WP Auto Picks — 2026-04-26
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Strong Favourite badge
Lock
Career: 62.2%
(23-14)
POTD
Braves -1.5
Away SP: 
Aaron Nola (xFIP 3.79)
Home SP: 
Chris Sale (xFIP 4.00)
Phillies Key Injuries:
Jonathan Bowlan, Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop, J.T. Realmuto
Braves Key Injuries:
Dylan Dodd
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Michael Harris II
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:20 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Red Sox +1.5
Away SP: Connelly Early (xFIP 4.21)
Home SP: 
Kyle Bradish (xFIP 3.53)
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Orioles Key Injuries:
Dietrich Enns, Dean Kremer
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 1:20 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Guardians +1.5
Away SP: Slade Cecconi (xFIP 5.35)
Home SP: Patrick Corbin (xFIP 4.35)
Guardians Key Injuries:
Shawn Armstrong, Gabriel Arias
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
George Springer
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Angel Martínez
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Andrés Giménez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
@
1:40 PM ET
DH Game 1 of 2
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Mets moneyline
Away SP: Jose Quintana (xFIP 6.77)
Home SP: 
Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.41)
Rockies Key Injuries:
Kyle Freeland
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Tigers +1.5
Away SP: 
Keider Montero (xFIP 1.94)
Home SP: 
Rhett Lowder (xFIP 3.31)
Tigers Key Injuries:
Connor Seabold
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Dillon Dingler
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Elly De La Cruz
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 1:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Twins +1.5
Away SP: Simeon Woods Richardson (xFIP 5.26)
Home SP: Griffin Jax (xFIP 6.01)
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Cody Laweryson
Rays Key Injuries:
None
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Tristan Gray
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonathan Aranda
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
@
1:45 PM ET
DH Game 2 of 2
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Mets moneyline
Away SP: TBD (not yet announced)
Home SP: 
Kodai Senga (xFIP 2.41)
Rockies Key Injuries:
Kyle Freeland
Mets Key Injuries:
Francisco Lindor, Jared Young
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Mets Dark Horse HR:
MJ Melendez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 1:25 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Nationals +1.5
Away SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 4.42)
Home SP: 
Bryan Hudson (xFIP 2.91)
Nationals Key Injuries:
Clayton Beeter
White Sox Key Injuries:
None
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
Joey Wiemer
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Colson Montgomery
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 1:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Pirates +1.5
Away SP: 
Carmen Mlodzinski (xFIP 2.40)
Home SP: 
Kyle Harrison (xFIP 4.29)
Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Key Injuries:
Christian Yelich
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Brandon Lowe
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Jake Bauers
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 1:55 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Yankees moneyline
Away SP: 
Luis Gil (xFIP 6.27)
Home SP: Spencer Arrighetti (xFIP 3.81)
Yankees Key Injuries:
Angel Chivilli
Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Aaron Judge
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 1:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Cardinals +1.5
Away SP: Emerson Hancock (xFIP 3.55)
Home SP: 
Michael McGreevy (xFIP 4.27)
Mariners Key Injuries:
Brendan Donovan
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Canzone
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Nathan Church
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 2:00 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Athletics +1.5
Away SP: 
J.T. Ginn (xFIP 4.58)
Home SP: 
Kumar Rocker (xFIP 3.90)
Athletics Key Injuries:
None
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Carlos Cortes
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Josh Jung
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 2:20 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Marlins +1.5
Away SP: Max Meyer (xFIP 3.53)
Home SP: 
Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.45)
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Giants Key Injuries:
Daniel Susac
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Connor Norby
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Padres moneyline
Away SP: 
Michael King (xFIP 3.71)
Home SP: Ryne Nelson (xFIP 4.46)
Padres Key Injuries:
None
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Gabriel Moreno
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Luis Campusano
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 15.0
Posted 3:50 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Angels +1.5
Away SP: 
Reid Detmers (xFIP 3.07)
Home SP: 
Seth Lugo (xFIP 2.34)
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Jorge Soler
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Kyle Isbel
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Cubs +1.5
Away SP: 
Shota Imanaga (xFIP 2.93)
Home SP: Justin Wrobleski (xFIP 3.04)
Cubs Key Injuries:
Riley Martin, Caleb Thielbar
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Mookie Betts
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Moisés Ballesteros
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
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