WP Auto Picks — 2026-05-01
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
POTD
Blue Jays moneyline
Away SP: Patrick Corbin (xFIP 4.10)
Home SP: Simeon Woods Richardson (xFIP 5.43)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
None
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Cody Laweryson
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Jesús Sánchez
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Tristan Gray
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Cubs moneyline
Away SP: Zac Gallen (xFIP 3.62)
Home SP: 
Colin Rea (xFIP 3.94)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
None
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Moisés Ballesteros
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 2:05 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rangers +1.5
Away SP: 
MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.74)
Home SP: Jack Flaherty (xFIP 5.75)
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Tigers Key Injuries:
Casey Mize, Connor Seabold
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Brewers moneyline
Away SP: 
Jacob Misiorowski (xFIP 3.21)
Home SP: 
Jake Irvin (xFIP 3.98)
Brewers Key Injuries:
Brandon Woodruff, Christian Yelich
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Jake Bauers
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:30 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Reds +1.5
Away SP: 
Brady Singer (xFIP 4.59)
Home SP: Mitch Keller (xFIP 3.14)
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Nathaniel Lowe
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:30 PM ET
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Yankees moneyline
Away SP: 
Cade Povich (xFIP 3.82)
Home SP: 
Will Warren (xFIP 2.82)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Dietrich Enns, Ryan Helsley, Dean Kremer
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:50 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Astros +1.5
Away SP: Mike Burrows (xFIP 4.40)
Home SP: 
Jake Bennett (xFIP 5.00)
Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Giants +1.5
Away SP: Robbie Ray (xFIP 4.00)
Home SP: 
Shane McClanahan (xFIP 3.26)
Giants Key Injuries:
Daniel Susac
Rays Key Injuries:
None
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Marlins +1.5
Away SP: 
Zack Wheeler (xFIP 2.57)
Home SP: 
Eury Pérez (xFIP 4.51)
Phillies Key Injuries:
Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop, J.T. Realmuto
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Otto Lopez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Dodgers moneyline
Away SP: Emmet Sheehan (xFIP 3.86)
Home SP: 
Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 5.33)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Mookie Betts
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
JJ Wetherholt
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 8:00 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Braves moneyline
Away SP: 
Grant Holmes (xFIP 4.62)
Home SP: Jose Quintana (xFIP 6.05)
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Rockies Key Injuries:
None
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Smith
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Mickey Moniak
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 10.5
Posted 8:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Angels +1.5
Away SP: 
Christian Scott (xFIP 15.17)
Home SP: 
Walbert Urena (xFIP 4.67)
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Athletics +1.5
Away SP: 
Joey Cantillo (xFIP 3.88)
Home SP: 
J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.58)
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Athletics Key Injuries:
Max Muncy
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Daniel Schneemann
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Carlos Cortes
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
Away SP: Noah Schultz (xFIP 3.43)
Home SP: Germán Márquez (xFIP 4.98)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Everson Pereira
Padres Key Injuries:
None
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Mariners moneyline
Away SP: Cole Ragans (xFIP 5.03)
Home SP: 
Bryan Woo (xFIP 3.78)
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Mariners Key Injuries:
Brendan Donovan
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Kyle Isbel
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Luke Raley
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 9:30 PM ET
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