WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-09
7/14 (50.0%)
7W - 7L
✓ WIN
(13-3)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
Pirates
@
9:05 PM ET
Giants
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
POTD
Pirates moneyline
Pirates
Giants
Away SP: Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 3.03)
Home SP: Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.69)
Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Giants Key Injuries:
Erik Miller, Daniel Susac
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 8:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-14)
Angels
@
3:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Blue Jays moneyline
Angels
Blue Jays
Away SP: Jack Kochanowicz (xFIP 4.02)
Home SP: Trey Yesavage (xFIP 2.21)
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-2)
Athletics
@
4:05 PM ET
Orioles
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Athletics +1.5
Athletics
Orioles
Away SP: Aaron Civale (xFIP 4.02)
Home SP: Shane Baz (xFIP 4.18)
Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Zack Gelof
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-3)
Astros
@
4:10 PM ET
Reds
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Astros +1.5
Astros
Reds
Away SP: Spencer Arrighetti (xFIP 3.91)
Home SP: Chase Burns (xFIP 3.38)
Astros Key Injuries:
Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-8)
Nationals
@
4:10 PM ET
Marlins
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Marlins moneyline
Nationals
Marlins
Away SP: Richard Lovelady (xFIP 4.57)
Home SP: Janson Junk (xFIP 3.48)
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
Rays
@
4:10 PM ET
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Rays +1.5
Rays
Red Sox
Away SP: Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.48)
Home SP: Payton Tolle (xFIP 2.49)
Rays Key Injuries:
Steven Matz
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-9)
Rockies
@
6:05 PM ET
Phillies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Rockies +1.5
Rockies
Phillies
Away SP: Kyle Freeland (xFIP 4.42)
Home SP: Aaron Nola (xFIP 3.80)
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Phillies Key Injuries:
Zach Pop
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 5:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-1)
Twins
@
6:10 PM ET
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Twins +1.5
Twins
Guardians
Away SP: Joe Ryan (xFIP 3.04)
Home SP: Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.24)
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
David Fry
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 5:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(0-6)
Cubs
@
7:05 PM ET
Rangers
Strong
Career: 66.7%
(96-48)
Cubs moneyline
Cubs
Rangers
Away SP: Edward Cabrera (xFIP 3.97)
Home SP: Jack Leiter (xFIP 3.96)
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Seiya Suzuki
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-6)
Mariners
@
7:10 PM ET
White Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
White Sox +1.5
Mariners
White Sox
Away SP: Luis Castillo (xFIP 4.24)
Home SP: Anthony Kay (xFIP 5.80)
Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Will Wilson
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Brendan Donovan
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Drew Romo
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-5)
Tigers
@
7:10 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Tigers +1.5
Tigers
Royals
Away SP: Burch Smith (xFIP 1.41)
Home SP: Michael Wacha (xFIP 4.08)
Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold, Tarik Skubal, Gleyber Torres
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Jac Caglianone
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-4)
Yankees
@
7:10 PM ET
Brewers
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Yankees moneyline
Yankees
Brewers
Away SP: Cam Schlittler (xFIP 1.78)
Home SP: Kyle Harrison (xFIP 2.90)
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge, Christian Yelich
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Brice Turang
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-4)
Cardinals
@
7:15 PM ET
Padres
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals
Padres
Away SP: Dustin May (xFIP 3.85)
Home SP: Randy Vásquez (xFIP 3.81)
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Padres Key Injuries:
Luis Campusano
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-2)
Mets
@
7:15 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Strong
Career: 66.7%
(96-48)
Mets moneyline
Mets
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Clay Holmes (xFIP 3.69)
Home SP: Merrill Kelly (xFIP 6.70)
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-2)
Braves
@
9:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Braves +1.5
Braves
Dodgers
Away SP: Spencer Strider (xFIP 6.61)
Home SP: Blake Snell (xFIP 5.00)
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Tyler Glasnow, Mookie Betts
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 8:55 PM ET