WP Auto Picks — 2026-04-28

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6/15 (40.0%)
6W - 9L
✓ WIN (3-2)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Yankees
Yankees
@
8:05 PM ET
Rangers
Rangers
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199) POTD
Yankees moneyline
Yankees Rangers
Away SP: Cam Schlittler (xFIP 1.57)
Home SP: Jacob deGrom (xFIP 2.95)
Yankees Key Injuries: Angel Chivilli, Giancarlo Stanton
Rangers Key Injuries: Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Ben Rice
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Josh Jung
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 7:50 PM ET
✓ WIN (1-0)
Rays
Rays
@
6:10 PM ET
Guardians
Guardians
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Rays moneyline
Rays Guardians
Away SP: Nick Martinez (xFIP 3.94)
Home SP: Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.30)
Rays Key Injuries: None
Guardians Key Injuries: Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Rays Dark Horse HR: Jonathan Aranda
Guardians Dark Horse HR: Daniel Schneemann
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 5:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-5)
Astros
Astros
@
6:35 PM ET
Orioles
Orioles
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Astros +1.5
Astros Orioles
Away SP: Kai-Wei Teng (xFIP 4.17)
Home SP: Shane Baz (xFIP 3.73)
Astros Key Injuries: Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Orioles Key Injuries: Dietrich Enns, Dean Kremer
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Walker
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:20 PM ET
✗ LOSS (11-7)
Cardinals
Cardinals
@
6:40 PM ET
Pirates
Pirates
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Pirates moneyline
Cardinals Pirates
Away SP: Kyle Leahy (xFIP 5.31)
Home SP: Braxton Ashcraft (xFIP 2.46)
Cardinals Key Injuries: None
Pirates Key Injuries: None
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: Nathan Church
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Brandon Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (0-7)
Giants
Giants
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Phillies
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Giants +1.5
Giants Phillies
Away SP: Tyler Mahle (xFIP 4.94)
Home SP: Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 3.28)
Giants Key Injuries: Daniel Susac
Phillies Key Injuries: Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop, J.T. Realmuto
Giants Dark Horse HR: Drew Gilbert
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-7)
Rockies
Rockies
@
6:40 PM ET
Reds
Reds
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Rockies +1.5
Rockies Reds
Away SP: Kyle Freeland (xFIP 3.87)
Home SP: Chase Burns (xFIP 3.83)
Rockies Key Injuries: None
Reds Key Injuries: None
Rockies Dark Horse HR: Hunter Goodman
Reds Dark Horse HR: Nathaniel Lowe
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (0-3)
Red Sox
Red Sox
@
7:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Red Sox moneyline
Red Sox Blue Jays
Away SP: Payton Tolle (xFIP 1.77)
Home SP: Trey Yesavage (xFIP 5.00)
Red Sox Key Injuries: Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Blue Jays Key Injuries: George Springer
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Wilyer Abreu
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Jesús Sánchez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (0-8)
Nationals
Nationals
@
7:10 PM ET
Mets
Mets
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Mets moneyline
Nationals Mets
Away SP: Zack Littell (xFIP 6.28)
Home SP: Clay Holmes (xFIP 4.30)
Nationals Key Injuries: Clayton Beeter
Mets Key Injuries: Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Nationals Dark Horse HR: Joey Wiemer
Mets Dark Horse HR: MJ Melendez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-5)
Tigers
Tigers
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Braves
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Tigers +1.5
Tigers Braves
Away SP: Casey Mize (xFIP 3.00)
Home SP: Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.54)
Tigers Key Injuries: Connor Seabold
Braves Key Injuries: Dylan Dodd
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Dillon Dingler
Braves Dark Horse HR: Michael Harris II
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-5)
Angels
Angels
@
7:40 PM ET
White Sox
White Sox
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
White Sox +1.5
Angels White Sox
Away SP: José Soriano (xFIP 2.27)
Home SP: Davis Martin (xFIP 3.11)
Angels Key Injuries: None
White Sox Key Injuries: None
Angels Dark Horse HR: Jorge Soler
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Colson Montgomery
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-13)
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
@
7:40 PM ET
Brewers
Brewers
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Brewers moneyline
Diamondbacks Brewers
Away SP: Merrill Kelly (xFIP 6.89)
Home SP: Chad Patrick (xFIP 4.39)
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: Gabriel Moreno
Brewers Key Injuries: Christian Yelich
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Corbin Carroll
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Jake Bauers
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (7-1)
Mariners
Mariners
@
7:40 PM ET
Twins
Twins
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Twins +1.5
Mariners Twins
Away SP: Logan Gilbert (xFIP 3.05)
Home SP: Joe Ryan (xFIP 3.26)
Mariners Key Injuries: Brendan Donovan
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Garrett Acton, Cody Laweryson
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Luke Raley
Twins Dark Horse HR: Tristan Gray
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (8-3)
Cubs
Cubs
@
9:40 PM ET
Padres
Padres
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Padres +1.5
Cubs Padres
Away SP: Edward Cabrera (xFIP 3.68)
Home SP: Walker Buehler (xFIP 3.32)
Cubs Key Injuries: Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Padres Key Injuries: None
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Moisés Ballesteros
Padres Dark Horse HR: Luis Campusano
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN (4-1)
Royals
Royals
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Athletics
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Royals +1.5
Royals Athletics
Away SP: Kris Bubic (xFIP 3.87)
Home SP: Aaron Civale (xFIP 3.95)
Royals Key Injuries: None
Athletics Key Injuries: Max Muncy
Royals Dark Horse HR: Kyle Isbel
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Carlos Cortes
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-1)
Marlins
Marlins
@
10:10 PM ET
Dodgers
Dodgers
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Dodgers moneyline
Marlins Dodgers
Away SP: Janson Junk (xFIP 3.76)
Home SP: Shohei Ohtani (xFIP 1.96)
Marlins Key Injuries: Griffin Conine
Dodgers Key Injuries: Mookie Betts
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Otto Lopez
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Dalton Rushing
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 9:55 PM ET
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