WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-09
7/14 (50.0%)
7W - 7L
✓ WIN
(13-3)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
Pirates
@
9:05 PM ET
Giants
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
POTD
Pirates moneyline
Pirates
Giants
Away SP: 
Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 3.03)
Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 3.03)Home SP: 
Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.69)
Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.69)Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Giants Key Injuries:
Erik Miller, Daniel Susac
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Oneil CruzGiants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Drew GilbertOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 8:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-14)
Angels
@
3:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Blue Jays moneyline
Angels
Blue Jays
Away SP: Jack Kochanowicz (xFIP 4.02)
Home SP: Trey Yesavage (xFIP 2.21)
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon ValenzuelaOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-2)
Athletics
@
4:05 PM ET
Orioles
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Athletics +1.5
Athletics
Orioles
Away SP: Aaron Civale (xFIP 4.02)
Home SP: 
Shane Baz (xFIP 4.18)
Shane Baz (xFIP 4.18)Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Zack Gelof
Zack GelofOrioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-3)
Astros
@
4:10 PM ET
Reds
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Astros +1.5
Astros
Reds
Away SP: Spencer Arrighetti (xFIP 3.91)
Home SP: 
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.38)
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.38)Astros Key Injuries:
Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerReds Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-8)
Nationals
@
4:10 PM ET
Marlins
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Marlins moneyline
Nationals
Marlins
Away SP: Richard Lovelady (xFIP 4.57)
Home SP: 
Janson Junk (xFIP 3.48)
Janson Junk (xFIP 3.48)Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury RuizOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
Rays
@
4:10 PM ET
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rays +1.5
Rays
Red Sox
Away SP: 
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.48)
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.48)Home SP: 
Payton Tolle (xFIP 2.49)
Payton Tolle (xFIP 2.49)Rays Key Injuries:
Steven Matz
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan ArandaRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-9)
Rockies
@
6:05 PM ET
Phillies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rockies +1.5
Rockies
Phillies
Away SP: Kyle Freeland (xFIP 4.42)
Home SP: 
Aaron Nola (xFIP 3.80)
Aaron Nola (xFIP 3.80)Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Phillies Key Injuries:
Zach Pop
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanPhillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 5:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-1)
Twins
@
6:10 PM ET
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Twins +1.5
Twins
Guardians
Away SP: Joe Ryan (xFIP 3.04)
Home SP: 
Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.24)
Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.24)Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Taj Bradley, Cody Laweryson
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan JeffersGuardians Dark Horse HR:
David Fry
David FryOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 5:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(0-6)
Cubs
@
7:05 PM ET
Rangers
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Cubs moneyline
Cubs
Rangers
Away SP: Edward Cabrera (xFIP 3.97)
Home SP: Jack Leiter (xFIP 3.96)
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya SuzukiRangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-6)
Mariners
@
7:10 PM ET
White Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
Mariners
White Sox
Away SP: Luis Castillo (xFIP 4.24)
Home SP: 
Anthony Kay (xFIP 5.80)
Anthony Kay (xFIP 5.80)Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Will Wilson
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Brendan Donovan
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Drew Romo
Drew RomoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-5)
Tigers
@
7:10 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Tigers +1.5
Tigers
Royals
Away SP: Burch Smith (xFIP 1.41)
Home SP: 
Michael Wacha (xFIP 4.08)
Michael Wacha (xFIP 4.08)Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold, Tarik Skubal, Gleyber Torres
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Dillon DinglerRoyals Dark Horse HR:
Jac Caglianone
Jac CaglianoneOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-4)
Yankees
@
7:10 PM ET
Brewers
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Yankees moneyline
Yankees
Brewers
Away SP: 
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 1.78)
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 1.78)Home SP: 
Kyle Harrison (xFIP 2.90)
Kyle Harrison (xFIP 2.90)Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Brandon Lockridge, Christian Yelich
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceBrewers Dark Horse HR:
Brice Turang
Brice TurangOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-4)
Cardinals
@
7:15 PM ET
Padres
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Cardinals +1.5
Cardinals
Padres
Away SP: Dustin May (xFIP 3.85)
Home SP: 
Randy Vásquez (xFIP 3.81)
Randy Vásquez (xFIP 3.81)Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Padres Key Injuries:
Luis Campusano
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Ty FranceOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-2)
Mets
@
7:15 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Mets moneyline
Mets
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Clay Holmes (xFIP 3.69)
Home SP: 
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 6.70)
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 6.70)Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-2)
Braves
@
9:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Braves +1.5
Braves
Dodgers
Away SP: Spencer Strider (xFIP 6.61)
Home SP: 
Blake Snell (xFIP 5.00)
Blake Snell (xFIP 5.00)Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Tyler Glasnow, Mookie Betts
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris IIDodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 8:55 PM ET