WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-02

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12/15 (80.0%)
12W - 3L
✓ WIN (0-2)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
@
2:20 PM ET
Cubs
Cubs
Lock Career: 63.3% (19-11) POTD
Cubs -1.5
Diamondbacks Cubs
Away SP: Ryne Nelson (xFIP 4.74)
Home SP: Shota Imanaga (xFIP 2.88)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: None
Cubs Key Injuries: Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Corbin Carroll
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Moisés Ballesteros
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 2:05 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-9)
Orioles
Orioles
@
1:35 PM ET
Yankees
Yankees
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Yankees moneyline
Orioles Yankees
Away SP: Kyle Bradish (xFIP 4.10)
Home SP: Ryan Weathers (xFIP 3.17)
Orioles Key Injuries: Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Yankees Key Injuries: Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Ben Rice
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS (11-4)
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
@
2:10 PM ET
Twins
Twins
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Twins +1.5
Blue Jays Twins
Away SP: Dylan Cease (xFIP 1.86)
Home SP: Connor Prielipp (xFIP 1.73)
Blue Jays Key Injuries: None
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Cody Laweryson
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Jesús Sánchez
Twins Dark Horse HR: Tristan Gray
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 1:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-1)
Brewers
Brewers
@
4:05 PM ET
Nationals
Nationals
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Brewers moneyline
Brewers Nationals
Away SP: Kyle Harrison (xFIP 3.13)
Home SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 4.12)
Brewers Key Injuries: Brandon Woodruff, Christian Yelich
Nationals Key Injuries: Clayton Beeter
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Jake Bauers
Nationals Dark Horse HR: CJ Abrams
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✓ WIN (14-6)
Guardians
Guardians
@
4:05 PM ET
Athletics
Athletics
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Guardians +1.5
Guardians Athletics
Away SP: Slade Cecconi (xFIP 5.05)
Home SP: Jacob Lopez (xFIP 6.01)
Guardians Key Injuries: Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Athletics Key Injuries: Max Muncy
Guardians Dark Horse HR: Daniel Schneemann
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Carlos Cortes
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS (7-17)
Reds
Reds
@
4:05 PM ET
Pirates
Pirates
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Reds +1.5
Reds Pirates
Away SP: Rhett Lowder (xFIP 2.96)
Home SP: Carmen Mlodzinski (xFIP 2.32)
Reds Key Injuries: None
Pirates Key Injuries: None
Reds Dark Horse HR: Nathaniel Lowe
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Brandon Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✓ WIN (6-3)
Astros
Astros
@
4:10 PM ET
Red Sox
Red Sox
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Astros +1.5
Astros Red Sox
Away SP: Spencer Arrighetti (xFIP 3.73)
Home SP: Connelly Early (xFIP 4.54)
Astros Key Injuries: Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Red Sox Key Injuries: Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Walker
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (0-4)
Phillies
Phillies
@
4:10 PM ET
Marlins
Marlins
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Marlins moneyline
Phillies Marlins
Away SP: Andrew Painter (xFIP 3.38)
Home SP: Max Meyer (xFIP 3.34)
Phillies Key Injuries: Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop
Marlins Key Injuries: Griffin Conine
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Otto Lopez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (1-5)
Giants
Giants
@
6:10 PM ET
Rays
Rays
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Rays +1.5
Giants Rays
Away SP: Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.80)
Home SP: Griffin Jax (xFIP 5.51)
Giants Key Injuries: Daniel Susac
Rays Key Injuries: None
Giants Dark Horse HR: Drew Gilbert
Rays Dark Horse HR: Jonathan Aranda
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 5:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-3)
Dodgers
Dodgers
@
7:15 PM ET
Cardinals
Cardinals
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Cardinals +1.5
Dodgers Cardinals
Away SP: Roki Sasaki (xFIP 5.81)
Home SP: Michael McGreevy (xFIP 4.03)
Dodgers Key Injuries: Mookie Betts
Cardinals Key Injuries: None
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Dalton Rushing
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-5)
Rangers
Rangers
@
7:15 PM ET
Tigers
Tigers
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Rangers +1.5
Rangers Tigers
Away SP: Kumar Rocker (xFIP 3.73)
Home SP: Keider Montero (xFIP 2.98)
Rangers Key Injuries: Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Tigers Key Injuries: Casey Mize, Connor Seabold
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Josh Jung
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Dillon Dingler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN (9-1)
Braves
Braves
@
8:10 PM ET
Rockies
Rockies
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Braves moneyline
Braves Rockies
Away SP: Chris Sale (xFIP 3.74)
Home SP: Brennan Bernardino (xFIP 2.38)
Braves Key Injuries: Dylan Dodd
Rockies Key Injuries: None
Braves Dark Horse HR: Michael Harris II
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Hunter Goodman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-0)
White Sox
White Sox
@
8:40 PM ET
Padres
Padres
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox Padres
Away SP: Sean Burke (xFIP 3.62)
Home SP: Michael King (xFIP 4.00)
White Sox Key Injuries: Everson Pereira
Padres Key Injuries: None
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Colson Montgomery
Padres Dark Horse HR: Luis Campusano
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-4)
Mets
Mets
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Angels
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Angels +1.5
Mets Angels
Away SP: Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.29)
Home SP: Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.26)
Mets Key Injuries: Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Angels Key Injuries: None
Mets Dark Horse HR: MJ Melendez
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-2)
Royals
Royals
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Mariners
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Royals +1.5
Royals Mariners
Away SP: Seth Lugo (xFIP 2.75)
Home SP: Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.99)
Royals Key Injuries: None
Mariners Key Injuries: Brendan Donovan, Will Wilson
Royals Dark Horse HR: Kyle Isbel
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
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