WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-13

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8/15 (53.3%)
8W - 7L
✓ WIN (9-5)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Marlins
Marlins
@
7:40 PM ET
Twins
Twins
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199) POTD
Marlins moneyline
Marlins Twins
Away SP: Max Meyer (xFIP 2.93)
Home SP: Simeon Woods Richardson (xFIP 5.57)
Marlins Key Injuries: Griffin Conine
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Esteury Ruiz
Twins Dark Horse HR: Ryan Jeffers
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (0-7)
Yankees
Yankees
@
1:05 PM ET
Orioles
Orioles
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Yankees moneyline
Yankees Orioles
Away SP: Max Fried (xFIP 2.78)
Home SP: Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.17)
Yankees Key Injuries: Angel Chivilli, Jose Caballero, Giancarlo Stanton
Orioles Key Injuries: Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer, Dylan Beavers
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Ben Rice
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 12:50 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-4)
Angels
Angels
@
1:10 PM ET
Guardians
Guardians
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Guardians moneyline
Angels Guardians
Away SP: Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.15)
Home SP: Parker Messick (xFIP 2.87)
Angels Key Injuries: None
Guardians Key Injuries: Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jorge Soler
Guardians Dark Horse HR: David Fry
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (8-7)
Nationals
Nationals
@
6:40 PM ET
Reds
Reds
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Nationals moneyline
Nationals Reds
Away SP: Jake Irvin (xFIP 4.22)
Home SP: Nick Lodolo (xFIP 6.52)
Nationals Key Injuries: Clayton Beeter
Reds Key Injuries: None
Nationals Dark Horse HR: CJ Abrams
Reds Dark Horse HR: JJ Bleday
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (10-4)
Rockies
Rockies
@
6:40 PM ET
Pirates
Pirates
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Pirates moneyline
Rockies Pirates
Away SP: Jose Quintana (xFIP 5.40)
Home SP: Mitch Keller (xFIP 3.19)
Rockies Key Injuries: None
Pirates Key Injuries: Joey Bart
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Hunter Goodman
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Oneil Cruz
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-3)
Phillies
Phillies
@
6:45 PM ET
Red Sox
Red Sox
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Phillies +1.5
Phillies Red Sox
Away SP: Andrew Painter (xFIP 4.39)
Home SP: Sonny Gray (xFIP 4.35)
Phillies Key Injuries: Zach Pop
Red Sox Key Injuries: Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-5)
Rays
Rays
@
7:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Rays +1.5
Rays Blue Jays
Away SP: Griffin Jax (xFIP 4.71)
Home SP: Dylan Cease (xFIP 1.87)
Rays Key Injuries: Steven Matz
Blue Jays Key Injuries: None
Rays Dark Horse HR: Jonathan Aranda
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Brandon Valenzuela
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-3)
Tigers
Tigers
@
7:10 PM ET
Mets
Mets
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Tigers +1.5
Tigers Mets
Away SP: Framber Valdez (xFIP 4.34)
Home SP: Christian Scott (xFIP 4.08)
Tigers Key Injuries: Casey Mize, Connor Seabold, Tarik Skubal, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres
Mets Key Injuries: Francisco Alvarez, Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Spencer Torkelson
Mets Dark Horse HR: MJ Melendez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (1-4)
Cubs
Cubs
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Braves
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Braves +1.5
Cubs Braves
Away SP: Shota Imanaga (xFIP 2.85)
Home SP: JR Ritchie (xFIP 6.06)
Cubs Key Injuries: Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Braves Key Injuries: Dylan Dodd
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Seiya Suzuki
Braves Dark Horse HR: Drake Baldwin
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-1)
Padres
Padres
@
7:40 PM ET
Brewers
Brewers
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Brewers moneyline
Padres Brewers
Away SP: Michael King (xFIP 3.91)
Home SP: Jacob Misiorowski (xFIP 2.67)
Padres Key Injuries: Luis Campusano
Brewers Key Injuries: Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge
Padres Dark Horse HR: Ty France
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Gary Sánchez
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (5-6)
Royals
Royals
@
7:40 PM ET
White Sox
White Sox
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
White Sox +1.5
Royals White Sox
Away SP: Seth Lugo (xFIP 2.75)
Home SP: Noah Schultz (xFIP 4.29)
Royals Key Injuries: None
White Sox Key Injuries: Everson Pereira
Royals Dark Horse HR: Elias Díaz
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Drew Romo
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (5-6)
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
@
8:05 PM ET
Rangers
Rangers
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Diamondbacks Rangers
Away SP: Ryne Nelson (xFIP 4.45)
Home SP: Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.32)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: None
Rangers Key Injuries: Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Corbin Carroll
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Josh Jung
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-4)
Mariners
Mariners
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Astros
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Mariners moneyline
Mariners Astros
Away SP: Bryce Miller (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: Lance McCullers Jr. (xFIP 4.59)
Mariners Key Injuries: Gabe Speier, Will Wilson
Astros Key Injuries: Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Dominic Canzone
Astros Dark Horse HR: Braden Shewmake
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-6)
Cardinals
Cardinals
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Athletics
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals Athletics
Away SP: Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.84)
Home SP: J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.37)
Cardinals Key Injuries: None
Athletics Key Injuries: Jacob Wilson, Max Muncy
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: JJ Wetherholt
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Carlos Cortes
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (0-4)
Giants
Giants
@
10:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Dodgers
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Dodgers moneyline
Giants Dodgers
Away SP: Robbie Ray (xFIP 4.11)
Home SP: Shohei Ohtani (xFIP 2.58)
Giants Key Injuries: Erik Miller, Daniel Susac
Dodgers Key Injuries: Tyler Glasnow
Giants Dark Horse HR: Eric Haase
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Dalton Rushing
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 9:55 PM ET
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