WP Auto Picks — 2026-04-30

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1/9 (11.1%)
1W - 8L
✗ LOSS (3-10)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge; Underdog value play
Astros
Astros
@
12:35 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Orioles
Orioles
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199) POTD
Astros moneyline
Astros Orioles
Away SP: Peter Lambert (xFIP 1.90)
Home SP: Chris Bassitt (xFIP 6.10)
Astros Key Injuries: Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Orioles Key Injuries: Dietrich Enns, Dean Kremer
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Walker
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 12:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS (5-2)
Tigers
Tigers
@
12:15 PM ET
Braves
Braves
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Braves moneyline
Tigers Braves
Away SP: Framber Valdez (xFIP 3.84)
Home SP: Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.17)
Tigers Key Injuries: Casey Mize, Connor Seabold
Braves Key Injuries: Dylan Dodd
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Dillon Dingler
Braves Dark Horse HR: Dominic Smith
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 12:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (10-5)
Cardinals
Cardinals
@
12:35 PM ET
Pirates
Pirates
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Pirates moneyline
Cardinals Pirates
Away SP: Hunter Dobbins (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: Paul Skenes (xFIP 2.93)
Cardinals Key Injuries: None
Pirates Key Injuries: None
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: Nathan Church
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Brandon Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 12:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-10)
Astros
Astros
@
12:40 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Orioles
Orioles
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Astros moneyline
Astros Orioles
Away SP: Lance McCullers Jr. (xFIP 1.90)
Home SP: Brandon Young (xFIP 6.10)
Astros Key Injuries: Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Orioles Key Injuries: Dietrich Enns, Dean Kremer
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Walker
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 12:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS (4-6)
Rockies
Rockies
@
12:40 PM ET
Reds
Reds
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Rockies +1.5
Rockies Reds
Away SP: Michael Lorenzen (xFIP 4.40)
Home SP: Andrew Abbott (xFIP 4.81)
Rockies Key Injuries: None
Reds Key Injuries: None
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Mickey Moniak
Reds Dark Horse HR: Sal Stewart
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 12:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (5-4)
Nationals
Nationals
@
1:10 PM ET
Mets
Mets
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Mets moneyline
Nationals Mets
Away SP: Miles Mikolas (xFIP 5.62)
Home SP: Freddy Peralta (xFIP 3.85)
Nationals Key Injuries: Clayton Beeter
Mets Key Injuries: Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Nationals Dark Horse HR: Joey Wiemer
Mets Dark Horse HR: Juan Soto
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 12:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-13)
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
@
1:40 PM ET
Brewers
Brewers
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Diamondbacks Brewers
Away SP: Michael Soroka (xFIP 2.74)
Home SP: Brandon Woodruff (xFIP 3.91)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: Gabriel Moreno
Brewers Key Injuries: Christian Yelich
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Corbin Carroll
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Jake Bauers
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-6)
Royals
Royals
@
3:05 PM ET
Athletics
Athletics
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Royals +1.5
Royals Athletics
Away SP: Noah Cameron (xFIP 4.35)
Home SP: Jeffrey Springs (xFIP 4.05)
Royals Key Injuries: None
Athletics Key Injuries: Max Muncy
Royals Dark Horse HR: Kyle Isbel
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Carlos Cortes
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 2:50 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-3)
Giants
Giants
@
5:35 PM ET
Phillies
Phillies
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Giants +1.5
Giants Phillies
Away SP: Adrian Houser (xFIP 3.49)
Home SP: Tim Mayza (xFIP 2.62)
Giants Key Injuries: Daniel Susac
Phillies Key Injuries: Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop, J.T. Realmuto
Giants Dark Horse HR: Drew Gilbert
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 5:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-7)
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
@
7:40 PM ET
Twins
Twins
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Blue Jays moneyline
Blue Jays Twins
Away SP: Kevin Gausman (xFIP 2.63)
Home SP: Bailey Ober (xFIP 3.92)
Blue Jays Key Injuries: None
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Cody Laweryson
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Jesús Sánchez
Twins Dark Horse HR: Tristan Gray
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
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