WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-10
10/15 (66.7%)
10W - 5L
✗ LOSS
(0-5)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
Astros
@
1:40 PM ET
Reds
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
POTD
Astros moneyline
Astros
Reds
Away SP: 
Kai-Wei Teng (xFIP 3.73)
Kai-Wei Teng (xFIP 3.73)Home SP: 
Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.71)
Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.71)Astros Key Injuries:
Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerReds Dark Horse HR:
JJ Bleday
JJ BledayOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-5)
Nationals
@
12:15 PM ET
Marlins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Nationals +1.5
Nationals
Marlins
Away SP: 
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.14)
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 3.14)Home SP: 
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.89)
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.89)Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury RuizOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 12:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-2)
Athletics
@
1:35 PM ET
Orioles
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Athletics +1.5
Athletics
Orioles
Away SP: Luis Severino (xFIP 4.52)
Home SP: Keegan Akin (xFIP 4.25)
Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Zack Gelof
Zack GelofOrioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-1)
Rays
@
1:35 PM ET
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rays +1.5
Rays
Red Sox
Away SP: 
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.48)
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.48)Home SP: 
Payton Tolle (xFIP 2.49)
Payton Tolle (xFIP 2.49)Rays Key Injuries:
Steven Matz
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan ArandaRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-6)
Rockies
@
1:35 PM ET
Phillies
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Phillies moneyline
Rockies
Phillies
Away SP: 
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.61)
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.61)Home SP: 
Cristopher Sánchez (xFIP 2.43)
Cristopher Sánchez (xFIP 2.43)Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Phillies Key Injuries:
Zach Pop
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanPhillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-1)
Angels
@
1:37 PM ET
Blue Jays
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Angels +1.5
Angels
Blue Jays
Away SP: José Soriano (xFIP 3.47)
Home SP: 
Spencer Miles (xFIP 3.67)
Spencer Miles (xFIP 3.67)Angels Key Injuries:
None
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon ValenzuelaOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-4)
Twins
@
1:40 PM ET
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Twins +1.5
Twins
Guardians
Away SP: 
Andrew Morris (xFIP 3.05)
Andrew Morris (xFIP 3.05)Home SP: 
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.82)
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.82)Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan JeffersGuardians Dark Horse HR:
David Fry
David FryOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-2)
Mariners
@
2:10 PM ET
White Sox
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
White Sox moneyline
Mariners
White Sox
Away SP: 
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.96)
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.96)Home SP: Davis Martin (xFIP 2.49)
Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Will Wilson
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Brendan Donovan
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Colson MontgomeryOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-4)
Yankees
@
2:10 PM ET
Brewers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Yankees +1.5
Yankees
Brewers
Away SP: 
Carlos Rodón (xFIP 5.00)
Carlos Rodón (xFIP 5.00)Home SP: 
Logan Henderson (xFIP 0.79)
Logan Henderson (xFIP 0.79)Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge, Christian Yelich
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceBrewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(0-3)
Cubs
@
2:35 PM ET
Rangers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Cubs +1.5
Cubs
Rangers
Away SP: Jameson Taillon (xFIP 4.88)
Home SP: 
Jacob deGrom (xFIP 3.04)
Jacob deGrom (xFIP 3.04)Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya SuzukiRangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 2:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-7)
Pirates
@
4:05 PM ET
Giants
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Pirates moneyline
Pirates
Giants
Away SP: 
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 5.38)
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 5.38)Home SP: Tyler Mahle (xFIP 4.55)
Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Giants Key Injuries:
Erik Miller, Daniel Susac
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Oneil CruzGiants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Drew GilbertOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-2)
Braves
@
4:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Braves +1.5
Braves
Dodgers
Away SP: 
Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.23)
Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.23)Home SP: Justin Wrobleski (xFIP 3.25)
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Tyler Glasnow, Mookie Betts
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris IIDodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-3)
Cardinals
@
4:10 PM ET
Padres
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals
Padres
Away SP: 
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.80)
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.80)Home SP: 
Walker Buehler (xFIP 3.50)
Walker Buehler (xFIP 3.50)Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Padres Key Injuries:
Luis Campusano
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nathan Church
Nathan ChurchPadres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-5)
Mets
@
4:10 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Mets moneyline
Mets
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Huascar Brazobán (xFIP 3.34)
Home SP: 
Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.46)
Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.46)Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-3)
Tigers
@
7:20 PM ET
Royals
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Tigers moneyline
Tigers
Royals
Away SP: Brenan Hanifee (xFIP 2.42)
Home SP: 
Noah Cameron (xFIP 4.16)
Noah Cameron (xFIP 4.16)Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold, Tarik Skubal, Kerry Carpenter, Gleyber Torres
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Dillon DinglerRoyals Dark Horse HR:
Michael Massey
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:05 PM ET