WP Auto Picks — 2026-04-21
3/14 (21.4%)
3W - 11L
✓ WIN
(5-8)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Astros
@
6:10 PM ET
Guardians
Strong
Career: 66.7%
(96-48)
POTD
Guardians moneyline
Astros
Guardians
Away SP: Ryan Weiss (xFIP 5.14)
Home SP: Parker Messick (xFIP 2.55)
Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Guardians Key Injuries:
Gabriel Arias
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Vázquez
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
Chase DeLauter
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 5:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(12-4)
Brewers
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Tigers moneyline
Brewers
Tigers
Away SP: Kyle Harrison (xFIP 3.94)
Home SP: Keider Montero (xFIP 1.70)
Brewers Key Injuries:
Christian Yelich
Tigers Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Brice Turang
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-3)
Cardinals
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Marlins moneyline
Cardinals
Marlins
Away SP: Dustin May (xFIP 3.89)
Home SP: Chris Paddack (xFIP 4.24)
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Ramón Urías
Marlins Dark Horse HR:
Otto Lopez
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(12-6)
Reds
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Rays moneyline
Reds
Rays
Away SP: Chase Burns (xFIP 3.99)
Home SP: Steven Matz (xFIP 3.40)
Reds Key Injuries:
None
Rays Key Injuries:
None
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Elly De La Cruz
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonny DeLuca
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-11)
Braves
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Braves moneyline
Braves
Nationals
Away SP: Reynaldo López (xFIP 4.28)
Home SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 4.13)
Braves Key Injuries:
None
Nationals Key Injuries:
None
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Smith
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-0)
Yankees
@
6:45 PM ET
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Red Sox moneyline
Yankees
Red Sox
Away SP: Luis Gil (xFIP 6.99)
Home SP: Connelly Early (xFIP 3.63)
Yankees Key Injuries:
None
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-3)
Twins
@
7:10 PM ET
Mets
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Mets moneyline
Twins
Mets
Away SP: Simeon Woods Richardson (xFIP 5.04)
Home SP: Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.49)
Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Cody Laweryson
Mets Key Injuries:
Juan Soto, Jared Young
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Tristan Gray
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Mark Vientos
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-6)
Orioles
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Orioles moneyline
Orioles
Royals
Away SP: Shane Baz (xFIP 3.99)
Home SP: Kris Bubic (xFIP 3.35)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Dietrich Enns, Tyler ONeill
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Jeremiah Jackson
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Kyle Isbel
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-7)
Phillies
@
7:40 PM ET
Cubs
Strong
Career: 66.7%
(96-48)
Cubs moneyline
Phillies
Cubs
Away SP: Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.75)
Home SP: Shota Imanaga (xFIP 2.22)
Phillies Key Injuries:
Jonathan Bowlan, Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop
Cubs Key Injuries:
None
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Moisés Ballesteros
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-5)
Pirates
@
8:05 PM ET
Rangers
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Pirates moneyline
Pirates
Rangers
Away SP: Carmen Mlodzinski (xFIP 2.53)
Home SP: Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.49)
Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Jake Burger
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 7:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-0)
Padres
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Padres moneyline
Padres
Rockies
Away SP: Randy Vásquez (xFIP 2.71)
Home SP: Jimmy Herget (xFIP 2.53)
Padres Key Injuries:
None
Rockies Key Injuries:
Kyle Freeland
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Gavin Sheets
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 11.0
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-2)
Blue Jays
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
Angels moneyline
Blue Jays
Angels
Away SP: Patrick Corbin (xFIP 4.55)
Home SP: Jack Kochanowicz (xFIP 4.11)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
George Springer
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Andrés Giménez
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Oswald Peraza
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-2)
Athletics
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Mariners moneyline
Athletics
Mariners
Away SP: Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.96)
Home SP: Luis Castillo (xFIP 3.33)
Athletics Key Injuries:
None
Mariners Key Injuries:
Brendan Donovan
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Carlos Cortes
Mariners Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Canzone
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
White Sox
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(373-248)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Diamondbacks
Away SP: Sean Burke (xFIP 3.81)
Home SP: Merrill Kelly (xFIP 6.18)
White Sox Key Injuries:
None
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Gabriel Moreno
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Everson Pereira
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-3)
Dodgers
@
9:45 PM ET
Giants
Confident
Career: 54.4%
(237-199)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Giants
Away SP: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.48)
Home SP: Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.24)
Dodgers Key Injuries:
Mookie Betts
Giants Key Injuries:
Daniel Susac
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 9:30 PM ET