Preview for Thursday, September 17, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
This matchup has the Philadelphia Phillies visiting the New York Mets. The listed start is 7:15 PM ET.
Among the listed starters, Nolan McLean has the lower ERA in these records. Aaron Nola, the listed starter for the Philadelphia Phillies, has an ERA of 4.69 and a WP-calculated FIP of 4.92 in the available pitching data, covering approximately 161.3 innings. Nolan McLean, the listed starter for the New York Mets, has an ERA of 3.24 and a WP-calculated FIP of 3.75 in the available pitching data, covering approximately 166.7 innings. These are schedule listings, not independent confirmation of the final starters.
The available team ERA figure is lower for the Philadelphia Phillies. Team statistics for the Philadelphia Phillies show a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.309, a WP-estimated FIP of 3.87 and an ERA of 3.99. Team statistics for the New York Mets show a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.305, a WP-estimated FIP of 4.16 and an ERA of 4.18.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season to date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Phillies +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
This is the selection in the article’s data snapshot. The descriptive statistics above do not establish why the model made that selection.
WP home-run candidate for Mets: Francisco Lindor. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Phillies: Bryce Harper. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.