WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-03
8/15 (53.3%)
8W - 7L
✓ WIN
(4-8)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Diamondbacks
@
2:20 PM ET
Cubs
Lock
Career: 62.2%
(23-14)
POTD
Cubs -1.5
Diamondbacks
Cubs
Away SP: 
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 7.17)
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 7.17)Home SP: 
Matthew Boyd (xFIP 1.84)
Matthew Boyd (xFIP 1.84)Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollCubs Dark Horse HR:
Moisés Ballesteros
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 12.0
Posted 2:05 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-4)
Blue Jays
@
12:45 PM ET
Twins
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Blue Jays moneyline
Blue Jays
Twins
Away SP: Trey Yesavage (xFIP 2.04)
Home SP: Joe Ryan (xFIP 3.01)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Cody Laweryson
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon ValenzuelaTwins Dark Horse HR:
Tristan Gray
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 12:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-1)
Astros
@
1:35 PM ET
Red Sox
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Red Sox moneyline
Astros
Red Sox
Away SP: Cody Bolton (xFIP 5.10)
Home SP: 
Ranger Suarez (xFIP 3.40)
Ranger Suarez (xFIP 3.40)Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-3)
Brewers
@
1:35 PM ET
Nationals
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Brewers moneyline
Brewers
Nationals
Away SP: 
Logan Henderson (xFIP 1.67)
Logan Henderson (xFIP 1.67)Home SP: PJ Poulin (xFIP 5.56)
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Christian Yelich
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Jake Bauers
Jake BauersNationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-11)
Orioles
@
1:35 PM ET
Yankees
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Yankees moneyline
Orioles
Yankees
Away SP: Trey Gibson (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: 
Max Fried (xFIP 2.77)
Max Fried (xFIP 2.77)Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-1)
Reds
@
1:35 PM ET
Pirates
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Reds +1.5
Reds
Pirates
Away SP: 
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.59)
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.59)Home SP: 
Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 3.17)
Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 3.17)Reds Key Injuries:
None
Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Lowe
Brandon LoweOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-2)
Giants
@
1:40 PM ET
Rays
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Rays moneyline
Giants
Rays
Away SP: Tyler Mahle (xFIP 4.88)
Home SP: 
Steven Matz (xFIP 4.51)
Steven Matz (xFIP 4.51)Giants Key Injuries:
Daniel Susac
Rays Key Injuries:
None
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Drew GilbertRays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan ArandaOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(7-2)
Phillies
@
1:40 PM ET
Marlins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Marlins +1.5
Phillies
Marlins
Away SP: 
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.79)
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.79)Home SP: Chris Paddack (xFIP 4.01)
Phillies Key Injuries:
Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Connor Norby
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-1)
Dodgers
@
2:15 PM ET
Cardinals
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Cardinals
Away SP: Justin Wrobleski (xFIP 3.17)
Home SP: Dustin May (xFIP 3.89)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Mookie Betts
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.0
Posted 2:00 PM ET
✓ WIN
(11-6)
Braves
@
3:10 PM ET
Rockies
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Braves moneyline
Braves
Rockies
Away SP: Spencer Strider (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: Kyle Freeland (xFIP 4.09)
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris IIRockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-7)
Guardians
@
4:05 PM ET
Athletics
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Guardians moneyline
Guardians
Athletics
Away SP: 
Parker Messick (xFIP 2.34)
Parker Messick (xFIP 2.34)Home SP: Aaron Civale (xFIP 3.76)
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Daniel Schneemann
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Carlos Cortes
Carlos CortesOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-1)
Mets
@
4:07 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Angels +1.5
Mets
Angels
Away SP: Clay Holmes (xFIP 3.86)
Home SP: Jack Kochanowicz (xFIP 3.80)
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-1)
Royals
@
4:10 PM ET
Mariners
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Royals +1.5
Royals
Mariners
Away SP: Kris Bubic (xFIP 3.85)
Home SP: Luis Castillo (xFIP 4.33)
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Mariners Key Injuries:
Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Kyle Isbel
Kyle IsbelMariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(3-4)
White Sox
@
4:10 PM ET
Padres
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Padres moneyline
White Sox
Padres
Away SP: 
Anthony Kay (xFIP 5.98)
Anthony Kay (xFIP 5.98)Home SP: 
Griffin Canning (xFIP 5.00)
Griffin Canning (xFIP 5.00)White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Padres Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Colson MontgomeryPadres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Luis CampusanoOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-7)
Rangers
@
7:20 PM ET
Tigers
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rangers +1.5
Rangers
Tigers
Away SP: Jack Leiter (xFIP 4.31)
Home SP: 
Tyler Holton (xFIP 5.55)
Tyler Holton (xFIP 5.55)Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Dillon DinglerOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:05 PM ET