WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-08
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
POTD
Cubs moneyline
Away SP: Ben Brown (xFIP 2.74)
Home SP: 
Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.01)
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Michael Conforto
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:50 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Astros +1.5
Away SP: Mike Burrows (xFIP 4.49)
Home SP: 
Nick Lodolo (xFIP 5.00)
Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Carlos Correa, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 5:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rockies +1.5
Away SP: Chase Dollander (xFIP 3.52)
Home SP: 
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.75)
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Phillies Key Injuries:
Zach Pop
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Athletics +1.5
Away SP: 
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.80)
Home SP: 
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.62)
Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Zack Gelof
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 6:50 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Angels +1.5
Away SP: 
Reid Detmers (xFIP 2.84)
Home SP: 
Dylan Cease (xFIP 2.15)
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Nationals +1.5
Away SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 4.25)
Home SP: Robby Snelling (xFIP 5.00)
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Rays moneyline
Away SP: Jesse Scholtens (xFIP 3.88)
Home SP: Connelly Early (xFIP 4.73)
Rays Key Injuries:
Steven Matz
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Tyler Uberstine, Roman Anthony
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Twins +1.5
Away SP: 
Connor Prielipp (xFIP 3.94)
Home SP: 
Parker Messick (xFIP 3.10)
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Cody Laweryson
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Ryan Jeffers
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
David Fry
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
Away SP: Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.31)
Home SP: 
Sean Burke (xFIP 3.22)
Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Will Wilson
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Tigers +1.5
Away SP: 
Keider Montero (xFIP 3.47)
Home SP: Kris Bubic (xFIP 3.54)
Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold, Tarik Skubal, Gleyber Torres
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Jac Caglianone
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Yankees moneyline
Away SP: 
Max Fried (xFIP 2.75)
Home SP: 
Jacob Misiorowski (xFIP 3.01)
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Christian Yelich
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Brice Turang
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Mets moneyline
Away SP: 
Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.15)
Home SP: Ryne Nelson (xFIP 4.72)
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Cardinals +1.5
Away SP: 
Michael McGreevy (xFIP 4.10)
Home SP: 
Griffin Canning (xFIP 4.13)
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Padres Key Injuries:
Luis Campusano
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Ty France
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 9:30 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Braves +1.5
Away SP: 
Chris Sale (xFIP 3.47)
Home SP: Emmet Sheehan (xFIP 3.74)
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Tyler Glasnow, Mookie Betts
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 9:55 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Pirates moneyline
Away SP: 
Carmen Mlodzinski (xFIP 2.52)
Home SP: Robbie Ray (season debut — no stats)
Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Giants Key Injuries:
Erik Miller, Daniel Susac
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 10:10 PM ET
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