Preview for Sunday, September 27, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox
The Rockies head to Chicago with Kyle Freeland on the mound against Anthony Kay, and the pitching numbers clearly favor the White Sox side. Freeland carries a 6.58 ERA and a 5.03 FIP across roughly 131.3 innings this season, while Kay has worked about 153.0 innings with a 4.53 ERA and a 4.87 FIP. Both pitchers' FIPs sit fairly close together, but Freeland's much higher ERA points to worse run prevention overall on the mound for Colorado in this one.
Looking at the team-level figures, Colorado's offense grades out with a 0.320 wOBA compared to Chicago's 0.316, giving the Rockies a slight edge at the plate. However, the Rockies' pitching staff as a whole shows a 5.60 ERA and 4.93 FIP, both considerably worse than the White Sox staff's 4.14 ERA and 4.32 FIP, suggesting Chicago's run prevention is stronger from top to bottom.
On the injury front, Colorado has Tyler Bell listed as 'Out' and Brody Brecht and McCade Brown both listed on the 60-Day IL, while Chicago has Brooks Baldwin and Aldrin Batista on the 60-Day IL and Joey Bart on the 10-Day IL. Taken together, the pitching and run-prevention figures favor the White Sox, with Kay's superior ERA and FIP against Freeland and Chicago's stronger team ERA and FIP giving the home side the more favorable numbers heading into this matchup.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: White Sox moneyline. Confidence: Confident.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Rockies: Mickey Moniak. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for White Sox: Randal Grichuk. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.