WP Auto Picks — 2026-04-25

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5/14 (35.7%)
5W - 9L
✗ LOSS (8-5)
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WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Phillies
Phillies
@
7:15 PM ET
Braves
Braves
Lock Career: 63.3% (19-11) POTD
Braves -1.5
Phillies Braves
Away SP: Zack Wheeler (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: Bryce Elder (xFIP 3.20)
Phillies Key Injuries: Jonathan Bowlan, Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop, J.T. Realmuto
Braves Key Injuries: Dylan Dodd
Phillies Dark Horse HR: Bryce Harper
Braves Dark Horse HR: Michael Harris II
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (17-1)
Red Sox
Red Sox
@
12:05 PM ET
Orioles
Orioles
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Orioles moneyline
Red Sox Orioles
Away SP: Garrett Crochet (xFIP 4.30)
Home SP: Trevor Rogers (xFIP 3.73)
Red Sox Key Injuries: Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Orioles Key Injuries: Dietrich Enns, Dean Kremer
Red Sox Dark Horse HR: Willson Contreras
Orioles Dark Horse HR: Adley Rutschman
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.0
Posted 12:00 PM ET
✓ WIN (11-9)
Mariners
Mariners
@
2:15 PM ET
Cardinals
Cardinals
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
Mariners moneyline
Mariners Cardinals
Away SP: Bryan Woo (xFIP 2.29)
Home SP: Matthew Liberatore (xFIP 4.97)
Mariners Key Injuries: Brendan Donovan
Cardinals Key Injuries: None
Mariners Dark Horse HR: Dominic Canzone
Cardinals Dark Horse HR: Ramón Urías
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 2:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS (3-5)
Guardians
Guardians
@
3:07 PM ET
Blue Jays
Blue Jays
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Guardians +1.5
Guardians Blue Jays
Away SP: Joey Cantillo (xFIP 3.83)
Home SP: Kevin Gausman (xFIP 2.25)
Guardians Key Injuries: Gabriel Arias
Blue Jays Key Injuries: George Springer
Guardians Dark Horse HR: Angel Martínez
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR: Jesús Sánchez
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.0
Posted 2:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (2-6)
Marlins
Marlins
@
4:05 PM ET
Giants
Giants
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Marlins +1.5
Marlins Giants
Away SP: Eury Pérez (xFIP 4.40)
Home SP: Robbie Ray (xFIP 3.97)
Marlins Key Injuries: Griffin Conine
Giants Key Injuries: Daniel Susac
Marlins Dark Horse HR: Connor Norby
Giants Dark Horse HR: Casey Schmitt
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 3:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS (6-3)
Nationals
Nationals
@
4:10 PM ET
White Sox
White Sox
Confident Career: 54.4% (237-199)
White Sox moneyline
Nationals White Sox
Away SP: Jake Irvin (xFIP 4.60)
Home SP: Noah Schultz (xFIP 4.03)
Nationals Key Injuries: None
White Sox Key Injuries: None
Nationals Dark Horse HR: Joey Wiemer
White Sox Dark Horse HR: Colson Montgomery
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-6)
Twins
Twins
@
4:10 PM ET
Rays
Rays
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Twins +1.5
Twins Rays
Away SP: Bailey Ober (xFIP 3.48)
Home SP: Shane McClanahan (xFIP 3.73)
Twins Key Injuries: Mick Abel, Cody Laweryson
Rays Key Injuries: None
Twins Dark Horse HR: Royce Lewis
Rays Dark Horse HR: Jonathan Aranda
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 3:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (6-4)
Padres
Padres
@
6:05 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Diamondbacks +1.5
Padres Diamondbacks
Away SP: Germán Márquez (xFIP 4.88)
Home SP: Zac Gallen (xFIP 3.91)
Padres Key Injuries: None
Diamondbacks Key Injuries: Gabriel Moreno
Padres Dark Horse HR: Luis Campusano
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR: Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 16.0
Posted 5:50 PM ET
✓ WIN (3-4)
Athletics
Athletics
@
7:05 PM ET
Rangers
Rangers
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Athletics +1.5
Athletics Rangers
Away SP: Jeffrey Springs (xFIP 3.84)
Home SP: MacKenzie Gore (xFIP 3.89)
Athletics Key Injuries: None
Rangers Key Injuries: Carter Baumler, Robert Garcia
Athletics Dark Horse HR: Carlos Cortes
Rangers Dark Horse HR: Josh Jung
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✗ LOSS (1-12)
Angels
Angels
@
7:10 PM ET
Royals
Royals
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Angels moneyline
Angels Royals
Away SP: Walbert Urena (xFIP 2.52)
Home SP: Cole Ragans (xFIP 6.10)
Angels Key Injuries: None
Royals Key Injuries: None
Angels Dark Horse HR: Oswald Peraza
Royals Dark Horse HR: Kyle Isbel
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (6-3)
Pirates
Pirates
@
7:10 PM ET
Brewers
Brewers
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Pirates +1.5
Pirates Brewers
Away SP: Mitch Keller (xFIP 3.34)
Home SP: Jacob Misiorowski (xFIP 3.38)
Pirates Key Injuries: None
Brewers Key Injuries: Christian Yelich
Pirates Dark Horse HR: Brandon Lowe
Brewers Dark Horse HR: Jake Bauers
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✓ WIN (8-3)
Yankees
Yankees
@
7:10 PM ET
Astros
Astros
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Yankees moneyline
Yankees Astros
Away SP: Ryan Weathers (xFIP 3.09)
Home SP: Mike Burrows (xFIP 4.31)
Yankees Key Injuries: Angel Chivilli
Astros Key Injuries: Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Yankees Dark Horse HR: Aaron Judge
Astros Dark Horse HR: Christian Vázquez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS (4-12)
Cubs
Cubs
@
7:15 PM ET
Dodgers
Dodgers
Strong Career: 66.7% (96-48)
Cubs moneyline
Cubs Dodgers
Away SP: Colin Rea (xFIP 3.34)
Home SP: Roki Sasaki (xFIP 5.57)
Cubs Key Injuries: Caleb Thielbar
Dodgers Key Injuries: Mookie Betts
Cubs Dark Horse HR: Moisés Ballesteros
Dodgers Dark Horse HR: Dalton Rushing
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✓ WIN (2-9)
Tigers
Tigers
@
7:15 PM ET
Reds
Reds
Slight Lean Career: 60.1% (373-248)
Reds +1.5
Tigers Reds
Away SP: Jack Flaherty (xFIP 4.63)
Home SP: Brady Singer (xFIP 4.49)
Tigers Key Injuries: None
Reds Key Injuries: None
Tigers Dark Horse HR: Dillon Dingler
Reds Dark Horse HR: Elly De La Cruz
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
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