Preview for Friday, September 25, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox
The Rockies head to Chicago with Tomoyuki Sugano on the mound against the White Sox and Sean Burke, and the season-long numbers give Chicago a clear edge in this pitching matchup. Sugano carries a 5.36 ERA and a 5.46 FIP over roughly 147.7 innings this season, while Burke has been considerably sharper across a heavier workload of about 167.0 innings, posting a 3.40 ERA and a 3.70 FIP. Both marks favor Burke as the more effective run-preventer between the two starters.
Looking at the team-wide figures, Colorado's offense actually holds a slight advantage in wOBA at 0.320 compared to Chicago's 0.316, but the gap in pitching performance is much more pronounced. The Rockies' team ERA sits at 5.59 with a FIP of 4.91, both well behind the White Sox's 4.13 ERA and 4.32 FIP. That combination of a stronger rotation arm and better overall run prevention gives Chicago the more complete profile heading into this game.
On the injury front, Chicago has Brooks Baldwin and Aldrin Batista listed on the 60-Day IL and Joey Bart listed on the 10-Day IL, while Colorado has Tyler Bell listed as Out and both Brody Brecht and McCade Brown listed on the 60-Day IL. Neither club's reported absences involve the starting pitchers, so the on-mound comparison stands as the central storyline. Given Burke's superior ERA and FIP alongside Chicago's better team pitching marks, the available numbers tilt in the White Sox's favor for this matchup.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: White Sox moneyline. Confidence: Strong.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Rockies: Mickey Moniak. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for White Sox: Randal Grichuk. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.