (xFIP 4.76)
Home SP: Andre Pallante (xFIP 4.66)
Royals Key Injuries: Matt Strahm
Cardinals Key Injuries: None
Royals Dark Horse HR: Elias Díaz
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 2:00 PM ET
✓ WIN (8-6)
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
@
3:10 PM ET
Rockies
Rockies
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Diamondbacks moneyline
Diamondbacks Rockies
Away SP: Michael Soroka (xFIP 3.24)
Home SP: Michael Lorenzen (xFIP 4.64)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: None
Rockies Key Injuries: Chase Dollander
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Corbin Carroll
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Hunter Goodman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (10-1)
Giants
Giants
@
4:05 PM ET
Athletics
Athletics
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Giants +1.5
Giants Athletics
Away SP: Adrian Houser (xFIP 5.12)
Home SP: Jeffrey Springs (xFIP 4.04)
Giants Key Injuries: Heliot Ramos
Athletics Key Injuries: Jacob Wilson, Max Muncy
Giants Dark Horse HR: Eric Haase
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Zack Gelof
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS (10-1)
Dodgers
Dodgers
@
4:07 PM ET
Angels
Angels
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Angels +1.5
Dodgers Angels
Away SP: Roki Sasaki (xFIP 5.46)
Home SP: Grayson Rodriguez (xFIP 5.00)
Dodgers Key Injuries: Jack Dreyer, Tyler Glasnow
Angels Key Injuries: None
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Dalton Rushing
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (8-3)
Padres
Padres
@
7:20 PM ET
Mariners
Mariners
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Padres +1.5
Padres Mariners
Away SP: Lucas Giolito (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: George Kirby (xFIP 3.31)
Padres Key Injuries: Luis Campusano
Mariners Key Injuries: Gabe Speier, Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
Padres Dark Horse HR: Ty France
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Dominic Canzone
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:05 PM ET
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