WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-02
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Lock
Career: 62.2%
(23-14)
POTD
Cubs -1.5
Away SP: Ryne Nelson (xFIP 4.74)
Home SP: 
Shota Imanaga (xFIP 2.88)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Moisés Ballesteros
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 2:05 PM ET
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Yankees moneyline
Away SP: 
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.10)
Home SP: Ryan Weathers (xFIP 3.17)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Twins +1.5
Away SP: 
Dylan Cease (xFIP 1.86)
Home SP: 
Connor Prielipp (xFIP 1.73)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Cody Laweryson
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Jesús Sánchez
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Tristan Gray
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Brewers moneyline
Away SP: 
Kyle Harrison (xFIP 3.13)
Home SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 4.12)
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Christian Yelich
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Jake Bauers
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Guardians +1.5
Away SP: Slade Cecconi (xFIP 5.05)
Home SP: 
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 6.01)
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Daniel Schneemann
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Carlos Cortes
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Reds +1.5
Away SP: 
Rhett Lowder (xFIP 2.96)
Home SP: 
Carmen Mlodzinski (xFIP 2.32)
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 3:50 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Astros +1.5
Away SP: Spencer Arrighetti (xFIP 3.73)
Home SP: Connelly Early (xFIP 4.54)
Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Marlins moneyline
Away SP: 
Andrew Painter (xFIP 3.38)
Home SP: Max Meyer (xFIP 3.34)
Phillies Key Injuries:
Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Otto Lopez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rays +1.5
Away SP: 
Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.80)
Home SP: Griffin Jax (xFIP 5.51)
Giants Key Injuries:
Daniel Susac
Rays Key Injuries:
None
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 5:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Cardinals +1.5
Away SP: Roki Sasaki (xFIP 5.81)
Home SP: 
Michael McGreevy (xFIP 4.03)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Mookie Betts
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rangers +1.5
Away SP: 
Kumar Rocker (xFIP 3.73)
Home SP: 
Keider Montero (xFIP 2.98)
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Braves moneyline
Away SP: 
Chris Sale (xFIP 3.74)
Home SP: 
Brennan Bernardino (xFIP 2.38)
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
Away SP: 
Sean Burke (xFIP 3.62)
Home SP: 
Michael King (xFIP 4.00)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Padres Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 8:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Angels +1.5
Away SP: 
Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.29)
Home SP: 
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.26)
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Royals +1.5
Away SP: 
Seth Lugo (xFIP 2.75)
Home SP: Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.99)
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Mariners Key Injuries:
Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Kyle Isbel
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
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