WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-05
9/13 (69.2%)
9W - 4L
✗ LOSS
(9-7)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Orioles
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
POTD
Marlins moneyline
Orioles
Marlins
Away SP: Chris Bassitt (xFIP 5.17)
Home SP: Sandy Alcantara (xFIP 3.97)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Esteury Ruiz
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-2)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
Braves
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
POTD
Braves moneyline
Braves
Mariners
Away SP: Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.15)
Home SP: George Kirby (xFIP 3.68)
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-9)
Athletics
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Athletics +1.5
Athletics
Phillies
Away SP: Luis Severino (xFIP 4.40)
Home SP: Cristopher Sánchez (xFIP 2.62)
Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Phillies Key Injuries:
Zach Pop
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Carlos Cortes
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-4)
Blue Jays
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Rays moneyline
Blue Jays
Rays
Away SP: Kevin Gausman (xFIP 3.31)
Home SP: Drew Rasmussen (xFIP 3.32)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Rays Key Injuries:
Steven Matz
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 6.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(10-3)
Red Sox
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Red Sox +1.5
Red Sox
Tigers
Away SP: Jovani Morán (xFIP 4.62)
Home SP: Framber Valdez (xFIP 3.42)
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold, Tarik Skubal
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(11-3)
Twins
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Nationals +1.5
Twins
Nationals
Away SP: Taj Bradley (xFIP 3.77)
Home SP: Cade Cavalli (xFIP 2.88)
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Cody Laweryson
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Tristan Gray
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-7)
Rangers
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Yankees moneyline
Rangers
Yankees
Away SP: Jacob deGrom (xFIP 2.83)
Home SP: Elmer Rodríguez (xFIP 5.42)
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-5)
Guardians
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Royals +1.5
Guardians
Royals
Away SP: Gavin Williams (xFIP 3.71)
Home SP: Stephen Kolek (xFIP 5.00)
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
David Fry
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Jac Caglianone
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-3)
Reds
@
7:40 PM ET
Cubs
Strong
Career: 66.7%
(96-48)
Cubs moneyline
Reds
Cubs
Away SP: Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.72)
Home SP: Jameson Taillon (xFIP 4.90)
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Moisés Ballesteros
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
Brewers
@
7:45 PM ET
Cardinals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Brewers +1.5
Brewers
Cardinals
Away SP: Brandon Sproat (xFIP 5.30)
Home SP: Andre Pallante (xFIP 4.58)
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Christian Yelich
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Brice Turang
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 5:45 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-2)
Dodgers
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Strong
Career: 66.7%
(96-48)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Astros
Away SP: Shohei Ohtani (xFIP 2.00)
Home SP: Peter Lambert (xFIP 2.45)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Mookie Betts
Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
Mets
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Rockies +1.5
Mets
Rockies
Away SP: Freddy Peralta (xFIP 3.74)
Home SP: Michael Lorenzen (xFIP 4.64)
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 12:15 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-4)
White Sox
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Angels
Away SP: Erick Fedde (xFIP 4.69)
Home SP: Sam Aldegheri (xFIP 6.85)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Angels Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-9)
Pirates
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Pirates
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Bubba Chandler (xFIP 5.28)
Home SP: Eduardo Rodriguez (xFIP 4.80)
Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Lowe
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(10-5)
Padres
@
9:45 PM ET
Giants
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Padres +1.5
Padres
Giants
Away SP: Walker Buehler (xFIP 3.45)
Home SP: Logan Webb (xFIP 3.49)
Padres Key Injuries:
None
Giants Key Injuries:
Erik Miller, Daniel Susac
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 9:30 PM ET