WP Auto Picks — 2026-04-21
3/14 (21.4%)
3W - 11L
✓ WIN
(5-8)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Astros
@
6:10 PM ET
Guardians
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
POTD
Guardians moneyline
Astros
Guardians
Away SP: Ryan Weiss (xFIP 5.14)
Home SP: 
Parker Messick (xFIP 2.55)
Parker Messick (xFIP 2.55)Astros Key Injuries:
Hunter Brown, Joey Loperfido, Jake Meyers, Taylor Trammell
Guardians Key Injuries:
Gabriel Arias
Astros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Vázquez
Christian VázquezGuardians Dark Horse HR:
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauterOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 5:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(12-4)
Brewers
@
6:40 PM ET
Tigers
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Tigers moneyline
Brewers
Tigers
Away SP: 
Kyle Harrison (xFIP 3.94)
Kyle Harrison (xFIP 3.94)Home SP: 
Keider Montero (xFIP 1.70)
Keider Montero (xFIP 1.70)Brewers Key Injuries:
Christian Yelich
Tigers Key Injuries:
None
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Brice Turang
Brice TurangTigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Over/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-3)
Cardinals
@
6:40 PM ET
Marlins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Marlins moneyline
Cardinals
Marlins
Away SP: Dustin May (xFIP 3.89)
Home SP: Chris Paddack (xFIP 4.24)
Cardinals Key Injuries:
None
Marlins Key Injuries:
Griffin Conine
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Ramón Urías
Ramón UríasMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Otto Lopez
Otto LopezOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(12-6)
Reds
@
6:40 PM ET
Rays
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rays moneyline
Reds
Rays
Away SP: 
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.99)
Chase Burns (xFIP 3.99)Home SP: 
Steven Matz (xFIP 3.40)
Steven Matz (xFIP 3.40)Reds Key Injuries:
None
Rays Key Injuries:
None
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzRays Dark Horse HR:
Jonny DeLuca
Jonny DeLucaOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-11)
Braves
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Braves moneyline
Braves
Nationals
Away SP: Reynaldo López (xFIP 4.28)
Home SP: Foster Griffin (xFIP 4.13)
Braves Key Injuries:
None
Nationals Key Injuries:
None
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Smith
Dominic SmithNationals Dark Horse HR:
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-0)
Yankees
@
6:45 PM ET
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Red Sox moneyline
Yankees
Red Sox
Away SP: 
Luis Gil (xFIP 6.99)
Luis Gil (xFIP 6.99)Home SP: Connelly Early (xFIP 3.63)
Yankees Key Injuries:
None
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Sonny Gray, Tyler Uberstine
Yankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceRed Sox Dark Horse HR:
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer AbreuOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-3)
Twins
@
7:10 PM ET
Mets
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Mets moneyline
Twins
Mets
Away SP: Simeon Woods Richardson (xFIP 5.04)
Home SP: 
Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.49)
Nolan McLean (xFIP 2.49)Twins Key Injuries:
Mick Abel, Cody Laweryson
Mets Key Injuries:
Juan Soto, Jared Young
Twins Dark Horse HR:
Tristan Gray
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Mark Vientos
Mark VientosOver/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-6)
Orioles
@
7:40 PM ET
Royals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Orioles moneyline
Orioles
Royals
Away SP: 
Shane Baz (xFIP 3.99)
Shane Baz (xFIP 3.99)Home SP: Kris Bubic (xFIP 3.35)
Orioles Key Injuries:
Dietrich Enns, Tyler ONeill
Royals Key Injuries:
None
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Jeremiah Jackson
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Kyle Isbel
Kyle IsbelOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-7)
Phillies
@
7:40 PM ET
Cubs
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Cubs moneyline
Phillies
Cubs
Away SP: 
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.75)
Jesús Luzardo (xFIP 2.75)Home SP: 
Shota Imanaga (xFIP 2.22)
Shota Imanaga (xFIP 2.22)Phillies Key Injuries:
Jonathan Bowlan, Jhoan Duran, Zach Pop
Cubs Key Injuries:
None
Phillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperCubs Dark Horse HR:
Moisés Ballesteros
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-5)
Pirates
@
8:05 PM ET
Rangers
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Pirates moneyline
Pirates
Rangers
Away SP: 
Carmen Mlodzinski (xFIP 2.53)
Carmen Mlodzinski (xFIP 2.53)Home SP: 
Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.49)
Kumar Rocker (xFIP 4.49)Pirates Key Injuries:
None
Rangers Key Injuries:
Carter Baumler
Pirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Oneil CruzRangers Dark Horse HR:
Jake Burger
Jake BurgerOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 7:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(1-0)
Padres
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Padres moneyline
Padres
Rockies
Away SP: 
Randy Vásquez (xFIP 2.71)
Randy Vásquez (xFIP 2.71)Home SP: 
Jimmy Herget (xFIP 2.53)
Jimmy Herget (xFIP 2.53)Padres Key Injuries:
None
Rockies Key Injuries:
Kyle Freeland
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Gavin Sheets
Rockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanOver/Under (Game Total): Under 11.0
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(4-2)
Blue Jays
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Angels moneyline
Blue Jays
Angels
Away SP: Patrick Corbin (xFIP 4.55)
Home SP: Jack Kochanowicz (xFIP 4.11)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
George Springer
Angels Key Injuries:
None
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Andrés Giménez
Andrés GiménezAngels Dark Horse HR:
Oswald Peraza
Oswald PerazaOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(5-2)
Athletics
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Mariners moneyline
Athletics
Mariners
Away SP: 
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.96)
Jacob Lopez (xFIP 5.96)Home SP: Luis Castillo (xFIP 3.33)
Athletics Key Injuries:
None
Mariners Key Injuries:
Brendan Donovan
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Carlos Cortes
Carlos CortesMariners Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Canzone
Dominic CanzoneOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
White Sox
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
White Sox +1.5
White Sox
Diamondbacks
Away SP: 
Sean Burke (xFIP 3.81)
Sean Burke (xFIP 3.81)Home SP: 
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 6.18)
Merrill Kelly (xFIP 6.18)White Sox Key Injuries:
None
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Gabriel Moreno
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Everson Pereira
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Corbin Carroll
Corbin CarrollOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-3)
Dodgers
@
9:45 PM ET
Giants
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Giants
Away SP: 
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.48)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (xFIP 3.48)Home SP: 
Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.24)
Landen Roupp (xFIP 2.24)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Mookie Betts
Giants Key Injuries:
Daniel Susac
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Dalton Rushing
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Drew Gilbert
Drew GilbertOver/Under (Game Total): Under 7.5
Posted 9:30 PM ET