Preview for Wednesday, September 16, 2026. Schedule and player information can change.
Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets
The Orioles head to New York to face the Mets in a game set for a 7:10 PM ET start, with Chris Bassitt scheduled to take the mound for Baltimore against Robert Stock for New York. Bassitt has thrown approximately 90.3 innings this season with a 4.88 ERA and a WP-calculated FIP of 4.64, while Stock has worked roughly 30.3 innings with a 5.93 ERA but a lower WP-calculated FIP of 3.99. That split suggests Stock's surface results have been rougher than his underlying numbers, while Bassitt's ERA and FIP sit closer together and both point to a pitcher who has struggled by run-prevention standards this year.
On the team side, Baltimore's offense carries a WP-estimated wOBA of 0.310 compared to New York's 0.306, giving the Orioles a slight edge at the plate by that measure. Team pitching numbers are close overall, with Baltimore's FIP at 4.19 against the Mets' 4.14, while both clubs share an identical ERA of 4.16. Those figures paint a tightly matched pitching picture between the two rosters even though the individual starters have differing profiles.
Both teams also carry notable injury designations. Keegan Akin and Felix Bautista of the Orioles are each listed on the 60-Day IL, and Blaze Alexander is listed on the 10-Day IL. For the Mets, Boston Baro and Reed Garrett are listed on the 60-Day IL, and Danis Correa is listed on the 7-Day IL. Weighing the team-level statistics together, Baltimore's slightly higher wOBA and Stock's elevated ERA give the numbers a mild lean toward the Orioles, though the closely bunched ERA and FIP figures on both sides keep this matchup looking fairly even overall.
Statistical scope: MLB Stats API; 2026 regular season season-to-date; exact statistical through-date not supplied.
WP selection: Orioles +1.5. Confidence: Slight Lean.
The selection is supplied separately by WP. The comparisons above do not establish why the model made this selection.
WP home-run candidate for Mets: Francisco Lindor. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
WP home-run candidate for Orioles: Coby Mayo. The selection uses roster and season-stat inputs; it does not establish a confirmed batting lineup or favourable betting odds.
Predictions are uncertain; no outcome is guaranteed. Check the picks page for the latest available selections.