Preview for Thursday, September 24, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves
The Reds head to Atlanta with Brady Singer on the mound, and his season numbers have been rough, with an ERA of 5.67 and a FIP of 5.62 across approximately 154.0 innings pitched. Tyler Mahle counters for the Braves with a much sturdier line, posting an ERA of 3.81 and a FIP of 3.93 over roughly 144.0 innings, giving Atlanta a clear advantage in the pitching matchup based on these figures.
Looking at the broader team numbers, the Braves also hold the edge on both sides of the ball. Atlanta's offense carries a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.312 compared to Cincinnati's 0.304, and its pitching staff has been stingier overall, with a team FIP of 4.15 and ERA of 3.60 against the Reds' 4.90 FIP and 4.84 ERA. Every one of these figures points toward Atlanta having the stronger team-wide profile heading into this one.
Both rosters carry injury notes worth mentioning. Rayven Antonio and Starlyn De La Cruz are listed on the 60-Day IL for Atlanta, while Bryce Elder is listed on the 15-Day IL. Cincinnati's Rotowire notes show Sam Benschoter on the 7-Day IL, Chase Burns on the 15-Day IL, and Connor Burns on the 60-Day IL. With Mahle's superior ERA and FIP against Singer's higher marks, and the Braves' team wOBA, FIP and ERA all more favorable than Cincinnati's, the statistical picture leans toward Atlanta in this matchup.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Braves moneyline. Confidence: Strong.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Braves: Ronald Acuña Jr.. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Reds: Elly De La Cruz. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.