WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-04
8/12 (66.7%)
8W - 4L
✓ WIN
(1-12)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Orioles
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Lock
Career: 62.2%
(23-14)
POTD
Yankees -1.5
Orioles
Yankees
Away SP: 
Shane Baz (xFIP 3.76)
Shane Baz (xFIP 3.76)Home SP: 
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 1.56)
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 1.56)Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-2)
Mets
@
5:40 PM ET
Rockies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rockies +1.5
Mets
Rockies
Away SP: Huascar Brazobán (xFIP 2.91)
Home SP: 
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.41)
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.41)Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanOver/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 5:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-4)
Red Sox
@
6:10 PM ET
Tigers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Tigers +1.5
Red Sox
Tigers
Away SP: 
Payton Tolle (xFIP 2.98)
Payton Tolle (xFIP 2.98)Home SP: 
Tyler Holton (xFIP 5.33)
Tyler Holton (xFIP 5.33)Red Sox Key Injuries:
Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold, Tarik Skubal
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuTigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Dillon DinglerOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 5:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-5)
Blue Jays
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Rays moneyline
Blue Jays
Rays
Away SP: Eric Lauer (xFIP 5.44)
Home SP: 
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.66)
Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.66)Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Rays Key Injuries:
None
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon ValenzuelaRays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan ArandaOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-0)
Phillies
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Marlins moneyline
Phillies
Marlins
Away SP: 
Aaron Nola (xFIP 4.09)
Aaron Nola (xFIP 4.09)Home SP: 
Janson Junk (xFIP 3.50)
Janson Junk (xFIP 3.50)Phillies Key Injuries:
Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Otto Lopez
Otto LopezOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-5)
Reds
@
7:10 PM ET
Cubs
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Cubs moneyline
Reds
Cubs
Away SP: Chase Petty (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: Edward Cabrera (xFIP 3.74)
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Moisés Ballesteros
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 11.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-6)
Guardians
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Guardians +1.5
Guardians
Royals
Away SP: 
Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.17)
Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.17)Home SP: 
Michael Wacha (xFIP 4.00)
Michael Wacha (xFIP 4.00)Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Daniel Schneemann
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Kyle Isbel
Kyle IsbelOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-6)
Brewers
@
7:45 PM ET
Cardinals
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Brewers moneyline
Brewers
Cardinals
Away SP: 
Chad Patrick (xFIP 4.35)
Chad Patrick (xFIP 4.35)Home SP: 
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.99)
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 4.99)Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Christian Yelich
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Brice Turang
Brice TurangCardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 7:30 PM ET
✓ WIN
(8-3)
Dodgers
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Astros
Away SP: 
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.65)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.65)Home SP: 
Steven Okert (xFIP 4.61)
Steven Okert (xFIP 4.61)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Mookie Betts
Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(6-0)
White Sox
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Angels
Away SP: Davis Martin (xFIP 2.90)
Home SP: José Soriano (xFIP 2.91)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Angels Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Colson MontgomeryAngels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-5)
Braves
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Braves +1.5
Braves
Mariners
Away SP: JR Ritchie (xFIP 5.06)
Home SP: 
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.35)
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.35)Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Mariners Key Injuries:
Gabe Speier, Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris IIMariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-3)
Padres
@
9:45 PM ET
Giants
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Giants +1.5
Padres
Giants
Away SP: 
Randy Vásquez (xFIP 3.47)
Randy Vásquez (xFIP 3.47)Home SP: Trevor McDonald (xFIP 5.00)
Padres Key Injuries:
None
Giants Key Injuries:
Erik Miller, Daniel Susac
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Luis CampusanoGiants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Drew GilbertOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:30 PM ET