WP Auto Picks — 2026-04-17
7/15 (46.7%)
7W - 8L
✓ WIN
(9-0)
🏆
WP'S PICK OF THE DAY
Strong model edge; Model sees more value than market; Significant pitching advantage; Strong Favourite badge
Braves
@
6:40 PM ET
Phillies
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
POTD
Braves moneyline
Braves
Phillies
Away SP: 
Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.08)
Martín Pérez (xFIP 4.08)Home SP: Taijuan Walker (xFIP 5.35)
Braves Key Injuries:
Blake Burkhalter, Carter Holton, Luke Sinnard, Spencer Strider, Connor Thomas, +4 more
Phillies Key Injuries:
Andrew Bechtold, Jonathan Bowlan, Max Lazar, Christian McGowan, Michael Mercado, +6 more
Braves Dark Horse HR:
Dominic Smith
Dominic SmithPhillies Dark Horse HR:
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.5
Posted 6:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(4-12)
Mets
@
2:20 PM ET
Cubs
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Cubs moneyline
Mets
Cubs
Away SP: 
Kodai Senga (xFIP 3.58)
Kodai Senga (xFIP 3.58)Home SP: Edward Cabrera (xFIP 3.23)
Mets Key Injuries:
Justin Armbruester, Joey Gerber, R.J. Gordon, Nate Lavender, Jose Marte, +12 more
Cubs Key Injuries:
Matthew Boyd, Jeff Brigham, Hunter Harvey, Porter Hodge, Cade Horton, +7 more
Mets Dark Horse HR:
Tyrone Taylor
Cubs Dark Horse HR:
Dansby Swanson
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 10.0
Posted 2:05 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(6-4)
Orioles
@
6:10 PM ET
Guardians
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Guardians moneyline
Orioles
Guardians
Away SP: 
Chris Bassitt (xFIP 6.17)
Chris Bassitt (xFIP 6.17)Home SP: 
Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.25)
Tanner Bibee (xFIP 4.25)Orioles Key Injuries:
Keegan Akin, Braxton Bragg, Hans Crouse, Dietrich Enns, Keagan Gillies, +12 more
Guardians Key Injuries:
Emmanuel Clase, Yorman Gomez, Carlos Hernandez, Luis L. Ortiz, Austin Peterson, +5 more
Orioles Dark Horse HR:
Jeremiah Jackson
Guardians Dark Horse HR:
José Ramírez
José RamírezOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 5:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(10-5)
Giants
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Nationals +1.5
Giants
Nationals
Away SP: 
Logan Webb (xFIP 3.21)
Logan Webb (xFIP 3.21)Home SP: Zack Littell (xFIP 5.57)
Giants Key Injuries:
Jose Butto, Sam Hentges, Joel Peguero, Josuar Gonzalez, Jancel Villarroel, +3 more
Nationals Key Injuries:
Cole Henry, Tyler Stuart
Giants Dark Horse HR:
Casey Schmitt
Nationals Dark Horse HR:
James Wood
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(1-5)
Rays
@
6:45 PM ET
Pirates
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Rays moneyline
Rays
Pirates
Away SP: 
Nick Martinez (xFIP 4.41)
Nick Martinez (xFIP 4.41)Home SP: 
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 5.37)
Bubba Chandler (xFIP 5.37)Rays Key Injuries:
Joe Boyle, Garrett Cleavinger, Michael Grove, Ty Johnson, John Rooney, +8 more
Pirates Key Injuries:
Mike Clevinger, Alessandro Ercolani, Anthony Solometo, Jesus Travieso, Jack Brannigan, +4 more
Rays Dark Horse HR:
Jonny DeLuca
Jonny DeLucaPirates Dark Horse HR:
Oneil Cruz
Oneil CruzOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 6:30 PM ET
✓ WIN
(2-4)
Royals
@
7:05 PM ET
Yankees
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Yankees moneyline
Royals
Yankees
Away SP: 
Michael Wacha (xFIP 3.03)
Michael Wacha (xFIP 3.03)Home SP: 
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 0.54)
Cam Schlittler (xFIP 0.54)Royals Key Injuries:
Ryan Bergert, Carlos Estevez, Bailey Falter, Stephen Kolek, Ben Kudrna, +4 more
Yankees Key Injuries:
Gerrit Cole, Bryce Cunningham, Luis Garcia, Chase Hampton, Mac Heuer, +5 more
Royals Dark Horse HR:
Kyle Isbel
Kyle IsbelYankees Dark Horse HR:
Ben Rice
Ben RiceOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.0
Posted 6:50 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-5)
Brewers
@
7:10 PM ET
Marlins
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Brewers moneyline
Brewers
Marlins
Away SP: Coleman Crow (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: 
Janson Junk (xFIP 3.95)
Janson Junk (xFIP 3.95)Brewers Key Injuries:
J.B. Bukauskas, Frank Cairone, Sean Episcope, Gerson Garabito, Josh Knoth, +9 more
Marlins Key Injuries:
Noble Meyer, Jesus Tinoco, Aiva Arquette, Maximo Acosta, Cam Cannarella, +6 more
Brewers Dark Horse HR:
Gary Sánchez
Gary SánchezMarlins Dark Horse HR:
Connor Norby
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 6:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(0-1)
Tigers
@
7:15 PM ET
Red Sox
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Tigers moneyline
Tigers
Red Sox
Away SP: Casey Mize (xFIP 3.57)
Home SP: 
Ranger Suarez (xFIP 4.29)
Ranger Suarez (xFIP 4.29)Tigers Key Injuries:
Dugan Darnell, Scott Effross, Jaden Hamm, Bailey Horn, Jake Miller, +10 more
Red Sox Key Injuries:
Conrad Cason, Kutter Crawford, Patrick Sandoval, Justin Slaten, Tyler Uberstine, +2 more
Tigers Dark Horse HR:
Kerry Carpenter
Red Sox Dark Horse HR:
Willson Contreras
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 7.5
Posted 7:00 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(9-4)
Cardinals
@
8:10 PM ET
Astros
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Astros moneyline
Cardinals
Astros
Away SP: 
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 5.03)
Kyle Leahy (xFIP 5.03)Home SP: 
Peter Lambert (xFIP 5.00)
Peter Lambert (xFIP 5.00)Cardinals Key Injuries:
Jose Davila, Hunter Dobbins, Richard Fitts, Brian Holiday, Packy Naughton, +2 more
Astros Key Injuries:
Cody Bolton, Hunter Brown, Tatsuya Imai, Cristian Javier, Nate Pearson, +7 more
Cardinals Dark Horse HR:
Ramón Urías
Ramón UríasAstros Dark Horse HR:
Christian Walker
Christian WalkerOver/Under (Game Total): Over 9.0
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(2-1)
Reds
@
8:10 PM ET
Twins
Strong
Career: 65.5%
(131-69)
Twins moneyline
Reds
Twins
Away SP: Brandon Williamson (xFIP 5.76)
Home SP: Joe Ryan (xFIP 2.84)
Reds Key Injuries:
Julian Aguiar, Caleb Ferguson, Ty Floyd, Nick Lodolo, Carson Spiers, +2 more
Twins Key Injuries:
Travis Adams, Matt Barr, Matt Canterino, Jace Kaminska, Cody Laweryson, +6 more
Reds Dark Horse HR:
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzTwins Dark Horse HR:
Tristan Gray
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 8.5
Posted 7:55 PM ET
✓ WIN
(7-1)
Dodgers
@
8:40 PM ET
Rockies
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Dodgers moneyline
Dodgers
Rockies
Away SP: 
Tyler Glasnow (xFIP 2.84)
Tyler Glasnow (xFIP 2.84)Home SP: 
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.46)
Tomoyuki Sugano (xFIP 4.46)Dodgers Key Injuries:
Ben Casparius, Tyler Gough, Brusdar Graterol, Landon Knack, Blake Snell, +6 more
Rockies Key Injuries:
Kyle Freeland, Jared Thomas
Dodgers Dark Horse HR:
Teoscar Hernández
Teoscar HernándezRockies Dark Horse HR:
Hunter Goodman
Hunter GoodmanOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.5
Posted 8:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(0-8)
Padres
@
9:38 PM ET
Angels
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Angels moneyline
Padres
Angels
Away SP: Matt Waldron (xFIP 5.00)
Home SP: José Soriano (xFIP 2.36)
Padres Key Injuries:
Griffin Canning, Humberto Cruz, Yu Darvish, Jeremiah Estrada, Bryan Hoeing, +10 more
Angels Key Injuries:
Ryan Johnson, Ben Joyce, Alek Manoah, Grayson Rodriguez, Kirby Yates, +1 more
Padres Dark Horse HR:
Gavin Sheets
Angels Dark Horse HR:
Oswald Peraza
Oswald PerazaOver/Under (Game Total): Over 8.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(3-6)
Blue Jays
@
9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Blue Jays +1.5
Blue Jays
Diamondbacks
Away SP: 
Braydon Fisher (xFIP 2.65)
Braydon Fisher (xFIP 2.65)Home SP: Michael Soroka (xFIP 2.79)
Blue Jays Key Injuries:
Jose Berrios, Yimi Garcia, Ricky Tiedemann, Chay Yeager, Trey Yesavage, +5 more
Diamondbacks Key Injuries:
Patrick Forbes, Tommy Henry, Derek Law, Gabriel Moreno, Demetrio Crisantes, +4 more
Blue Jays Dark Horse HR:
Daulton Varsho
Diamondbacks Dark Horse HR:
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro VargasOver/Under (Game Total): Under 8.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✓ WIN
(5-0)
Rangers
@
9:40 PM ET
Mariners
Slight Lean
Career: 60.1%
(561-373)
Rangers +1.5
Rangers
Mariners
Away SP: 
Jacob deGrom (xFIP 3.04)
Jacob deGrom (xFIP 3.04)Home SP: 
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 2.66)
Logan Gilbert (xFIP 2.66)Rangers Key Injuries:
Ben Abeldt, Carter Baumler, Jose Corniell, Nabil Crismatt, Declan Cronin, +6 more
Mariners Key Injuries:
Griffin Hugus, Grant Knipp, Teddy McGraw, Bryce Miller, Marcelo Perez, +3 more
Rangers Dark Horse HR:
Corey Seager
Corey SeagerMariners Dark Horse HR:
Brendan Donovan
Over/Under (Game Total): Over 6.5
Posted 9:25 PM ET
✗ LOSS
(9-2)
White Sox
@
9:40 PM ET
Athletics
Confident
Career: 55.1%
(370-302)
Athletics moneyline
White Sox
Athletics
Away SP: Davis Martin (xFIP 3.78)
Home SP: Aaron Civale (xFIP 4.14)
White Sox Key Injuries:
Prelander Berroa, Jonathan Cannon, Juan Carela, Mathias LaCombe, Blake Larson, +7 more
Athletics Key Injuries:
Henry Baez, Brent Rooker, Gavin Turley
White Sox Dark Horse HR:
Everson Pereira
Athletics Dark Horse HR:
Max Muncy
Max MuncyOver/Under (Game Total): Under 9.0
Posted 9:25 PM ET