WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-15

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10/15 (66.7%)
10W - 5L
✓ WIN (5-2)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Yankees
Yankees
@
7:15 PM ET
Mets
Mets
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199) POTD
Yankees moneyline
Yankees Mets
Away SP: Cam Schlittler (xFIP 1.71)
Home SP: Clay Holmes (xFIP 3.50)
Yankees Key Injuries: Angel Chivilli, Max Fried, Jose Caballero, Giancarlo Stanton
Mets Key Injuries: Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Ben Rice
Mets Dark Horse HR: Juan Soto
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (11-9)
Phillies
Phillies
@
6:40 PM ET
Pirates
Pirates
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Pirates moneyline
Phillies Pirates
Away SP: Aaron Nola (xFIP 3.91)
Home SP: Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 3.07)
Phillies Key Injuries: Zach Pop
Pirates Key Injuries: Joey Bart
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Oneil Cruz
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-3)
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
@
6:45 PM ET
Tigers
Tigers
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Tigers +1.5
Blue Jays Tigers
Away SP: Trey Yesavage (xFIP 2.27)
Home SP: Brenan Hanifee (xFIP 4.07)
Blue Jays Key Injuries: None
Tigers Key Injuries: Casey Mize, Tarik Skubal, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Brandon Valenzuela
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Spencer Torkelson
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-3)
Orioles
Orioles
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Nationals
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Nationals +1.5
Orioles Nationals
Away SP: Shane Baz (xFIP 4.33)
Home SP: Zack Littell (xFIP 6.34)
Orioles Key Injuries: Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer, Dylan Beavers
Nationals Key Injuries: Clayton Beeter
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Nationals Dark Horse HR: CJ Abrams
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-2)
Brewers
Brewers
@
7:10 PM ET
Twins
Twins
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Brewers +1.5
Brewers Twins
Away SP: Coleman Crow (xFIP 2.23)
Home SP: Joe Ryan (xFIP 3.10)
Brewers Key Injuries: Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Gary Sánchez
Twins Dark Horse HR: Ryan Kreidler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-7)
Marlins
Marlins
@
7:10 PM ET
Rays
Rays
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Marlins +1.5
Marlins Rays
Away SP: Janson Junk (xFIP 3.60)
Home SP: Ian Seymour (xFIP 3.53)
Marlins Key Injuries: Griffin Conine
Rays Key Injuries: Steven Matz
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Esteury Ruiz
Rays Dark Horse HR: Jonathan Aranda
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (7-6)
Reds
Reds
@
7:10 PM ET
Guardians
Guardians
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Guardians moneyline
Reds Guardians
Away SP: Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.44)
Home SP: Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.14)
Reds Key Injuries: None
Guardians Key Injuries: Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Reds Dark Horse HR: JJ Bleday
Guardians Dark Horse HR: Chase DeLauter
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-3)
Red Sox
Red Sox
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Braves
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Braves moneyline
Red Sox Braves
Away SP: Connelly Early (xFIP 4.37)
Home SP: Spencer Strider (xFIP 3.81)
Red Sox Key Injuries: Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Braves Key Injuries: Dylan Dodd
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Wilyer Abreu
Braves Dark Horse HR: Drake Baldwin
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (10-5)
Cubs
Cubs
@
7:40 PM ET
White Sox
White Sox
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
White Sox +1.5
Cubs White Sox
Away SP: Edward Cabrera (xFIP 4.03)
Home SP: Sean Burke (xFIP 3.88)
Cubs Key Injuries: Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
White Sox Key Injuries: Everson Pereira
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Michael Conforto
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Drew Romo
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (0-2)
Rangers
Rangers
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Astros
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Astros +1.5
Rangers Astros
Away SP: Jack Leiter (xFIP 4.03)
Home SP: Spencer Arrighetti (xFIP 3.73)
Rangers Key Injuries: Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Astros Key Injuries: Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Josh Jung
Astros Dark Horse HR: Braden Shewmake
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-5)
Royals
Royals
@
8:15 PM ET
Cardinals
Cardinals
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Cardinals +1.5
Royals Cardinals
Away SP: Michael Wacha (xFIP 3.91)
Home SP: Dustin May (xFIP 3.87)
Royals Key Injuries: None
Cardinals Key Injuries: None
Royals Dark Horse HR: Elias Díaz
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 8:00 PM ET
✓ WIN (9-1)
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Rockies
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Diamondbacks Rockies
Away SP: Merrill Kelly (xFIP 5.85)
Home SP: Kyle Freeland (xFIP 4.66)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: None
Rockies Key Injuries: Chase Dollander
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Corbin Carroll
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Hunter Goodman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 11.5
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (6-0)
Dodgers
Dodgers
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Angels
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers Angels
Away SP: Will Klein (xFIP 2.19)
Home SP: Jack Kochanowicz (xFIP 4.14)
Dodgers Key Injuries: Tyler Glasnow
Angels Key Injuries: None
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Dalton Rushing
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-5)
Giants
Giants
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Athletics
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Athletics moneyline
Giants Athletics
Away SP: Tyler Mahle (xFIP 4.51)
Home SP: Aaron Civale (xFIP 3.84)
Giants Key Injuries: Erik Miller
Athletics Key Injuries: Jacob Wilson, Max Muncy
Giants Dark Horse HR: Eric Haase
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Zack Gelof
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-0)
Padres
Padres
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Mariners
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Mariners moneyline
Padres Mariners
Away SP: Randy Vásquez (xFIP 3.46)
Home SP: Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.54)
Padres Key Injuries: Luis Campusano
Mariners Key Injuries: Gabe Speier, Will Wilson
Padres Dark Horse HR: Ty France
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Dominic Canzone
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
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