Preview for Friday, September 25, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins
Texas Rangers visit the Minnesota Twins with the schedule listing Jacob deGrom against Joe Ryan on the mound. DeGrom has thrown approximately 158.7 innings this season with a 3.86 ERA and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.19, while Ryan has worked approximately 138.7 innings with a 3.83 ERA and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.83. DeGrom's FIP is lower than Ryan's, suggesting his peripheral numbers have been stronger, even though the two pitchers' ERAs sit close together at 3.86 and 3.83 respectively.
On the team side, Minnesota's WP-estimated wOBA of 0.312 is higher than Texas's 0.310, giving the Twins a slight offensive edge by that measure. Texas holds an edge in run-prevention figures, with a team ERA of 4.28 and FIP of 4.22 compared to Minnesota's 4.57 ERA and 4.29 FIP, meaning the Rangers' pitching staff has posted lower marks across both metrics.
Several players are listed with injury statuses that may factor into roster construction. For the Twins, Mick Abel is listed on the 60-Day IL and Anthony Banda is listed on the 15-Day IL, while Eduardo Beltre is also listed on the 60-Day IL. For the Rangers, Carter Baumler, Jalen Beeks, and Paul Bonzagni are each listed on the 60-Day IL. Taken together, the Rangers' lower team ERA and FIP alongside deGrom's lower FIP compared to Ryan give the numbers a lean toward Texas, even as Minnesota's wOBA figure points to a marginally more productive offense.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Twins +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Rangers: Justin Foscue. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Twins: Emmanuel Rodriguez. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.