WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-05
9/13 (69.2%)
9W - 4L
✗ LOSS
(9-7)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Orioles
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
POTD
Marlins moneyline
Orioles
Marlins
Away SP: 
Chris Bassitt (xFIP 5.17)
Chris Bassitt (xFIP 5.17)Home SP: 
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.97)
Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.97)Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury RuizOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-9)
Athletics
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Athletics +1.5
Athletics
Phillies
Away SP: Luis Severino (xFIP 4.40)
Home SP: 
Cristopher Sánchez (xFIP 2.62)
Cristopher Sánchez (xFIP 2.62)Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Phillies Key Injuries:
Zach Pop
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Carlos Cortes
Carlos CortesPhillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-4)
Blue Jays
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Rays moneyline
Blue Jays
Rays
Away SP: Kevin Gausman (xFIP 3.31)
Home SP: 
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.32)
Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.32)Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Rays Key Injuries:
Steven Matz
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon ValenzuelaRays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan ArandaOver/Under (Game Total): Under 6.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(10-3)
Red Sox
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Red Sox +1.5
Red Sox
Tigers
Away SP: 
Jovani Morán (xFIP 4.62)
Jovani Morán (xFIP 4.62)Home SP: 
Framber Valdez (xFIP 3.42)
Framber Valdez (xFIP 3.42)Red Sox Key Injuries:
Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold, Tarik Skubal
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuTigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Dillon DinglerOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(11-3)
Twins
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Nationals +1.5
Twins
Nationals
Away SP: 
Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.77)
Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.77)Home SP: 
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 2.88)
Cade Cavalli (xFIP 2.88)Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Cody Laweryson
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Tristan Gray
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-7)
Rangers
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Yankees moneyline
Rangers
Yankees
Away SP: 
Jacob deGrom (xFIP 2.83)
Jacob deGrom (xFIP 2.83)Home SP: 
Elmer Rodríguez (xFIP 5.42)
Elmer Rodríguez (xFIP 5.42)Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-5)
Guardians
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Royals +1.5
Guardians
Royals
Away SP: 
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.71)
Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.71)Home SP: Stephen Kolek (xFIP 5.00)
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
David Fry
David FryRoyals Dark Horse HR:
Jac Caglianone
Jac CaglianoneOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-3)
Reds
@
7:40 PM ET
Cubs
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Cubs moneyline
Reds
Cubs
Away SP: 
Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.72)
Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.72)Home SP: Jameson Taillon (xFIP 4.90)
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Moisés Ballesteros
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Brewers
@
7:45 PM ET
Cardinals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Brewers +1.5
Brewers
Cardinals
Away SP: Brandon Sproat (xFIP 5.30)
Home SP: Andre Pallante (xFIP 4.58)
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Christian Yelich
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Brice Turang
Brice TurangCardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 5:45 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-2)
Dodgers
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Astros
Away SP: 
Shohei Ohtani (xFIP 2.00)
Shohei Ohtani (xFIP 2.00)Home SP: 
Peter Lambert (xFIP 2.45)
Peter Lambert (xFIP 2.45)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Mookie Betts
Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
Mets
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rockies +1.5
Mets
Rockies
Away SP: Freddy Peralta (xFIP 3.74)
Home SP: Michael Lorenzen (xFIP 4.64)
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 12:15 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-4)
White Sox
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Angels
Away SP: 
Erick Fedde (xFIP 4.69)
Erick Fedde (xFIP 4.69)Home SP: Sam Aldegheri (xFIP 6.85)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Angels Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Colson MontgomeryAngels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-2)
Braves
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Braves moneyline
Braves
Mariners
Away SP: 
Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.15)
Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.15)Home SP: 
George Kirby (xFIP 3.68)
George Kirby (xFIP 3.68)Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris IIMariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-9)
Pirates
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Pirates
Diamondbacks
Away SP: 
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 5.28)
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 5.28)Home SP: 
Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.80)
Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.80)Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Lowe
Brandon LoweDiamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(10-5)
Padres
@
9:45 PM ET
Giants
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Padres +1.5
Padres
Giants
Away SP: 
Walker Buehler (xFIP 3.45)
Walker Buehler (xFIP 3.45)Home SP: 
Logan Webb (xFIP 3.49)
Logan Webb (xFIP 3.49)Padres Key Injuries:
None
Giants Key Injuries:
Erik Miller, Daniel Susac
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Luis CampusanoGiants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Drew GilbertOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 9:30 PM ET