MLB Picks — 2026-05-14 | WP Baseball Predictor

✓ WIN (5-4)

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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY

Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play

Cardinals

@

3:05 PM ET

Athletics

Confident Career: 55.1% (370-302) POTD

Cardinals moneyline

Cardinals Athletics

Away SP:

Michael McGreevy (xFIP 3.81)

Home SP:

Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.74)

Cardinals Key Injuries: None

Athletics Key Injuries: Jacob Wilson, Max Muncy

Cardinals Dark Horse HR: JJ Wetherholt

Athletics Dark Horse HR:

Zack Gelof

Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0

Posted 2:50 PM ET

✓ WIN (2-7)

Rockies

@

12:35 PM ET

Pirates

Confident Career: 55.1% (370-302)

Pirates moneyline

Rockies Pirates

Away SP: Chase Dollander (xFIP 3.85)

Home SP:

Mason Montgomery (xFIP 2.60)

Rockies Key Injuries: None

Pirates Key Injuries: Joey Bart

Rockies Dark Horse HR:

Hunter Goodman

Pirates Dark Horse HR:

Oneil Cruz

Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5

Posted 12:20 PM ET

✗ LOSS (1-15)

Nationals

@

12:40 PM ET

Reds

Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (561-373)

Nationals +1.5

Nationals Reds

Away SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 4.01)

Home SP:

Chase Burns (xFIP 3.69)

Nationals Key Injuries: Clayton Beeter

Reds Key Injuries: None

Nationals Dark Horse HR:

CJ Abrams

Reds Dark Horse HR:

JJ Bleday

Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5

Posted 12:25 PM ET

✗ LOSS (4-9)

Tigers

@

1:10 PM ET

Mets

Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (561-373)

Tigers +1.5

Tigers Mets

Away SP:

Keider Montero (xFIP 3.30)

Home SP:

Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.44)

Tigers Key Injuries: Casey Mize, Connor Seabold, Tarik Skubal, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres

Mets Key Injuries: Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor, Jared Young

Tigers Dark Horse HR:

Spencer Torkelson

Mets Dark Horse HR: MJ Melendez

Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0

Posted 12:55 PM ET

✓ WIN (1-9)

Marlins

@

1:40 PM ET

Twins

Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (561-373)

Twins +1.5

Marlins Twins

Away SP: Braxton Garrett (xFIP 5.00)

Home SP:

Zebby Matthews (xFIP 5.00)

Marlins Key Injuries: Griffin Conine

Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson

Marlins Dark Horse HR:

Esteury Ruiz

Twins Dark Horse HR:

Ryan Jeffers

Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5

Posted 1:25 PM ET

✓ WIN (1-7)

Padres

@

1:40 PM ET

Brewers

Confident Career: 55.1% (370-302)

Brewers moneyline

Padres Brewers

Away SP:

Griffin Canning (xFIP 3.60)

Home SP:

Kyle Harrison (xFIP 3.32)

Padres Key Injuries: Luis Campusano

Brewers Key Injuries: Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge

Padres Dark Horse HR:

Ty France

Brewers Dark Horse HR:

Gary Sánchez

Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5

Posted 1:25 PM ET

✗ LOSS (8-3)

Mariners

@

2:10 PM ET

Astros

Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (561-373)

Astros +1.5

Mariners Astros

Away SP: Luis Castillo (xFIP 4.28)

Home SP: Mike Burrows (xFIP 4.20)

Mariners Key Injuries: Gabe Speier, Will Wilson

Astros Key Injuries: Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell

Mariners Dark Horse HR:

Dominic Canzone

Astros Dark Horse HR: Zach Cole

Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0

Posted 1:55 PM ET

✓ WIN (3-1)

Phillies

@

6:45 PM ET

Red Sox

Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (561-373)

Phillies +1.5

Phillies Red Sox

Away SP:

Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.99)

Home SP:

Ranger Suarez (xFIP 3.30)

Phillies Key Injuries: Zach Pop

Red Sox Key Injuries: Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony

Phillies Dark Horse HR:

Bryce Harper

Red Sox Dark Horse HR:

Wilyer Abreu

Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0

Posted 6:30 PM ET

✓ WIN (2-0)

Cubs

@

7:15 PM ET

Braves

Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (561-373)

Cubs +1.5

Cubs Braves

Away SP: Ben Brown (xFIP 2.70)

Home SP:

Chris Sale (xFIP 3.44)

Cubs Key Injuries: Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar

Braves Key Injuries: Dylan Dodd

Cubs Dark Horse HR:

Seiya Suzuki

Braves Dark Horse HR:

Drake Baldwin

Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5

Posted 7:00 PM ET

✓ WIN (2-6)

Royals

@

7:40 PM ET

White Sox

Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (561-373)

White Sox +1.5

Royals White Sox

Away SP: Kris Bubic (xFIP 3.54)

Home SP:

Anthony Kay (xFIP 5.42)

Royals Key Injuries: None

White Sox Key Injuries: Everson Pereira

Royals Dark Horse HR: Elias Díaz

White Sox Dark Horse HR:

Drew Romo

Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5

Posted 7:25 PM ET

✓ WIN (2-5)

Giants

@

10:10 PM ET

Dodgers

Confident Career: 55.1% (370-302)

Dodgers moneyline

Giants Dodgers

Away SP:

Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.57)

Home SP: Emmet Sheehan (xFIP 3.46)

Giants Key Injuries: Erik Miller, Daniel Susac

Dodgers Key Injuries: Tyler Glasnow

Giants Dark Horse HR: Eric Haase

Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Dalton Rushing

Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5

Posted 9:55 PM ET

WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-14

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