WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-16
8/15 (53.3%)
8W - 7L
✗ LOSS
(10-5)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Strong Favourite badge
Marlins
@
4:10 PM ET
Rays
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
POTD
Rays moneyline
Marlins
Rays
Away SP: 
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.81)
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.81)Home SP: 
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.44)
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.44)Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Rays Key Injuries:
Steven Matz
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury RuizRays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan ArandaOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-1)
Blue Jays
@
1:10 PM ET
Tigers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Blue Jays +1.5
Blue Jays
Tigers
Away SP: 
Mason Fluharty (xFIP 2.90)
Mason Fluharty (xFIP 2.90)Home SP: Casey Mize (xFIP 2.91)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Key Injuries:
Tarik Skubal, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon ValenzuelaTigers Dark Horse HR:
Gage Workman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-4)
Royals
@
2:15 PM ET
Cardinals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Royals +1.5
Royals
Cardinals
Away SP: 
Noah Cameron (xFIP 4.17)
Noah Cameron (xFIP 4.17)Home SP: 
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.75)
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.75)Royals Key Injuries:
Matt Strahm
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Elias Díaz
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 2:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-4)
Diamondbacks
@
3:10 PM ET
Rockies
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Diamondbacks moneyline
Diamondbacks
Rockies
Away SP: 
Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.25)
Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.25)Home SP: 
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.93)
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.93)Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Rockies Key Injuries:
Chase Dollander
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollRockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanOver/Under (Game Total): Under 11.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-13)
Orioles
@
4:05 PM ET
Nationals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Nationals +1.5
Orioles
Nationals
Away SP: 
Chris Bassitt (xFIP 4.72)
Chris Bassitt (xFIP 4.72)Home SP: 
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.24)
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.24)Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer, Dylan Beavers
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsOver/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-0)
Phillies
@
4:05 PM ET
Pirates
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Phillies moneyline
Phillies
Pirates
Away SP: 
Cristopher Sánchez (xFIP 2.27)
Cristopher Sánchez (xFIP 2.27)Home SP: 
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 5.27)
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 5.27)Phillies Key Injuries:
Zach Pop
Pirates Key Injuries:
Joey Bart
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperPirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Oneil CruzOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-7)
Reds
@
6:10 PM ET
Guardians
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Guardians moneyline
Reds
Guardians
Away SP: Chris Paddack (xFIP 4.42)
Home SP: 
Joey Cantillo (xFIP 4.18)
Joey Cantillo (xFIP 4.18)Reds Key Injuries:
None
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Reds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayGuardians Dark Horse HR:
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauterOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 5:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-1)
Brewers
@
7:10 PM ET
Twins
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Brewers moneyline
Brewers
Twins
Away SP: 
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.17)
Logan Henderson (xFIP 2.17)Home SP: 
Connor Prielipp (xFIP 4.10)
Connor Prielipp (xFIP 4.10)Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezTwins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan KreidlerOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-8)
Cubs
@
7:10 PM ET
White Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
Cubs
White Sox
Away SP: Jameson Taillon (xFIP 4.80)
Home SP: Davis Martin (xFIP 2.39)
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya SuzukiWhite Sox Dark Horse HR:
Drew Romo
Drew RomoOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-4)
Rangers
@
7:10 PM ET
Astros
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Rangers moneyline
Rangers
Astros
Away SP: 
Jacob deGrom (xFIP 2.73)
Jacob deGrom (xFIP 2.73)Home SP: 
Kai-Wei Teng (xFIP 3.91)
Kai-Wei Teng (xFIP 3.91)Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Astros Key Injuries:
Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Braden Shewmake
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(7-4)
Padres
@
7:15 PM ET
Mariners
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Mariners moneyline
Padres
Mariners
Away SP: 
Walker Buehler (xFIP 3.69)
Walker Buehler (xFIP 3.69)Home SP: 
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.60)
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.60)Padres Key Injuries:
Luis Campusano
Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Will Wilson
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceMariners Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Canzone
Dominic CanzoneOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-2)
Red Sox
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Braves moneyline
Red Sox
Braves
Away SP: 
Payton Tolle (xFIP 2.86)
Payton Tolle (xFIP 2.86)Home SP: 
Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.15)
Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.15)Red Sox Key Injuries:
Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuBraves Dark Horse HR:
Drake Baldwin
Drake BaldwinOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-6)
Yankees
@
7:15 PM ET
Mets
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Yankees moneyline
Yankees
Mets
Away SP: 
Carlos Rodón (xFIP 5.48)
Carlos Rodón (xFIP 5.48)Home SP: Huascar Brazobán (xFIP 3.55)
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Max Fried, Jose Caballero, Giancarlo Stanton
Mets Key Injuries:
Clay Holmes, Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceMets Dark Horse HR:
Mark Vientos
Mark VientosOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(15-2)
Dodgers
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Angels
Away SP: Justin Wrobleski (xFIP 3.64)
Home SP: José Soriano (xFIP 3.23)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Tyler Glasnow
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-4)
Giants
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Giants +1.5
Giants
Athletics
Away SP: Trevor McDonald (xFIP 3.69)
Home SP: Luis Severino (xFIP 4.49)
Giants Key Injuries:
Heliot Ramos
Athletics Key Injuries:
Jacob Wilson, Max Muncy
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Eric Haase
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Zack Gelof
Zack GelofOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET